Jump to content

Welcome To The Netweather Forum!

Sign In or Register for full access to the community - including the regional forums.

Photo

Typhoon Wipha

west pacific

This topic has been archived. This means that you cannot reply to this topic.
17 replies to this topic

#1 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 10 October 2013 - 17:21

The active period continues in the West Pacific, with another tropical depression, 25W, forming just southwest of Guam. The depression has convection building nicely near the LLCC. Strengthening is expected as shear is low and waters warm. The depression is expected to move northwest, then north then northeast around the south, west and north sides of a steering ridge anchored to the northeast. 25W is forecast to become a typhoon before recurving northeast out to sea.
Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#2 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 11 October 2013 - 06:17

25W has become Tropical Storm Wipha, with winds of 40kts. Wipha continues to organise with some persistant convection building near the centre and multiple bands wrapping towards the LLCC. With low shear, good outflow and warm waters ahead for Wipha, it could become quite an intense typhoon over the next few days.


Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#3 Coast

Coast

    Rider on the storm

  • Members
  • 33,294 posts

Posted 11 October 2013 - 10:04

Posted Image

 

 

Posted Image

 

Wipha continues to develop and move north on Friday. Winds as of writing this update are relatively low but it is forecasted to become a strong Typhoon with winds around 75-80kts sustained over the weekend. This storm still has a long ways to go before it will potentially impact land areas along mainland Japan by next week.  At this time though the storm will likely remain off shore and impact the Izu islands. For now though we should continue to monitor the storm. Still plenty of time to gauge where it will be impacting. 

 

 
 

http://www.westernpa...hreat-to-japan/


SAAB Convertible

Posted Image

Now, you listen here:'e's not the Messiah,'e's a very naughty boy!
Views & opinions expressed in any of my posts are my own - but the voices made me do it


#4 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 11 October 2013 - 17:33

Wipha has strengthened to 55kts. The storm has an impressive amount of intense convection and very strong banding. With shear remaining low and waters warm, this could become quite and intense typhoon. JTWC are expecting a peak of 110kts.
Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#5 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 12 October 2013 - 15:50

Wipha is now a typhoon, with winds of 65kts. The typhoon retains a central dense overcast and is developing an eye. The potential for rapid strengthening is evident, as the structure, along with the superb outflow, low shear and very warm water supports the potential.
Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#6 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 12 October 2013 - 18:03

Wipha's impressive satellite signature:

 

20131012.1432.mtsat-2.x.ir1km_bw.25WWIPHA.65kts-974mb-173N-1382E.100pc.jpg

 


Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#7 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 13 October 2013 - 09:44

Wipha has bombed overnight and now has winds of 100kts, making the typhoon a cat 3 on the SS scale. A small, and very well defined eye has popped out of the central dense overcast. With radial outflow, low shear and warm water ahead for the next day or so, Wipha may continue to rapidly intensify. In a couple days time, Wipha will recurve northeast to the southeast of Japan and become extratropical under increased shear and colder water. Wipha will be close enough to eastern Japan do deliver some very stormy  weather beyond midweek.

 

20131013.0832.mtsat-2.x.ir1km_bw.25WWIPHA.100kts-948mb-191N-1371E.100pc.jpg


Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#8 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 13 October 2013 - 19:17

Wipha has become a category 4 on the SS scale, with winds now at 115kts. A well defined eye persists in satellite imagery, embedded in a solid central dense overcast, flanked by impressive banding. Further strengthening is likely over the next 24hrs or so before shear begins to rise.


Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#9 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 14 October 2013 - 10:34

Wipha started an eyewall replacement cycle (EWRC) last night, and is yet to complete it. Intensity has fallen to 105kts as a result of the cycle. Shear is still low for now, but the EWRC is not expected to complete fully before the shear rises tonight, so re-intensification appears unlikely. Wipha is still a threat to eastern Japan over the next couple of days as it grazes past just to the southeast as it races out of the tropics.

 

A satellite image showing the cloud filled double eyewall:

 

 

20131014.0932.mtsat-2.x.ir1km_bw.25WWIPHA.105kts-944mb-230N-1349E.100pc.jpg

 

 

 


Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#10 lorenzo

lorenzo
  • Forum Team
  • 4,274 posts

Posted 15 October 2013 - 06:49

This Typhoon getting some interest on the American site wrt. the pattern change developing.

