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Liam J

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Liam J last won the day on June 10 2014

Liam J had the most liked content!

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Interests
    Weather, cars, walking with my two Jack Russells, Wildlife. Ice cold cider in the sun, Northern lights.
  • Weather Preferences
    Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)

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  1. Ignoring all the ridiculous drivel and moans in here because of the lack of snow being shown in people’s back yards next week… A cold to very cold mid January spell is about to take hold from tomorrow lasting most of next week, many people will see falling snow at some point and a some will even get lying snow. Last month up here the central & southern lakes got 20-30cm of snow, this what not picked up by any models & the Met office issued a late Amber warning once the event was already underway…. Sub -10°c 850 temps pushing well down the country during Sunday & Monday It will feel wintry with widespread frosts which will be severe in places with some low very low minimums, ice days too. Significant windchill at times
  2. Can’t believe the mood & comments of some in here?! Is that because there’s not feet of snow IMBY being modelled….. There is absolutely no way the models can pick out features & troughs developing in the low heights and unstable airmass from this range! (this gets repeated multiple times) Finally we can look forward to some proper winter weather starting on Sunday and lasting through next week….. severe frosts, ice days & snowfall chances Some absolutely cracking charts for our part of the world!
  3. Been a mental day of model watching! 18z gone off the scale lol I don’t think the overnight runs can get any better?! Some people need to realise that what’s being shown are low heights, a very unstable & very cold airmass = plenty of troughs/disturbances and snow chances & not all of these are going to show up on modelling at this range…. Let’s hope for a good set of overnight runs! A little over 3 days until the cold sets in
  4. What has GFS been on tonight?! Upgrades at very short time frames with some incredible cold now being modelled by many GEFS members from the northerly….
  5. GFS is not alone and I’m not saying they’re right or wrong but the GEM also wants to bring the Atlantic in with a steep thermal gradient & powerful jet stream out of the USA… Anyway this is a long way off & too far away to be worrying about…. Cold with snow chances most of next week GFS GEM
  6. Yep. Certainly no downgrades on the 6z ICON as some have mentioned. 850’s 6z vs 00z
  7. Confused at people saying the block over Greenland doesn’t look strong…. This looks good to me with a clean northerly! Better than the 0z run imo with heights punching well into the polar regions.
  8. Well…. 6z GFS is nothing short of epic vs previous runs with a great NH profile. Good to see it jump on board eventually… from zero to hero lol here’s hoping for a fab set of 12z runs later
  9. Sorry but this is incorrect…. the forecast to 16th January mentions cold & settled conditions with frosts becoming widespread & severe in time, increased chance of sleet & snow in any unsettled spells later on. Frost, ice & freezing fog all feature. The next period 17th Jan onwards says an increased chance of colder than average conditions with snow & ice…. Some wintry looking charts from the 6z GFS going into next week. Persistent Hard frosts, cold days on the way with power & heating demand rocketing up. A lot of water lying around from the very wet weather of late. Be plenty of ice rinks about Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99706-model-output-discussion-into-2024/?do=findComment&comment=4993282
  10. Apologies as I didn’t realise you were talking about the Irish Met service
  11. Sorry but this is incorrect…. the forecast to 16th January mentions cold & settled conditions with frosts becoming widespread & severe in time, increased chance of sleet & snow in any unsettled spells later on. Frost, ice & freezing fog all feature. The next period 17th Jan onwards says an increased chance of colder than average conditions with snow & ice…. Some wintry looking charts from the 6z GFS going into next week. Persistent Hard frosts, cold days on the way with power & heating demand rocketing up. A lot of water lying around from the very wet weather of late. Be plenty of ice rinks about
  12. Yes deffo an upgrade vs previous runs we need a bigger pool of deeper cold over Scandinavia because the North Sea is moderating the air mass as it gets drawn across. Excellent start to the 12z’s….
  13. Fantastic ICON 12z! Cold & wintry Only gripe with it is that the 850’s aren’t lower
  14. GFS 18z off to a good start…. no denying the backing away today from an easterly. It may just be the op runs but they can’t be dismissed. Once the operationals sniff something out we’ve seen ensemble suits flip in the past, hopefully not on this occasion….
  15. Rollercoaster in full swing lol GFS an improvement vs previous run GEM looks pants vs previous run Looking like we’ll get something much drier with crisp late Autumn days & frosty nights as we approach winter…
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