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South East England and East Anglia weather discussion/chat - 15th November 2015 onwards

Captain Shortwave

By Captain Shortwave
in Regional

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Essexgooner Contributor

Essexgooner

Posted
  • Location: Barling, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Storms
  • Location: Barling, Essex
Posted

 

:help:  :help:  Storm Barney!

 

Issued at: 

1046 on Mon 16 Nov 2015

Valid from: 

1500 on Tue 17 Nov 2015

Valid to: 

2330 on Tue 17 Nov 2015

West to southwesterly gales and locally severe gales are likely to sweep eastwards across parts of Wales, southern, central and eastern England later on Tuesday. Gusts could reach 60-70 mph inland and possibly 80 mph along exposed coasts, particularly Wales and through the Bristol Channel.

Be aware of the risk of disruption to travel and that gusts of this strength could bring down trees and lead to some damage to weakened structures. A deepening area of low pressure is likely to track east across southern Ireland and then central parts of the UK during Tuesday afternoon and evening, with a swathe of very strong winds potentially developing on the southern flank of the low. At this stage, the worst of the winds are expected to reach West Wales mid to late afternoon, sweeping rapidly eastwards during the evening. There remains a good deal of uncertainty in this evolution and particularly the location of the strongest winds, so this Warning will be kept under review and updated as necessary.

 

<Hey Homer.......  *Burp*   :)

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Jo S Enthusiast

Jo S

Posted
  • Location: Moreton, Ongar Essex,
  • Weather Preferences: love snow and frosty mornings
  • Location: Moreton, Ongar Essex,
Posted

Things are starting to get exciting, ive been waiting along time for this

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Ben Lewis Rising Star

Ben Lewis

Posted
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heat, Cold, Sun
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
Posted

I BRING YOU A RAMP!

 

uksnowrisk.png

Wouldn't that be great if it was 12/18h to go. Shame it's 6 days away.

Mind you, that's much more like it and excitable, a 50mph wind gust on Tuesday evening doesn't quite do it for me I'm afraid.

Storm Barney looks pretty windy for the SW and West wales though.

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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted (edited)

I BRING YOU A RAMP!

 

uksnowrisk.png

I'll raise your ramp.. ;)

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2015/11/16/basis06/ukuk/rart/15112206_1606.gif

Edited by Kent Blizzard
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Met4Cast Maestro

Met4Cast

Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
Posted

 

I see your ramp, and I raise you

 

post-7073-0-30460000-1447684883_thumb.gi

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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted

I see your ramp, and I raise you

 

attachicon.gifRamp.gif

...Let's put all the ramps together and make a perfect huge ramp and BANK it ;)

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Author
Posted

Good afternoon, a pretty decent day here again with sunny spells and just a gentle breeze. Cooler than yesterday but still mild.

Tomorrow looking a little wild with winds strengthen during the day. 60-70mph gusts possible during the evening and overnight, the winds easing by dawn.

42-289UK.GIF?16-6

 

 

Beyond that there is a lot of uncertainty regard when and how potent the cold snap will be this coming weekend.

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throwoff Seasoned

throwoff

Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Snow and more Snow!
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
Posted

12Z still showing it, much more restrained but something for us Kent folk.

 

uksnowrisk.png

 

 

uksnowrisk.png

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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted

12Z still showing it, much more restrained but something for us Kent folk.

 

uksnowrisk.png

 

 

uksnowrisk.png

If only we can get that at the 48hr stage, then it would be exciting ;)

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Rain123 Apprentice

Rain123

Posted
  • Location: Ash Vale, Surrey/Hampshire border
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Spells or thunderstorms.
  • Location: Ash Vale, Surrey/Hampshire border
Posted (edited)

YAY!!!!! SNOW!!!!!!         :cold:  :cold:  :cold:

 *moderate overreaction as we are guarantied not to get any* 

 

Meh, cloudy today with a bit of light rain here and there.  Looks pretty wet tonight before storm Barney arrives tomorrow. 

Edited by Rain123
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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

look  out  barney  heading our way  at least 70  mph  winds  on tuesday    could  be a  intersting  trip home  from work tomorow  night!!!

