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NorthWest_Snow

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    Hale, Halton Cheshire

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  1. temps here are finally dropping off, dew point on marginal -0.7C inc snow and rain showers in ireland moving westwards ahead of a front. be lovely if it made it to the irish sea...but i think if it makes nw scotland, i think its pretty safe to say its fantasy island until it actually gets within striking distance of the uk, no matter, it will die the moment it touches land so it would only be showers anyways i still think it may well break up, before it reaches here due to the 2 lp to the west of it causing it a loss of convection..well its looking a lot better than it did in previous passes, still moving south and i am concerned about how slow that thing is moving tbh
  2. its got some nice streamers coming off it too..big old white clouds been watching them since they came of the system nw of NI bigger clouds. 1am in now, and we have some very strong rotation, and movement se, still has a very noticeable eye, not seeing any break up, there is movement south east, looks like its getting a move on before the approaching fronts..wont hold my breath yet though..it needs to really get a move on
  3. but if you look at the latest pic, it still retains its eye and looks pretty solid to me, with a gradual movement se..but you could be right. oh dear look at the secondary low and its position, but then again if you look at it, that pl was moving nowhere before, and suddenly the secondary low has appeared the pl has begun moving se..i hope we are not seeing its break up ..i fear if the system doesnt get a move on, we could be looking up at a very fast break up
  4. latest image looks a lot better and might i say there is definate movement se
  5. james there you go http://www.sat24.com/gb James M to me it looks like a dodgy sat image, if look at it one side doesnt match up with the other see bottom of the low.
  6. its hard to say what its actually doing the last pass shows some sort of movement there
  7. it depends, if it is actually moving south (it looked like an sat hiccup on last return), we'll see in the next hour if thats the case, it will be fine..if not it will loose it's convectiveness due to the lp swallowing it in effect..what we want is south movement, we have the warmer water it needs to grow those those clouds for better ppn..waiting game i think EDIT: checked the 1230 sat image there is definate movement south, which is not surprising really considing the actual setup in place..i dont think it will destroy itself, its getting bigger its beginning to move south, just how fast it does is another thing..otherwise yes it will blow itself out before it gets to nw scotland..actually its something we should keep an eye on for the next hour..the winds up there are nw, the clouds are blowing in a nw fashion through the channel there..not saying about the pl, just the clouds. so we have a nw and a slight n flow in place
  8. haha actually take a closer look at the wider european sat http://www.sat24.com/ notice the rotation off to the northwest of that polar low? what the hell is that? it looks on reflection like an unclouded lp linking up, maybe just what old pl needs to get moving lmao
  9. it looks like its going to wind itself up to be quite a big pl, if thats the case, the low technically isnt that far away from us about 300 miles northwest mainland scotland? clouds can easily extend up to around 6/700 m and since it isnt so far north it could pick up the warmer waters than that provided by the gulf stream..cloud base could be built quite rapidly..getting carried away again..coz it may burn itself out..but who knows haha thats what i love about nowcasting :lol:
  10. haha no mate i am not saying we'll get hit by a polar low, certainly not that one (my fault i am getting tired, you meant the snow in the south didnt ya? )...i dont think anyone actually knows where the track is HS certainly not for the polar low..they are difficult enough to forecast let alone know where one will end up, as people have said the only way is to nowcast it..i expect like SP said before it will likely blow itself apart where its standing, but the thing it needs we have and we'll have to see if it will begin moving south or not..there is a northerly wind, and watching the map you can see it with the cloud cover. its certainly getting beefier for sure -> http://www.sat24.com/gb
  11. according to meto the snow is now south manchester and moving north i remember a long time back in the early 80's someone said something very similar, i mean we hadnt any snow like now for quite a period..and a pl developed pretty much in the same place as that,and some one said that wont do anything for us prolly go break up ..it too was stationary with an incoming nw lp..the next day lunch time we had 3-4 foot of snow and 15-20ft in drifts in the countryside lol because the pl had dumped so much snow on us overnight lolol
  12. where was the 06 pl positioned? i l know in 2000 i was in minnesota. latest precip radar, that small snow is a bit bigger..but i suppose that s it bed time lol
  13. 1996 are you sure?? i remember it being longer ago than that unless i was out the country at the time lol
  14. certainly not in the last 20 years as far as i remember infact longer than that lol
  15. i agree i am just forcing myself to be optimistic though its a gloomy outlook lol
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