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June 2015 CET forecasts


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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

CET Averages and Extremes

 

23.0 ... 3rd, 1947, warmest daily mean

22.4 ... average for last five days in June 1976

21.2 ... average for last nine days in June 1976

 

18.2 ... 1846 (warmest June)

18.0 ... 1676 (2nd warmest)

17.3 ... 1826 (3rd warmest)

17.1 ... 1822 (4th warmest)

17.0 ... 1976 (5th warmest)

 

15.1 ... CET 2014

 

14.8 ... average for 2001-2014

14.5 ... average for 1981-2010, also for 1701-1800

14.3 ... average for all years 1659-2014, also 1801-1900

14.2 ... average for 1961-1990, also 1901-2000 

14.1 ... average for 1971-2000, also 1659-1700

 

13.6 ... CET 2013

13.5 ... CET 2012

 

11.8 ... 1972, 1916, 1909 (tied 2nd coldest)

11.5 ... 1675 (coldest June)

 

 7.3 ... 9th (1816) and 19th (1795) coldest daily means

_______________________________________________________

 

Enter your forecast by end of Sunday 31st May, or with increasing late penalties during the first three days of June.

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Posted
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, cold, cold and errrr......cold. I am, unashamedly, a cold fan.
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth

13.9 please.

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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

16.9ºC Flaming June.

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

14.1c please

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Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

A lot of negativity about the coming summer with the long rangers seemingly in agreement on a cool and wet summer. That said the CFS weeklies and now the GFS ens are going against this with heights perhaps building favourably to bring a spell of summery weather. At this point I think I will give it a week before a final prediction.

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Posted
  • Location: halifax 125m
  • Weather Preferences: extremes the unusual and interesting facts
  • Location: halifax 125m

15.3 deg thanks

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Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland

15.0C for me please.

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Posted
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
  • Weather Preferences: hot summers; frigid winters; golden fall; bright spring
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts

14.7 please

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Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall

14.3c

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Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex

15.0C

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Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees

14.6c

Edited by Snowstorm1
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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Too early to call, will wait until the end of the week, some charts suggesting perhaps a warmish start to the month..

 

June can be the best month of the year, it generally sees clearer skies than July and August thanks to less pollution causing haze, and is also usually not associated with too much in the way of humidity unlike July and August making for more comfortable sleeping. Also simply because it comes at the start of the summer, there is a always a more positive glow to things than August especially when desperation sets in.. light levels are at there fullest, its the month of twilight, you can't beat a warm light summer evening in June. A warm sunny day in June I would take any day over a warm sunny day in August (I always have a moan about August.)

Edited by damianslaw
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Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

19C  :(  Last sub 12C June in 1972.  Last sub 13C and last sub 13.5C June in 1991.

Edited by Lettucing Gutted
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Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)

12.9C

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Still a bit early yet for me, the models are hinting at an improving picture for June but its not in a reliable timeframe yet, so I shall hold off until the end of the week

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)

Might change my guess closer to the day itself but, for now, will go for14.2*C please. (Hoping that possible warm and settled start to June won't become eradicated, though).

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Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

Going for 16.1C

The first half of June will produce the best spell of summery weather since July 2013. The second half will probably end up near normal.

Though the CFS sets up an interesting height anomaly throughout the fist half of June with low heights over Iberia and higher heights over Scandinavia, a south easterly flow with the risk of thundery outbreaks pushing up from the continent. This reflected in other longer range outputs.

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Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Location: Shrewsbury

13.8, sadly. That mass of cold water in the Atlantic will probably ruin it.

Really strange that June was no warmer in the late 20th Century than the late 17th, if only the same was true of Jan or Feb...

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

Below is the June CET from 1659-2014 in blue, the 30 year average in red and the linear trend in black.

 

zqKd6rp.png

 

 

The CET this month is likely to finish somewhere between 10.4 and 11.2C after corrections. The average June following Aprils within that range is 14.1C.

 

The linear trend for the whole record is +0.01C per century. Following this trend gives a June CET of 14.3C.

The linear trend since 1850 is +0.20C per century. Following this trend gives a June CET of 14.4C.

The linear trend since 1950 is +0.33C per century. Following this trend gives a June CET of 14.5C.

The linear trend over the last 50 years is +1.08C per century. Following this trend gives a June CET of 14.6C.

The linear trend over the last 30 years is +3.21C per century. Following this trend gives a June CET of 14.8C.

 

The current 30 year average of 14.4C poses little threat to any records. The highest 30 year average peak in recent years was 14.5C up to 2011, but even that was still well of the record of 14.7C set in the 30 years up to 1851.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

14.5C for me.

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