Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Chris W

Members
  • Posts

    336
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Christchurch, NZ
  • Weather Preferences
    Many

Recent Profile Visitors

4,743 profile views

Chris W's Achievements

Contributor

Contributor (5/14)

  • Ten years in
  • Week One Done
  • One Month Later
  • Five years in
  • One Year In

Recent Badges

190

Reputation

  1. With the ending of La Nina here in NZ we will have relief particularly in the North Island from what has been a very wet couple of summers due to increased north-easterly rain and exposure to the tropics, including Cyclone Gabrielle which became a major disaster for Hawke's Bay around the East Cape to Auckland. In Canterbury it has reduced our sun hours while raising average temperatures but we've generally not been affected in an extreme manner. Marine heatwaves became frequent (explaining the temperature increases to a large degree), however it could be said that the number of ex-tropical cyclones impacting the country was lower than it could have been. El Nino should it develop will result in stronger and more frequent westerly winds, greater rainfall for the south and west and also increase the likelihood of extreme high temperatures and drought in eastern areas of both islands but particularly North Canterbury, the latter due to the significant foehn winds generated across the Southern Alps and Te Urewera/Ruahine/Tararua mountain ranges by westerly flows often in combination with southern ocean cyclones. However in the meantime neutral conditions are not without their hazards; some of the strongest winds I have experienced in my time here were in 2013 under a neutral regime, with 2013-14 also featuring elevated and powerful ex-tropical cyclone arrivals to NZ - most notably Lusi and Ita - plus a devastating cyclonic/southerly event for Christchurch in March 2014. Over in Australia, coastal New South Wales will likely welcome the departure of La Nina with the soaking they have received in its tenure.
  2. Full list of records borrowed from weatherforum.nz: 39.3 .. Ashburton Aero - NZ's 2nd-highest ever Jan temp (records from 1928) 38.0 .. Akaroa - highest all-time temp (records from 1978) 37.9 .. Cheviot - highest all-time temp (records from 1983) 37.9 .. Timaru - 2nd-highest Jan temp (records from 1906) 37.5 .. Timaru Aero - highest Jan temp (records from 1962) 37.4 .. Waipara - highest Jan temp, and 2nd-highest all-time temp (records from 1973) 37.1 .. Christchurch Aero - highest Jan temp, and 2nd-highest all-time temp (records from 1954) 36.9 .. Cooptown, Banks Peninsula (records from 2017) 36.8 .. Hanmer Forest - 2nd highest Jan temp, and 3rd highest all-time temp (records from 1906) Full thread New Zealand Weather & Climate - NZ Weather Forum WWW.WEATHERFORUM.NZ
  3. Temperature records set today all over Canterbury for January: Ashburton 39.3C Timaru 37.9C Amberley 39.4C (unofficial, but I can attest to its accuracy any time I left the office!) Christchurch 37.1C
  4. Current warming estimated around 80C, and some output has it heading towards 100C with 10hPa temperatures of around +15C being mentioned. The 10hPa vortex has already moved as a result, and the 70hPa vortex is slowing significantly under the warm area. That linked thread details it. See also this link and video from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric research (NIWA): https://www.niwa.co.nz/climate/seasonal-climate-outlook/seasonal-climate-outlook-september-november-2019
  5. I am not strongly-placed to technically describe this event, however as it is only the third in the last 20 or so years and looks unprecedented in scale I thought you folks would want to read more about it. This thread from the NZ Weather Forum describes it well: https://www.weatherforum.nz/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=6013
  6. Ceduna, SA just hit its record all-time high temperature of 48.4C according to BOM SA on Twitter. That’s a coastal town. This side of the ditch, 33.4C in Christchurch today but looking at mid-thirties early next week.
  7. That would be an awesome relief, like the doctor in Perth! Except that in this case it is a front rather than a sea breeze. Meanwhile in NZ we’ve been hitting 30 a few times this week, that’ll do nicely.
  8. One report on Twitter says that Alice Springs has recorded its highest ever temperature today. The BOM forecast for Alice is 45 and for Melbourne it is 42, which in Melbourne’s case they do reach every 3 to 5 years.
  9. I had a look at the BOM page and saw that figure of 129mm yesterday, that is an immense amount of rain and I really feel for the people of Hobart. This system is now heading away from Australia thankfully, onwards to NZ but any comments on what happens there are not for this thread.
  10. I’ll bow to your experience but it looks a pretty decent event to me, particularly for NSW and Tasmania. Then we’ll see whether it does the usual and ambles across the ditch to cause trouble here!
  11. Fehi triggered a change from a very hot summer, quite glorious in December and January overall, to a very wet autumn for most of NZ. Cyclone Gita was terrible for central NZ in particular. Indeed the hydro lakes are their fullest for this time of year for around 20 years! It has been westerly-dominated from April since the cyclones and other lows soaked us in Februqry and March, but a drier and very pleasant start to May. Possible signs of a change to colder/stormier conditions mid-May, perhaps as a result of the SSW currently underway over Antarctica as I posted about in the aussie thread.
  12. That heat looks set to make way for cooler conditions next week (BOM Access model) as a sizeable southeasterly front, driven by a major east coast/cut-off low, makes its way across Victoria and NSW as far as Queensland. There should be some storm activity with that I would imagine! Curiously there is also apprently a sudden stratospheric warming underway over the Antarctic. I haven’t experienced one as yet down here so not really sure what it might bring for Aus/NZ. Potentially more cold interludes and more significantly cold to go with that?
  13. 'Snaw', love it! Some amazing photos and videos from you guys - wish I was back in Dundee or Edinburgh on the end of this.
  14. Looks like you're all about to get it from some very vigorous-looking showers. Enjoy!
×
×
  • Create New...