 

Great thread here on the recurve of the feature and the strengthening of the NW Pacific ridge as a result. Also looking at models this morning another one on track behind it to reinforce the same pattern.

 

http://www.americanw...pattern-change/


Netweather Extra

 

My own weather Blog

 

http://scotlandwx.co.uk/


#11 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 15 October 2013 - 08:13

Looks to become a potent extratropical storm for sure.
Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#12 Coast

Coast

    Rider on the storm

  • Members
  • 33,294 posts

Posted 15 October 2013 - 08:47

 

Powerful typhoon Wipha eyes Tokyo, Japan
 
The western Pacific ocean has come alive with typhoons in recent weeks. The latest, typhoon Wipha, has its sights set on the east coast of Japan. With maximum sustained winds of 120 mph, Wipha is the equivalent of a category 3 hurricane. Although it’s weakening and expected to lose its tropical characteristics on its voyage north and then northeast-bound, Wipha should still be a force as it nears some of Japan’s major population centers.
 
Posted Image
 
“Wipha will remain a strong and expansive extra-tropical system as it tracks along the eastern coast of Japan,” the Joint Typhoon Warning Center writes. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center projects Wipha to make a very close approach to Tokyo Wednesday morning local time (Tuesday evening EDT), with maximum sustained winds still a formidable 80 mph.

 

Posted Image

 

The exact track of Wipha is critical. If its center passes just west of Tokyo, a large storm surge would affect the city of more than 35 million people and potentially bring major flooding. However, if it remains to Tokyo’s east over the Pacific, such an inland push of water would be avoided. The official forecast favors the less threatening ocean track.

 

Posted Image

 

Irrespective of the exact track and storm surge potential, flooding rains and damaging winds are a threat along Japan’s east coast from Osaka to Fukushima. The GFS weather model projects about 8 inches of rain in Tokyo between Tuesday and Thursday.

 

Posted Image

 

There’s an outside chance the storm remains far enough east to just give Japan a glancing blow, with little impact.
Wipha is the 12th typhoon and 26th named storm of the west Pacific typhoon season.

 

 

http://www.washingto...es-tokyo-japan/


SAAB Convertible

Posted Image

Now, you listen here:'e's not the Messiah,'e's a very naughty boy!
Views & opinions expressed in any of my posts are my own - but the voices made me do it


#13 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 15 October 2013 - 21:45

Wipha is well on the way to becoming extratropical, and JTWC have issued their last advisory. Winds are still at 65kts. Wipha is racing northeastwards at 30kts as it becomes embedded in the mid-lattitude westerly wind belt. Convection has become increasingly shallow as dry air wraps around the system, but Wipha is still battering Japan with hurricane force winds and heavy rain nonetheless. Wipha should move away from Japan tomorrow.


Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#14 Coast

Coast

    Rider on the storm

  • Members
  • 33,294 posts

Posted 16 October 2013 - 08:00

Japan Typhoon Wipha kills 14 people

 

At least 14 people have been killed after a powerful typhoon passed close to the Japanese capital, reports say.

 

Typhoon Wipha caused landslides and flooding on Izu Oshima island, south of Tokyo. Many people died when houses collapsed or were buried in mudslides. Two were found dead near a river. At the crippled Fukushima nuclear plant, operators pumped out rain water from around storage tanks holding contaminated water. In Tokyo, flights were cancelled, bullet train services suspended and schools closed. "It is the strongest typhoon in 10 years to pass the Kanto [Tokyo area] region," Hiroyuki Uchida, the Japan Meteorological Agency's chief forecaster, told journalists on Tuesday.

 

'Crackling sound'

 

The storm brought strong winds and record rainfall - 122mm (4.8 inches) in one hour on Wednesday morning - to Izu Oshima island, which lies some 120km (75 miles) south of Tokyo. Officials on the island said that 13 bodies had found and more than 50 people were unaccounted for. "We have no idea how bad the extent of damage could be," town official Hinani Uematsu said. Local media described mud and debris strewn around houses.

