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Cymro

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Cymro last won the day on December 21 2022

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    Dwyrain Sir Gâr / Eastern Carmarthenshire 178m abs

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  1. Wales disappeared off the map again did it? Deary me! Looks like a substantial storm for large swathes of the UK in particular coastal areas of the Irish Sea and later into the North Sea. Thankfully the worst impacts should be overnight for most.
  2. Dusting of snow here since a few showers yesterday evening, our last cold and icy morning today for a few weeks.
  3. Far too early to be worried about the sun's strength, if it were the 20th of Feb Id sympathise but it's mid winter. Cold pools develop quickly over Scandi under High pressure at this time of year.
  4. Croeso mawr Cold weather and beer Although we haven't seen much in the way of widespread deep snow (4 dustings here this last fortnight which isn't bad) this has been a fantastic prolonged period of below average temperatures. Ponds and ditches have been frozen solid since 6th of January and will likely remain frozen tomorrow and potentially into Saturday at the latest making it 14 days. We've had an air frost every night for 14 days. 4 Ice days and a minimum temperature of - 8.9. I would have loved a good dumping of the white stuff but apart from that it's been a lovely dry spell with gorgeous crisp sunshine especially so this week. Roll on end of Jan/Feb for the next opportunity for something colder. Nos da bawb
  5. Tir Abad, Cymru got down to - 9.7 last night. Could be close to that again overnight.
  6. If only these showers were a tad further east, missing them by around 5 miles Carmarthen is looking good for a nice covering this morning.
  7. Keep away from the model thread rhis morning if you want to retain your sanity. Never have I seen it so bad! Quite pathetic and childish in fact! We will see plenty of snow showers in Wales this week, Im expecting a few surprises everywhere with the nature of this northerly flow. Don't be fooled even in Eastern Wales, Northerlies often produce larger snow totals than easterlies when you get troughs and occluded fronts appearing within 12 hour time frames. Being on these foruns for nearly 18 years, the overreacting in the mod thread is nothing new but the standard of discussion this year is atrocious. The cold spell won't break down on Friday, it's not a toppler and the models will be very volatile between now and then. Expect drastic changes at short time frames that can extend the cold substantially! And to remind us all we've had well over a week now of below average temperatures, only yesterday did we reach our highest temperature of the week at 4°c. Ditches, ground and pond frozen solid since last Saturday. Any snow should readily settle next week. Gan bwyll a daliwch ati! Mae'r eira ar ddod!
  8. This is incredibly incorrect, Northerlies produce much snow for Scotland, Northern England, Northern Ireland, Wales, SW England and Eastern English coastal areas. The only areas that tend to struggle are central areas 50miles inland from the sea. But entrenched cold from Northerlies set up conditions ripe for battle ground snow across large areas of the British Isles. The monotonous claim about lack of precipitation and it will be dry are almost always unfounded and snow chances pop up - take a break from the models until Sunday, it will be a different picture by then, with snow chances in this set up a plenty!
  9. The CET is incorrect and hasn't been updated since the 2nd of January and as such we can't draw a reliable picture here based on the CET until it's no longer down. It's likely we're back down to average following an extensively mild first few days. Temperatures aren't climbing much above 3-5 degrees this week before tumbling again on Saturday. That is still fairly below average for this time of year. Regardless my point stands, the chart you posted in relation to upper air temperatures doesn't tell the full story in terms of surface conditions across the UK. It's fallen below - 10 in Aviemore for 3 nights on the trot, average it is not!
  10. What's interesting however with all the chase on next week for meaningful snow we're currently much colder than average. Temperatures here have failed to breach 1 degrees since Monday. Yesterday was an ice day and the ground, ponds and ditches are frozen solid under warming upper air temps. Definitely inversion cold pool developing at the surface and despite the increase in upper air temperatures 2m temperatures are still 3/4 degrees below normal. For me the cold spell started on Saturday and will continue into next week. 2 weeks at least of below average temperatures in mid winter. Wonderful!
  11. What's interesting however with all the chase on next week for meaningful snow we're currently much colder than average. Temperatures here have failed to breach 1 degrees since Monday. Yesterday was an ice day and the ground, ponds and ditches are frozen solid under warming upper air temps. Definitely inversion cold pool developing at the surface and despite the increase in upper air temperatures 2m temperatures are still 3/4 degrees below normal so that chart doesn't necessarily paint a complete picture. For me the cold spell started on Saturday and will continue into next week. 2 weeks at least of below average temperatures in mid winter. Wonderful!
  12. I think this is perhaps very much an England thing re north of the M4 and it doesn't feature much in Welsh weather as in general Wales as a whole is farther north than the M4 to the east of Bristol. With that being said it does strike me that the pointy bit of SW England a peninsula if you will and likewise Kent to the east have an onshore sea breeze from multiple directions unlike central southern England above the M4 and Wales (excluding the Gower peninsula and Pembrokeshire. That could have a huge impact in mixing out colder surface conditions quicker hence lows make greater progress inland before coming to a halt.
  13. Especially following a cold few days beforehand and lowering SST
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