May 2015 CET forecasts

[BornFromTheVoid]

The minimum today is 8.8C while maxima look like reaching the mid 14s, so remaining on 11.1C on tomorrows update,

 

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

 

11.1C to the 29th (10.2)

11.0C to the 30th (9.9)

11.0C to the 31st (11.6)

 

Somewhere between 10.9C and 11.1C before corrections, and 10.5C to 11.1C after corrections is likely. So below all recent 30 year averages and possibly over 1C below the 81-10 average (11.7C).

[damianslaw]

Expecting a downward adjustment, good bet finish of 10.8 degrees, chance of 10.7 degrees. Maxima have been consistently below average, whilst minima have been close to average thanks to lots of cloud and wind in the main, clearer nights and we could have been looking at a notably cooler than average month.

[Weather26]

And the verdict from the Met Office up to the 27th May is-Cold and Wet month

 

http://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2015/05/29/a-cold-and-wet-may/

 

This is of course with 4 more days to be added on (including both today's and this Sunday's rain figures to add on.)

[Summer Sun]

11.1c to the 28th

 

Bang on the 61 to 90 average

 

0.4c below the 81 to 10 average

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 10.6C coldest May since 2013

[Summer Sun]

11.1c to the 29th

 

Bang on the 61 to 90 average

 

0.5c below the 81 to 10 average

[Summer Sun]

11.0c to the 30th

 

0.1c below on the 61 to 90 average

 

0.6c below the 81 to 10 average

[damianslaw]

Suspect we will hold at 11.0 degrees today, though could nudge down to 10.9 degrees, and with expected downward adjustments, a finish of 10.7 or 10.8 degrees most likely. However, it will mask what has been a much colder than average month max temp wise in the NW quarter of the country, probably the greatest deviation since the cold May of 1996 here.

[Summer Sun]

May confirmed as 10.76C

[Weather-history]

Every month this year so far has been at least 1.0C cooler than their predecessors last year.

[summer blizzard]

Every month this year so far has been at least 1.0C cooler than their predecessors last year.

 

An incredibly average year so far. No month more than 0.9C different from the 1981-2010 average since November. 

[J10]

Scores to be updated tomorrow.

[Lettucing Gutted]

At 10.8C May 2015 is only the 3rd May to finish below 11C post 1996 along with 2010 (10.7C) and 2013 (10.2C).  In between 1996 and 2010 the coldest May was 2005's balmy 11.4C! - still 0.2C above the 1961-1990 average!  Also May 2015 is only the 1st month to finish below all post 1960 30 year averages post August 2014 and so far the only cool month of 2015.

Edited June 2, 2015 by Goodbye Cold Weather! :(

[J10]

Monthly - > no one got it spot on this month,

 

coram was 0.1c out with BornFromTheVoid 0.2c out and sundog March Blizzard both 0.3c out

 

Seasonal -> The Top 3 was BornFromTheVoid,  damianslaw and Mark Bayley

 

Overall - The Current Top 3 is BornFromTheVoid,   Weather26 and DiagonalRedLine

 

PDF Format -> May 2015 CET.pdf

 

XLS Format -> May 2015 CET.xls

 

Stats Zone

 

The average score was 1.3c out, with people going for a mild May, and we got a cool/cold one. No real correlation again

Edited June 2, 2015 by J10

[BornFromTheVoid]

Below is the daily mean May CET compared to historical averages and extremes.

 

 

And below are the daily CET corrections

 

[damianslaw]

Pleased with my performance this Spring.. I'm doing much better than this year than probably since 2010...

 

Though already thinking I've gone too high this month..