 

Posted Image
Houses were buried in mudslides triggered by the rain
 
Posted Image
Rescuers were struggling to access some areas, reports said
 
Posted Image
In the capital, the storm led to train services and flights being cancelled
 

"I heard a crackling sound and then the trees on the hillside all fell over," a woman on the island told national broadcaster NHK television. "Then mud slid as far as the house." Rescuers were struggling to access many areas, local reports said. "City hall and fire station officials are doing rescue work in places accessible," a local official told AFP news agency. In Tokyo, a woman died after falling in a river and a search was under way for two young boys last seen on a beach, reports said.

 

Around 400 domestic and international flights were also cancelled in the capital, Kyodo news agency said. Nearly 20,000 people were ordered to evacuate and thousands of schools shut as a result of the typhoon, Reuters news agency reported. Typhoon Wipha was expected to move north-east and weaken over the course of the day.

 

Posted Image
 

Around midday it passed close to the crippled Fukushima nuclear plant, where contaminated water used to cool reactor cores is being stored in temporary tanks. Plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Company said on Tuesday that it had made "preparations for proper management of contaminated water" and would "patrol places that could have inflows of water [from the storm]". Izu Oshima, a volcanic island popular with tourists, has more than 8,000 residents.

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk...d-asia-24531140


SAAB Convertible

Posted Image

Now, you listen here:'e's not the Messiah,'e's a very naughty boy!
Views & opinions expressed in any of my posts are my own - but the voices made me do it


#15 Coast

Coast

    Rider on the storm

  • Members
  • 33,294 posts

Posted 16 October 2013 - 14:08

 

At least 17 dead, 50 missing as Typhoon Wipha grazes Japan

 

Posted Image

 

A typhoon killed 17 people in Japan on Wednesday, most on an offshore island, but largely spared the capital and caused no new disaster as it brushed by the wrecked Fukushima nuclear power station. Typhoon Wipha roared up Japan's east coast, forcing the evacuation of about 20,000 people from their homes because of flooding and the cancellation of hundreds of flights. Sixteen people were killed on Izu Oshima island about 120 kilometres south of Tokyo, as rivers burst their banks.

 

Meanwhile, the island's local authority says it has not been able to confirm the whereabouts of 50 of Izu Oshima's more than 8,300 residents. The storm set off mudslides along a two-kilometre stretch of mountains. Television footage showed roads clogged with wreckage and houses with gaping holes smashed into them. "I heard a crackling sound and then the trees on the hillside all fell over," a woman on Izu Oshima told NHK television.

 

The once-in-a-decade storm brought hurricane-force winds and drenching rain to the Tokyo metropolitan area of 30 million people at the peak of the morning rush hour. A woman was swept away by a swollen river in the west of the capital, the government said, while about 20 people were hurt in falls or struck by flying debris. More than 500 flights at Tokyo's Haneda and Narita airports were cancelled, and thousands of schools closed. Bullet train services were halted but resumed by Wednesday afternoon. 

 

The operator of the Fukushima nuclear plant, Tokyo Electric Power Corporation (TEPCO), cancelled all offshore work and secured machinery as the storm approached. TEPCO has been struggling to contain radioactive leaks since a 2011 earthquake and tsunami caused extensive damage and triggered the world's worst nuclear crisis since Chernobyl in 1986. A TEPCO spokesman said the typhoon had caused no new problems at the plant, which is on the coast 220 kilometres north of Tokyo. The storm dumped heavy rain which had to be pumped out of protective containers at the base of about 1,000 tanks storing radioactive water, the by-product of a jerry-rigged cooling system designed to control wrecked reactors. The rainwater was checked for radioactivity and released into the sea, the company spokesman said. 

 

Typhoon Wipha was downgraded to a tropical depression by 5:00pm AEST. It was off the coast of north-eastern Japan and moving northeast at 95 kph, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency. At its height, Wipha had sustained winds at its centre of 126 kph and gusts of up to 180 kph. It was the strongest storm to hit the region since October 2004. That cyclone triggered floods and landslides that killed almost 100 people, forced thousands from their homes and caused billions of dollars in damage.

