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Typhoon Wutip

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#1 Somerset Squall

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Posted 26 September 2013 - 21:01

Tropical Depression 20W has formed in the South China Sea (SCS), just west of the Philippines. The depression has winds of 30kts. There is some weak banding south of the LLCC, but convection is lacking directly over the centre at present. Shear is low, and waters are warm along track, so strengthening is expected. Ridging to the north is expected to guide 20W generally west over the next few days, and 20W is expected to make landfall in Vietnam near the city of Hue. Exact landfall location is subject to change, but Vietnam need to be wary of this one, as it may have time to strengthen into a typhoon prior to landfall.

 

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#2 Coast

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Posted 27 September 2013 - 07:00

[color=rgb(255,255,255);font-family:sans-serif;font-size:19px;background-color:rgb(0,0,204);]Tropical Depression TWENTY: Probability of tropical storm winds to 120 hours lead[/color]

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Tropical depression Twenty is forecast to strike Vietnam as a typhoon at about 00:00 GMT on 1 October.

 

Tropical depression Twenty is forecast to strike Vietnam as a typhoon at about 00:00 GMT on 1 October. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 16.8 N, 108.6 E. Twenty is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 129 km/h (80 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.
 
According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Twenty's strength (category 1) at landfall includes: Storm surge generally 1.2-1.5 metres (4-5 feet) above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.
 
The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.

 

 

 

http://www.trust.org...27023807-0zbov/


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#3 Somerset Squall

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Posted 27 September 2013 - 12:27

Tropical Depression 20W has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Wutip, with winds now at 35kts. The cyclone has jogged north whilst it's been organising over the last 12 hours. The LLC is now tucked beneath an expanding area of convection, which is flanked by increasingly impressive banding features. Further strengthening should occur in the low shear and warm sea temperature conditions, and Wutip is still likely to be a typhoon at landfall.
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#4 Somerset Squall

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Posted 28 September 2013 - 06:22

Wutip has rapidly strengthened overnight, and the latest JTWC advisory (3am) has Wutip as a 55kt tropical storm. However, in latest satellite imagery, an eye is readily visible, indicating that Wutip may well be upgraded to a typhoon next advisory (around 9am). The rapid strengthening is not good news for Vietnam, as it is likely Wutip will be stronger than a cat 1 on the SS scale at landfall now, as the storm still has another couple days over warm water and low shear.

 

996848_621056027916858_1099074008_n.jpg


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#5 Somerset Squall

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Posted 28 September 2013 - 17:49

Wutip is now a typhoon, with winds of 65kts. The eye has become cloud filled but the central dense overcast has deepened considerably and become more symmetrical. Wutip is forecast to become a cat 2 prior to landfall, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a cat 3 out of this. Wutip has become quasi-stationary as the ridge to the north has been broken down by a trough, but the ridge should reassert itself tomorrow, and Wutip will pick up a quicker westward track towards Vietnam. Shear is set to remain low, waters warm, and outflow excellent, which should fuel further intensification.


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#6 Somerset Squall

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Posted 29 September 2013 - 08:29

Wutip has rapidly strengthened overnight and is now a 90kt cat 2 on the SS scale. Wutip is now forecast to achieve cat 3 status over the next 12 hours as it continues it's journey towards Vietnam. Needless to say, this recent intensification is not good news at all for the country.


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#7 Somerset Squall

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Posted 29 September 2013 - 23:31

Wutip has weakened to 80kts. Some moderate shear has affected the system this evening, and outflow is not so strong. Wutip will make landfall on Vietnam in about 12 hours time, still at typhoon strength.


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#8 Coast

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Posted 30 September 2013 - 08:00

 

Typhoon Wutip: Over 70 Missing As Boats Sink

 
Fishermen are caught up in a typhoon threatening Vietnam where tens of thousands of people are being evacuated.

 

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More than 70 people are missing after three Chinese fishing boats sank in a powerful typhoon off the coast of Vietnam. The vessels were hit by strong winds near the Paracel Islands in the South China Sea, according to reports. The number of missing fishermen has been put at up to 75. At least five boats carrying 171 people were caught up in rough seas whipped up by Typhoon Wutip, which is expected to make landfall in Vietnam's central region later with winds of up to 93mph, gusts of 125mph and heavy rain.
 
Vietnamese deputy prime minister Hoang Trung Hai ordered a mass evacuation as he travelled around the central provinces. More than 8,000 villagers in Quang Tri province's coastal areas were moved to safer places on Sunday night. Another 35,000 in areas facing serious flooding, landslides and flash floods were also being evacuated. And there were also plans to move over 140,000 people in four other central provinces.
 
Wutip is the strongest typhoon to hit Vietnam this season. The most powerful tropical storm in Asia this year was Typhoon Usagi, which caused at least 33 deaths in the Philippines and China earlier this month.
 
