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cobbett

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    Wyck Nr Alton- Hants

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  1. Thought we may have a decent cold and snowy spell mid month onwards but please not a northerly - anything but that for down here. Roll on spring
  2. On 31/1/24 we had this for next week and today
  3. raz.org.rain it's later in Feb where the interest lies
  4. Shame, as rain b4 colder weather arrives and dry after in the south but early days yet
  5. Second half of Feb looks quite promising for some snow down here - far better than that over hyped non event in Jan
  6. Something of interest at last - one to keep an eye on
  7. Not sure why ‘misleading’ is a problem - it’s a forum not a forecasting site tho must admit years ago I did have the habit of telling friends etc that snow was on the way based on model observations and upbeat comments in the mod thread - luckily I learnt my lesson and keep quiet these days until 48 hrs ish !
  8. Yep bit like looking forward to seeing a double act and only one shows up
  9. I'd be more worried if it was forecasting heavy snow that far out - usually ends badly. The bar is set low now so expect the worse and hope for better - you never know in this volatile set up
  10. Thanks for the explanation so probably why its so tricky to forecast (for next week) with a front moving in from the SW where it could snow even allowing for highish 850's
  11. Have a question around the 850 temps re the possible snow event next week. Checking the EC op for down here in Hants the 850's rise to +5 for a short period and this coincides with the forecast snowfall - the ground temp remains around freezing at the same time. Just wondering whether the 850's are the best indicator for these type of scenarios
  12. Yep - do use that but obviously not enough tho the problem is generally when an FI GFS precipitation chart appears showing a foot of snow for some part of the country only
  13. Imbyism is rife in the MOD thread - impossible now to get a quick overview of latest runs so having to do it the long way now !
  14. Actually that's probably the best long term update for quite a few years - for down here anyway
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