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NO LONGER POSTING Veteran

NO LONGER POSTING

Posted
Posted (edited)

look  out  barney  heading our way  at least 70  mph  winds  on tuesday    could  be a  intersting  trip home  from work tomorow  night!!!

 

Intresting the models are not showing what the BBC just said

 

BBC london weathe 60-70mph widely inland.. 80-90mph on the coast and exposed areas... Sorry what? LOL I don't get it...

 

BBC weather at it again

Edited by Surrey
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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

Intresting the models are not showing what the BBC just said

 

BBC london weathe 60-70mph widely inland.. 80-90mph on the coast and exposed areas... Sorry what? LOL I don't get it...

 

BBC weather at it again

local  giving 70-80  on the coasts with heavy rain      only 20 more mph we be near the great storm!!!

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weathergeek Community Regular

weathergeek

Posted
  • Location: Ashtead, nr Epsom Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Cold/Snowy Winter! Just SEASONAL!!
  • Location: Ashtead, nr Epsom Surrey
Posted

Loving the RAMPS!!! Would love a nice early dose of winter....as long as it didn't use up all our quota, lol!!x

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

Intresting the models are not showing what the BBC just said

 

BBC london weathe 60-70mph widely inland.. 80-90mph on the coast and exposed areas... Sorry what? LOL I don't get it...

 

BBC weather at it again

Well they are in collaboration with Met Office so you'd assume it is a reliable forecast unless it is using old data?

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Kent Blizzard Rising Star

Kent Blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
Posted

Loving the RAMPS!!! Would love a nice early dose of winter....as long as it didn't use up all our quota, lol!!x

I'd take the gamble after the last couple of Autumn/Winters :-D

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lassie23 Maestro

lassie23

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted

Looks like a brief cold spell to me :ninja: Nothing to get excited about, especially down south. Beware of weather models bearing false gifts and all that, happens time and time again and we always fall for it. :doh:

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Author
Posted (edited)

Well if the GFS is right then snow could be possible to low levels for a time on Saturday.

108-7UK.GIF?17-0

 

Can we get some showers to come with this pocket of very cold air though?

 

As for today, mild and windy at the moment,

Edited by Captain shortwave
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NO LONGER POSTING Veteran

NO LONGER POSTING

Posted
Posted

Looks like the very far south will be spared the worst today and later.. (apart from the south east coast)

 

Using XC weather as I find it very accurate in the short time frame it wants the following:

 

Max wind speeds

 

Heathrow 58mph gusts

Gravesend 56mph gusts

Stanstead 61mph gusts

Biggin Hill 51mph gusts

Southend 60mph gusts

 

Further North 60-70mph is showing

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Blessed Weather Maestro

Blessed Weather

Posted
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: An Alpine climate - snowy winters and sunny summers
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
Posted

Thanks for all the 'heads up' Surrey. Those will be nasty gusts and unfortunately there's likely to be trees down and structural damage somewhere in our patch. I do enjoy these severe events, I just hope no-one gets hurt.

And at 08.00 it's such a benign start to the day.... dull, grey, drizzly and just a gentle breeze and 12.9C.

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frozencanals Contributor

frozencanals

Posted
  • Location: Southend on Sea, London, Jarnac in France
  • Location: Southend on Sea, London, Jarnac in France
Posted

The shipping forecast this morning was going for violent storm force 11 for a time in the Thames area in the next 24 hours...

 

It was mild (13 degrees) and calm this morning when I left Southend at 5:30.

 

FC

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Jo S Enthusiast

Jo S

Posted
  • Location: Moreton, Ongar Essex,
  • Weather Preferences: love snow and frosty mornings
  • Location: Moreton, Ongar Essex,
Posted

small breeze here, dull and damp and quite mild, calm before the storm i feel

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NO LONGER POSTING Veteran

NO LONGER POSTING

Posted
Posted (edited)

The shipping forecast this morning was going for violent storm force 11 for a time in the Thames area in the next 24 hours...

 

It was mild (13 degrees) and calm this morning when I left Southend at 5:30.

 

FC

 

Thats some powerful winds.. Ignore the people complaining that the met should update the warnings and remove it for the South... this is a ever changing situation and we don't know for sure what will happen. The storm is already below the pressure it should be forested at this time..

 

2015111708_eur_n_large.gif?1447750017

Edited by Surrey
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