 

 

http://www.abc.net.a...cyclone/5026396


SAAB Convertible

Posted Image

Now, you listen here:'e's not the Messiah,'e's a very naughty boy!
Views & opinions expressed in any of my posts are my own - but the voices made me do it


#16 Somerset Squall

Somerset Squall

    Category 5 Super Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

  • Extreme weather worldwide host
  • 9,751 posts

Posted 16 October 2013 - 18:58

A nasty storm indeed. Initially Wipha was forecast to head to the southeast of Japan, but that track kept getting shunted further west. 122mm of rain in one hour, that is staggering!


Thunderstorms 2005: 17!! Thunderstorms 2006: 13, Thunderstorms 2007: 7, Thunderstorms 2008: 10, Thunderstorms 2009: 6, Thunderstorms 2010: 2, Thunderstorms 2011: 2, Thunderstorms 2012: 6, Thunderstorms 2013: 6

Thunderstorms 2014: 17- January 3rd (2), January 6th (1), January 7th (1), 2nd April (1), 19th May (2) 22nd May (1), 29th May (1) 7th June (1), 27th June (1), 28th June (1), 18th July (1), 19th July (2), 7th October (1), 16th October (1),

#17 Coast

Coast

    Rider on the storm

  • Members
  • 33,294 posts

Posted 17 October 2013 - 07:49

Looks like it missed the Fukushima nuclear plant as Wipha gets downgraded to a Tropical Depression:

 

 

Typhoon Wipha wreaks deadly destruction on Japan
 
Japanese islanders die and homes damaged in mudslides but typhoon spares Tokyo and Fukushima nuclear plant
 
A typhoon has killed 17 people in Japan, but largely spared the capital and brushed by the wrecked Fukushima nuclear power station. More than 50 people were missing after typhoon Wipha roared up Japan's east coast, including two schoolboys engulfed by waves on a beach; 20 more were hurt by falls or being struck by flying debris. About 20,000 people were told to leave their homes because of the danger of flooding and hundreds of flights were cancelled. Sixteen people were killed on Izu Oshima island, about 75 miles (120km) south of Tokyo, as rivers burst their banks. The storm set off mudslides along a mile-long stretch of mountains. Wipha sustained winds of 78mph (126km/h) with gusts up to 180km/h.
 
Television footage showed roads clogged with wreckage and houses with gaping holes smashed into them. "I heard a crackling sound and then the trees on the hillside all fell over," a woman on Izu Oshima told NHK television. The storm brought hurricane-force winds and torrential rain to the Tokyo metropolitan area of 30 million people at the peak of the morning rush-hour. The operator of the Fukushima nuclear plant, Tokyo Electric Power Corp, cancelled all offshore work and secured machinery as the storm approached. The operator, known as Tepco, has been struggling to contain radioactive leaks since a 2011 earthquake and tsunami caused extensive damage and triggered the world's worst nuclear crisis since Chernobyl in 1986. A Tepco spokesman said Typhoon Wipha had caused no new problems at the plant, which is on the coast 130 miles (220km) north of Tokyo.
 
The storm dumped heavy rain that had to be pumped out of protective containers at the base of about 1,000 tanks storing radioactive water, the byproduct of a jerry-rigged cooling system designed to control wrecked reactors. The rainwater was checked for radioactivity and released into the sea, the company spokesman said.
 
Wipha has been down-graded to a tropical depression. During the height of the storm, more than 500 flights at Tokyo's Haneda and Narita airports were cancelled, and thousands of schools closed.Typhoon Wipha was the strongest storm to hit the region since October 2004. That cyclone triggered floods and landslides that killed almost 100 people, forced thousands from their homes and caused billions of dollars in damage.

 

 

 


SAAB Convertible

Posted Image

Now, you listen here:'e's not the Messiah,'e's a very naughty boy!
Views & opinions expressed in any of my posts are my own - but the voices made me do it


#18 Vorticity0123

Vorticity0123
  • Members
  • 342 posts

Posted 17 October 2013 - 11:35

Some nice footage from Wipha: 

 

Posted Image

 

This image shows nicely the extratropical transition of Wipha, and how the center moved just to the southeast of Japan.

 

Posted Image

 

This loop displays how a huge moisture plume gets sucked to the north along with Wipha, to be brought toward Alaska.

 

Source:

http://cimss.ssec.wi...date/2013/10/15


Edited by Vorticity0123, 17 October 2013 - 11:36 .