April 2015 CET Forecasts

[Mark Bayley]

8.9c please 

[J10]

Above average 8.7c

[DAVID SNOW]

Try 8.6 ta.

[mulzy]

8.5C bang on average

[Don]

Another month not too far from average.  I will go with 8.4C please with close to average rainfall.

[Man With Beard]

9.0C please

[Duncan McAlister]

7.7C for me please.

[Weather-history]

8.6C

[Great Plum]

8.8c please

[AderynCoch]

8.1

[davehsug]

9.9c Pls.

[easy-oasy]

8.3 is my guess please

[March Blizzard]

I'll go for 8.0, thanks.

[Roger J Smith]

Posting a monthly table of entries just a bit early as I won't be in at midnight here, but will update the table with any further entries.

 

Thus far, 63 entries and median is 8.7 C, over half the field were clustered rather tightly around that between 8.4 and 9.0 C.

 

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/75427-cet-competition-the-scores-ongoing/page-6#entry3185975

Edited March 31, 2015 by Roger J Smith

[AtlanticFlamethrower]

7.0C

[Polar Gael]

10.1C for me please.

[SteveB]

9.5c please

[Harve]

8.6c

[Summer Sun]

6.2c to the 1st

 

0.7c below the 61 to 90 average

 

*81 to 10 averages not available at the time of posting*

[BornFromTheVoid]

That's 2.0C below the 81-10 average

 

Below is the daily 81-10 average, with the cumulative average in brackets.

 

1st 8.3 (8.3)

2nd 8.1 (8.2)

3rd 7.4 (7.9)

4th 7.1 (7.7)

5th 7.1 (7.6)

6th 7.5 (7.6)

7th 7.3 (7.5)

8th 7.2 (7.5)

9th 7.5 (7.5)

10th 8.2 (7.6)

11th 8.0 (7.6)

12th 7.8 (7.6)

13th 7.5 (7.6)

14th 8.0 (7.7)

15th 8.3 (7.7)

16th 8.5 (7.7)

17th 8.4 (7.

18th 8.1 (7.

19th 8.1 (7.

20th 8.4 (7.

21st 9.2 (7.9)

22nd 9.4 (8.0)

23rd 9.7 (8.1)

24th 9.7 (8.1)

25th 10.1 (8.2)

26th 10.1 (8.3)

27th 10.1 (8.3)

28th 9.9 (8.4)

29th 9.9 (8.4)

30th 10.5 (8.5)

 

 

With a minimum of 5.1C and maxima likely to reach close to 10C, we should be on 6.8C on tomorrows update. Here's how things look for the first 3rd of the month according to the 06z GFS

 

7.3C to the 3rd (8.1)

7.3C to the 4th (7.4)

7.2C to the 5th (7.0)

7.2C to the 6th (7.0)

7.3C to the 7th (7.

7.4C to the 8th (8.5)

7.5C to the 9th (8.0)

7.6C to the 10th (9.0)

7.8C to the 11th (8.9)

 

So back above the 61-90 and 81-10 averages by the 11th

 

 

[Roger J Smith]

Thanks for posting those 1981-2010 values, I have my extremes ready and looking at my excel file, I don't see any differences in the 1981-2010 averages or cumulatives so will just post the extremes (if I copy this next year I can always append the data above).

 

DATE ___ MAX yr _________ MIN yr

 

01 Apr ... 13.3 (1995) ........ -0.2 (1917)
02 Apr ... 13.9 (1835) ........ -0.5 (1917)

03 Apr ... 15.0 (1926,1946) .... -0.5 (1799) 
04 Apr ... 15.6 (1946)......... 1.0 (1809&1830) 
05 Apr ... 13.3 (1857) ......... 0.4 (1911)

06 Apr ... 15.1 (2011) ......... 0.8 (1911)
07 Apr ... 14.7 (1859) ......... 1.0 (1839)
08 Apr ... 12.5 (1798) ......... 2.4 (1780)
09 Apr ... 13.5 (1778) ......... 1.4 (1812)
10 Apr ... 13.5 (1928) ......... 0.5 (1837)

11 Apr ... 16.0 (1869) ......... 1.3 (1978)
12 Apr ... 14.4 (1939) ......... 1.1 (1879)
13 Apr ... 14.6 (1792) ......... 1.1 (1816)
14 Apr ... 16.1 (1869) ......... 0.5 (1966)
15 Apr ... 16.3 (1945) ......... 1.4 (1966)

16 Apr ... 17.0 (1945) ......... 2.0 (1892)
17 Apr ... 14.9 (1865) ......... 2.1 (1793&1812)
18 Apr ... 14.5 (1945) ......... 1.7 (1807) 
19 Apr ... 15.4 (1870) ......... -0.2 (1772) 
20 Apr ... 16.6 (1893) ......... 2.3 (1849)

21 Apr ... 16.1 (1893) ......... 2.4 (1936)
22 Apr ... 15.4 (2011) ......... 3.4 (1778) 
23 Apr ... 15.9 (1874) ......... 2.6 (1908) 
24 Apr ... 15.3 (2007) ......... 0.5 (1908) 
25 Apr ... 15.9 (1821) ......... 1.8 (1908) 
 

26 Apr ... 16.1 (1928) ......... 3.3 (1981)
27 Apr ... 16.5 (1866) ......... 2.7 (1919)
28 Apr ... 16.9 (1775) ......... 3.0 (1826)
29 Apr ... 19.7 (1775) ......... 0.7 (1856) 
30 Apr ... 17.4 (1775) ......... 2.6 (1945)
 

[Evening thunder]

Always manage to forget and be late.. may as well enter a guess, 9.1C

[Summer Sun]

6.8c to the 2nd

 

0.1c above the 61 to 90 average

 

1.3c below the 81 to 10 average

[Summer Sun]

7.5c to the 3rd

 

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

 

0.4c below the 81 to 10 average?

 

Are we following the numbers in or out of the brackets for the 81 to 10 daily average

Edited April 4, 2015 by Summer Sun

[BornFromTheVoid]

7.5c to the 3rd

 

1.0c above the 61 to 90 average

 

0.3c below the 81 to 10 average?

 

Are we following the numbers in or out of the brackets for the 81 to 10 daily average

 

In the brackets, they show the average from the 1st up to that point in the month (cumulative average), similar to what the MO show with the 61-90 average.

The value outside the brackets is the average for that individual day.