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Severe Blizzard

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    Guildford, Surrey.
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    Music of most genres, electronic organs and synthesisers.
    Cyling the countryside.
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    Old hi fi equipment.
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    Thunderstorms & Snow

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  1. 1st choice: Losing rain in small amounts over long periods arriving just at the only times I can have my bike ride. 2nd choice: Windy conditions which ruin bike rides. 3rd choice: Cold weather making riding uncomfortable. Rain is only welcome if it is a decent total or a thunderstorm / thundery shower event. Cold only welcome if it will bring a decent snow event to my locality. Possibly the best answer and weather I could manage without the most: Never having the annoyance of missing interesting events at home while I am away on holiday again!
  2. The best part of winter is when it finishes. Absolutely vile outlook. Cold, no snow, next weekend's return to atlantic muck probably set in stone already. Straight from freezing horrid weather to more windy dross and drizzle, no respite of 'usable' conditions for cycling meaning more being confined to being stuck indoors while missing out on anything interesting as usual.
  3. Well said and my sentiments exactly. Add job insecurity and low morale in the workplace, grumpy customers in-yer-face whinging and whining barking orders, personal issues with council flat refits and contractors not communicating along with bereavement to deal with. 2023 not got off to a good start. Lack of sunshine definitely not helping and holiday uncertainty as rail strikes typically scheduled to coincide with dates of the much needed holiday (no other transport available). More tedious waiting and not knowing until it is probably too late. At least the incessant rain of the last week now has bigger time gaps between fronts allowing chance to get out on the bike. Lovely ride last night, although cold, made things feel better for a time. Exercise really helps. With the exception of the bit of snow on Wednesday 8th, I agree that this month has been simply terrible and could eclipse other 'difficult' periods like the start of 2015 and autumn 2019, especially November.
  4. The only good thing about this winter is when it' over. Two cold snaps - no snow in Guildford yet again. More snow falls in Cornwall formerly the most 'snow-free' part of the UK, than here as a conducive synoptic set-up never develops. Weeks of endless rain and soon as the temperature drops low enough for snow, we can't get a single flake to fall. Sunday 11th December was a joke with the snow area moving in an anticlockwise direction around Guildford missing the area by <10 miles and now its northerlies, the most useless synoptic set up for snow here and this follows yesterday's channel depression disappointment and this morning's S.W. snow frustration. Current winter is worse than 1983/1984 - at least there were flurries that year. In the nine years after the end of the cold winter era in 1987, there were two reasonable winters (1990/1991 and 1995/1996) and two acceptable winters for snow (1993/1994 and 1996/1997). In a comparable nine year period since the last decent winter (2012/2013) there have been NO reasonable winters and snow only fell in March 2018 (B.F.T.E.) after a horrendous winter of cold rain and let-downs beforehand, February 2019 (which was at Fleet and not Guildford - where I was lucky enough to be to witness the interesting weather for a change) and 24th January 2021. Kick in the teeth with another snowless borefest for the rest of this week, especially given the excitement of this time 10 years ago. If we can't get a proper cold snap with WIDESPREAD snow then I wish we could get conditions like in the winters of 2018/2019 and last year, mild and dry, so I can at least enjoy my cycling and forget about the rotten weather. Conditions may be boring but at least everyone's missing out in a mild dry set-up and it is easier not to get frustrated yearning for something that no one else is experiencing.
  5. Another dry April. Plenty of lost convective potential and probably lead to another disappointing dreary summer with westerly influence and no storms here again (Guildford). No thunder heard this year yet after 2 close shaves and let-downs (6th April and 12th April). I have nothing against long dry periods as dry weather means good cycling conditions, but I do prefer sunshine and warmth, like what was enjoyed over Easter and not cloud-fest or wet conditions with rain in frequent small amounts. Lack of thunder in Guildford has become a joke in recent years and we seem to miss everything these days. I go on holiday in mid-May and don't want a thundery set up while away and have rubbish weather in Cornwall while something actually happens in Guildford at long last. Sick to death of missing interesting weather when away on holiday or just away from Guildford and this has happened so many times I could write a book about it. Either Guildford is, or I am 'cursed' with the incessant bad luck of near misses and God just doesn't want me to see nature at its most interesting. Last good year for storms was 2014 although I saw one good storm in 2016 (22nd/23rd June) but missed the September event when away on holiday after a generally poor summer for activity again.
  6. Typical - Just brief heavy showers in Guildford. No thunder. Carry on of the 'no storms' nuisance of the last few years but especially 2020 and 2021. Thunder activity just too far away to be heard again - tantalizingly close. I really hope that Guildford gets a decent year for storms in 2022, something that has not happened since 2014, the last year with an above average number of days with thunder heard. The second major event in 2016 was missed while away on holiday in Cornwall. It could be guaranteed that if today's set-up had occurred when on holiday then there would have been thunder in Guildford. These days, more lightning and thunder occurs in the Arctic Circle than Guildford. The missing out would not be so bad if the thunder activity was not always so close to the area but just out of range. Perhaps we could have a Storms grumble and moan thread page, like for the models, as I think it will be needed over the coming months and I will be visiting it frequently.
  7. That is nothing new then. Looks like another 'bust' tonight. The usual hype and the usual bit of drizzle and light rain. Hope the sunshine and higher temperatures return soon if this 'unsettled' weather can't produce an interesting event for a change.
  8. Happy New Year everyone. May 2022 be the year wishes come true!!! ?️?️ ?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️?️ etc.