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http://news.sky.com/...g-as-boats-sink


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#9 Coast

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Posted 30 September 2013 - 08:03

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#10 Somerset Squall

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Posted 30 September 2013 - 09:04

Wutip has weakened to 75kts, but has restrengthened unfortunately right before landfall. Intensity is back up to 90kts as the eye has cleared out again and become better defined. The typhoon is now making landfall, evidenced by this recent satellite image of the eye nearing the coast. Heavy rains will continue for several days I would imagine as Wutip slowly decays as it moves inland, but the damaging winds should ease through the day and tomorrow.

 

20130930.0732.mtsat2.x.vis1km_high.20WWUTIP.80kts-963mb-169N-1100E.100pc.jpg


Edited by Somerset Squall, 30 September 2013 - 09:05 .

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#11 Coast

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Posted 30 September 2013 - 11:25

 

Tens of thousands of people were being evacuated from high-risk areas in Hanoi in central Vietnam on Monday as a typhoon that sank at least two Chinese fishing ships neared the coast. A total of 75 fishermen are missing after three vessels encountered strong winds near the Paracel Islands, according to a statement on the website of the Hainan government in south China. Two of the vessels sank on Sunday and contact with the third has been lost, it said. Typhoon Wutip was expected to hit the central coast later on Monday with sustained winds of up to 93 miles per hour and gusts up to 125 mph, Vietnam's weather forecaster said. Heavy rains were expected.

 
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Typhoon Wutip hit Vietnam and proved to be the strongest tropical storm they saw all season

 

Disaster official Le Tri Cong said more than 8,000 villagers in Quang Tri province's coastal areas were evacuated to safe places as of Sunday night and 35,000 others from areas facing with serious flooding, landslides and flash floods are being evacuated. More than 140,000 people in four other central provinces are planned for evacuation on Monday, the central floods and storms control committee said on its website. Schools in five central provinces were closed and coast guards told 61,000 fishing boats with 303,000 crew members to take shelter, the committee said.

 

http://www.dailymail...l#ixzz2gNGXJNCc 
 


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#12 Coast

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Posted 30 September 2013 - 14:14

Thailand in the firing line too?

 

 

[font="tahoma, geneva, sans-serif;"]19 provinces on flood alert as Typhoon Wutip heads to Thailand[/font]

 

State agencies ordered to prepare for Typhoon Wutip, expected to bring heavy rain to 19 provinces in the North and Northeast from Tuesday, with many provinces already struggling under floods brought by monsoon rains. Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra on Monday instructed the Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Department and other offices in risk areas to prepare for the storm, which is set to bring torrential rain and floods to many areas already inundated with water. 

 
According to a report from the department, 32 provinces are already struggling to cope with floods, which have killed at least 22 people this year. The premier said the government will closely monitor Wutip, while the Flood Relief Operation Centre warned that 19 provinces are in the path of the typhoon. They are Mukdahan, Bung Kan, Nakhon Phanom, Sakon Nakhon, Udon Thani, Nong Khai, Loei, Kalasin and Nong Bua Lamphu in the Northeast and Nan, Uttaradit, Phrae, Phayao, Lampang, Lamphun, Chiang Rai, Chiang Mai, Mae Hong Son and Tak in the North.
 
Central and eastern provinces may not be directly affected by the typhoon, but existing floods could be exacerbated, especially in Prachin Buri. Deputy Prime Minister Plodprasop Suraswadi said the government is particularly concerned about the situation in Prachin Buri's Muang district, because the business town is being inundated with water from the northern districts of Kabin Buri, Si Maha Phot and Prachantakham.
 
Roads along the banks of the Prachin Buri River in Muang district are now submerged by up to 60 centimetres of water - double the level recorded on Saturday. Provinces downstream of the Chao Phraya dam in Chai Nat have also been hit by floods, as the dam continues to release water at 2,195 cubic metres per second, up from its normal discharge of around 1,800 cubic metres per second. Department director-general Chatchai Promlert warned communities living alongside the Chao Phraya River and other tributaries to prepare for more of the same, since water flowing out of the dam continues to increase flood levels. The situation prompted the prime minister to visit flood-hit areas in Ubon Ratchathani and Si Sa Ket on Monday.
 
The Water and Flood Management Commission and officials of the two provinces have been assigned to try and drain water into the Moon River as a matter of urgency, especially in Si Sa Ket, where 22 districts are flooded and nine people have died. Meanwhile, at least 70 people were missing after three fishing boats caught up in Typhoon Wutip sank in the South China Sea, Chinese state media said on Monday. "Three fishing boats have sunk since Sunday afternoon," Xinhua news agency said, quoting maritime authorities. Altogether five boats carrying 171 people were caught in rough seas whipped up by Typhoon Wutip, which is expected to make landfall in Vietnam's central region later Monday, before reaching Thailand on Tuesday.
 
Vietnam has evacuated 70,000 people from high-risk areas as it prepares for the typhoon, according to the country's national flood and storm control department.

 

 

 

http://www.bangkokpo...or-19-provinces

 

http://youtu.be/lRg0DkrdPew


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