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November 2015 -- Your C.E.T. forecasts


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Posted
  • Location: Mid Devon. New buildings nr crediton.
  • Weather Preferences: cold.snow.
  • Location: Mid Devon. New buildings nr crediton.

8.8 please

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

I'll go with 6.7C for now, thanks.

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Early guess for me of 6.7 degrees, another fairly average month though characterised perhaps by some wild fluctuations...

 

November can be a very dreary sort of month, drab speaks to mind, and very often disappoints... there have been exceptions in recent years, latter part of 2010 most notably so, and also 2012 which saw a cold sunny frosty spell, 2005 likewise and 2008 overall not too shabby either, but we've also had many wet very mild miserable affairs, 2006, 2007, 2009 (exceptionally so), 2011 and 2014. 2013 was fairly traditional - quite a mixed affair.

 

The autumn as a whole has shared hallmarks with 2009 and 2010 to some extent, with a lot of anticylonic weather and a very weak atlantic, however, both years produced wildly different Novembers - but both saw an unusual jet pattern with low pressure generally coming unstuck as it hit the UK shores in 2009 it simply wound itself to our west and drew in southerlies, in 2010 it never managed to really make it to the N Sea.

 

I always hope for a decent cold frosty spell at some stage in November, and a light dusting of snow by the month's end and the first proper snow covering on higher ground.

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Posted
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and....a bit more snow
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow

6.8c please

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Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

Rest in pieces 'autumn' 2015!  My guess is 10.5C.  :(  Last sub 3C November in 1915.  Last sub 4C November in 1925.  Last sub 5C November in 1993.  Last sub 6C November in 2010.

Edited by Lettucing Gutted
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Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham

Got this month wrong but unfortunately can't see the near average or cooler months continuing - 9.0c for me please.

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

6.5c cheers :)

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Posted
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold weather - frost or snow
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL

An above average and dire depressing nov ,7.9c for me please.

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Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

I'm going for a mild month, 8.1c. 

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Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall

The mild train is beginning. :)

7.7c for me please.

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

I'll go for a mild 8.5C

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

Here's how the 06z GFS currently sees the first 6 days of November

 

12.9C to the 1st (12.9: +3.5) [Record high: 13.5C]
13.0C to the 2nd (13.1: +4.1)
13.1C to the 3rd (13.3: +4.2)
13.2C to the 4th (13.7: +5.2) [Record high: 14.2C]
13.3C to the 5th (13.5: +5.2)
13.4C to the 6th (14.0: +5.8] [Record high: 13.4C]
 
13.4C to the 6th is a whopping 4.7C above the 81-10 average, and would be by far the mildest first 6 days of November on record (next mildest is 12.2C in 1996).
 
 
With this in mind, I'm going to up my guess to 8.0C.
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