  9. I don't call it an epic year for storms with only 13 claps of thunder over four 'weak' storms, and 33 opportunities to date (2021) which have all been failures / busts in Guildford. Yet another crap year more like. Don't mean to offend anyone but this year is seriously getting on my t**s after the almost equally rubbish performance last year and after a very disappointing winter. It wouldn't be so bad if EVERYBODY was missing out on the interesting conditions and not just C.S. England and Guildford. Sooner I can have that storm chasing trip, the better. Next week's 'breakdown' - surprise, surprise - completely downgraded and now just a drop in temperature as we have to get more weather from a N.W.ly direction yet again - the most unexciting direction with least potential for thundery conditions here. Wish the Azores 'high' would go and get low pressure there instead and we would then get some decent warmth, drier and pleasanter atmosphere with less humidity except during plumes originating from Spain, not France, then it would be game-on for storms and not more 'Kent Clippers'. home grown storms only affecting the usual areas like London, midlands and the N.E. as far as Edinburgh. wish this pattern stuck on 'repeat' would just go - 6 years out of last 13 yielding <6 days thunder per year is atrocious. Time for a change and some different locations having the excitement. Thunder days in Guildford since 2001. The mean (1998 to 2007) is 16 .3 days. The demise is very clear. Before anyone asks, I have not gone deaf and I work outdoors, so if anything happens I do notice - Monday's 4th 'event' of 2021 was a muffled rumble to the N.E. and one would need a 3,000 watt P.A. rig to amplify the thunder to a level which more people would notice! 2001 - 19 2002 - 13 2003 - 11 2004 - 14 2005 - 14 2006 - 23 2007 - 13 2008 - 15 2009 - 6 2010 - 4 2011 - 5 2012 -12 2013 -12 2014 - 20 2015 - 6 2016 - 12 2017 -10 2018 - 8 2019 - 8 2020 - 5 2021 - 4 (to 14th July).
  10. 2009, 2010, 2011, 2015 and 2020 were pretty diabolical for missing out on storms at Guildford. This year is as just as atrocious and certainly not pleased about today's failures. Too bad we now have another horrid humid N.W. warm sector flow before anticyclonic weather dominates for a duration of anyone's guess. Last good thundery summer was 2014 and last decent storm was in 2016, typically when I was on holiday and missed it, hence feeling even more storm-staved in this dreadful current period.
  11. Borefest summer continues. Still no thunder in Guildford despite the forecast and potential over the weekend. Guarantee that we will get the wind on Tuesday from the latest humdinger depression that will dominate through the week with yet more vile and tediously boring weather in central southern England that passes for a typical 'modern' summer.
  12. Here in Guildford, Surrey we swelter through plumes that deliver nothing but 'Kent clippers' and then we get the other potential hopeful situations for thundery weather which also don't deliver - time and time again. Still waiting to hear thunder in this uninteresting and disappointing month, summer, year & decade.
  13. I feel sorry for those that didn't see snow today and can feel your pain. I am pleased to say that Guildford is out of the 'no snow' club this winter, so hopefully I won't be coming here to rant and rave for a while now! What was shaping up to be the 'worst' winter for let-downs and disappointments has now been relegated to a much lower position and I can think of several worse winters such as 1983/84, 2005/06, 2014/15, 2001/02, 1992/93, 2017/18 (December to February only, excluding the extended winter involving March with the two good BFTE set-ups). I hope those who are still snow-less have their lucky break soon - there is always February - remember 2006/07, the mildest winter on record, but managed brief but decent cold and two snow events (funnily enough, 24th January, then 8th February), better than the 'cold' but unproductive disappointing winter of 2005/06. There is always hope. However, don't expect rerun of 1962/63 or 1978/79 although February 1986's prolonged cold and snow was surely not predicted at this stage in January and there could be surprises.
  14. All this talk of global warming - always surfaces when we get rubbish winters like 2020/2021 - strange how marginal snow events always verify favourably for M4 northwards and anywhere south generally misses out. This has been a perennial nuisance since I started studying weather from 1982 onward and is nothing new - it has only got worse. Equally strange that global warming should theoretically result in more thunderstorm activity and reality we get less in the Guildford area. Indeed, so-called global warming seems to govern the expected weather types (warmer, wetter, more storms and more interesting extremes) everywhere else in the U.K. except the S.E. which is getting more mediocre, uninteresting and predictable boring weather including missing out. Surely a phenomena like global warming should have a similar impact everywhere - ie. fewer thunderstorms, less snow, less extremes etc over the whole of the UK or conversely the whole of the UK including snow-starved and storm-starved Guildford should be seeing the extremes too. Winter 1983/1984 and some others were as bad as this year for missing out on the snow in Guildford / Fleet areas and there was less 'global warming' in those days, and in the early 1970's which were also poor for snow and thunder (1972 was an especially rubbish year in the S.E. and reading the data, 1950/1951 was also a very disappointing marginal winter and much wetter than this year). Still think the rubbish winters, especially in regard to not getting snow / summers without thunderstorms / decent convective weather in Guildford is down to sheer bad luck and bad timing and it is about time that this changed.
  15. Still waiting for the first snow of winter in Guildford. Lowest temperature only -2.7 deg.C so far after only -2.5 deg.C. last winter. For a non-zonal type winter, this is utter cr*p and outdoes that awful 2005/2006 winter which was full of easterly promise and never delivered. Even January 1984 with its north biased snow brought some dregs down here, unlike this pathetic excuse for a 'winter'. Waste of time. Virtually no thunder last year and now yet another winter from Hell. If we can't get the snow here then at least a boring mild dry set up would be welcome so I can enjoy some cycling and not be reminded of the snow fest winter up north after all the thunderstorms the north enjoyed last year.
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