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CET Competition - the scores ongoing


J10

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

Table of CET stats and contest entries for September 2013

22.6 ... ... ... ... warmest day (2nd, 1906)

17.0 ... Craig Evans

16.9 ...

16.8 ... ... ... ... warmest (2006)

16.6 ... ... ... ... second warmest (1729)

16.3 ... ... ... ... third warmest (tied 1865 and 1949)

16.2 ...

16.1 ... Summer Sun

16.0 ...

15.9 ...

15.8 ...

15.7 ... yarmy

15.6 ...

15.5 ... simshady, TonyH*

15.4 ... Roger J Smith, BlueSkies_do_I_see

15.3 ... Stargazer

15.2 ... DeepSnow, hillbilly

15.1 ... nn2013, Stationary Front, Atlantic Flamethrower

15.0 ... AWD, sundog

14.9 ... Duncan McAlister*

14.9 ... Harve, Backtrack, stewfox, easy-oasy, davehsug, Don, Duncan McAlister*

14.8 ... BornFromTheVoid, reef

14.7 ... Mark Neal, Kentish Man

14.7 ... virtualsphere*

14.6 ... DR Hosking**

14.6 ... Congleton Heat, damianslaw, Norrance, DAVID SNOW, Great Plum, Aphelion369*

14.5 ... AVFC, A Boy Named Sue, AderynCoch, mulzy

14.4 ... geoffw, A Winter's Tale, Ferryhill Weather, Terminal Moraine ... ... ---- average 2001-2012 ----

14.3 ... coram, Thundery winter showers

14.2 ... Isolated Frost, Midlands Ice Age, J10

14.1 ...

14.0 ... feb1991blizzard, Milhouse, summer blizzard, 22nov10blast, SnowySouthPennines, Mark Bayley

... ... ... ... ... ... ---- average 1981-2010 ----

14.0 ... Jack Wales*

13.9 ... jonboy, SteveB, Gael_Force

13.8 ... LincolnSnowstorm, DR(S)NO

13.7 ... Weather-history ... ... ---- average 1971-2000 ----

13.6 ... godber ... ... ... ... ---- average 1961-1990 ----

13.5 ... Polar Gael ... ... ... ---- average 1701-1800, 1901-2000 ----

13.4 ... SomeLikeItHot

13.4 ... seabreeze86*

13.3 ... March Blizzard ... ... ... ---- average 1659-2012 ----

13.2 ...

13.1 ... Polar Maritime... ... ---- average 1801-1900 ----

13.0 ... dancerwithwings ... ... ... .... -- 2012 CET --

12.6 ... ... ----average 1659-1700 ----

11.3 ... ... coldest since 1952 and tied 14th coldest (1986)

10.7 ... ... coldest recent month and sixth coldest (1952)

10.6 ... ... fifth coldest (1703)

10.5 ... ... coldest (four tied, 1674,1675,1694,1807)

4.9 ... coldest day (28th, 1824)

_____________________________________________

* one day late

64 entries so far, the median is 14.6 C.

Merged on behalf of Roger

Edited by J10
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Now that the CET figure for August has been confirmed the scores can be published.

 

As previously indicated the overall 1-2-3 remains the same.

March Blizzard mulzy Weather-history

 

The seasonal winner was one of the players who goot it spot on, mulzy, with March Blizzard (2nd) Don (3rd)

 

Overall Scores PDF and Excel format as per usual.

 

Posted ImageAugust 2013 CET.xls

 

Posted ImageAugust 2013 CET.pdf

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  • 4 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

October CET forecasts, extremes and averages

__________________________________________

 

20.2 ... warmest day, 1st 1985
20.1 ... second warmest day, 1st 2011

 

14.0 ... CRAIG EVANS

 

13.4 ... ROGER J SMITH
13.3 ... ... ... ... ... warmest month 2001
13.2

13.1 ... ... ... ... ... second warmest month 2005
13.0 ... ... ... ... ... third warmest months, 1969 and 2006

12.9

12.8

12.7 ... ... ... ... ... 8th warmest, warmest of 19th century 1831
12.6

12.5 ... POLAR GAEL

12.4 ... HARVE

12.3 ... MARK N ... ... ... ... tied 12th and warnest of 18th century 1731

12.2 ... THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS

12.1 ... SEASONALWEATHERWATCHER

12.0 ... BORNFROMTHEVOID, CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE

 

11.9

11.8 ... VIRTUALSPHERE

11.7 ... CORAM, EASY-OASY

11.6 ... REEF

11.5 ... STARGAZER, JACK WALES, SUNDOG

11.4 ... MIKEOCARROLL, BLUE_SKIES_DO_I_SEE, BLAST FROM THE PAST

11.3 ... STORMYKING, AVFC, MILHOUSE, DAVEHSUG, TONYH

11.2 ... HILLBILLY, NN2013, STATIONARYFRONT, DR HOSKING, DON

11.1 ... SUMMER SUN, WEATHER-HISTORY, DAVID SNOW, MULZY

11.0 ... ISOLATED FROST, GAEL_FORCE, GREAT PLUM

10.9 ... DAMIANSLAW, KENTISH MAN, J10 ... ... ... ... mean 2001-2012

10.8 ... SIMSHADY, STEWFOX, LOMONDSNOWSTORM, MARK BAYLEY, DR(S)NO, ADERYNCOCH
10.7 ... SUMMER BLIZZARD, ABOYNAMEDSUE, FEB1991BLIZZARD ... ... ... ... mean 1981-2010

10.6 ... SOMELIKEITHOT, NORRANCE ... ... ... ... mean 1961-1990
10.5 ... STEVEB

10.4 ... DANCERWITHWINGS, STORMING10, JONBOY

10.3 ... MIDLANDS ICE AGE, MARCH BLIZZARD ... ... ... ... mean 1971-2000
10.2 ... DEEP SNOW, MULLENDER83, DUNCAN McALISTER ... ... ... ... mean 1901-2000
10.1 ... BIONICMAN 101

10.0 ... SCEPTICAL INQUIRER, DIAGONALREDLINE

 

 9.9 ... CONGLETON.HEAT, BOBD29, SEABREEZE86

 9.8 ... GEOFF.W, FERRYHILL WEATHER, ROYS

 9.7 ...  BARRY ... ... ... ... mean for all years 1659-2012, also 2012
 9.6 ... GODBER, POLAR MARITIME

 9.5 ... 22NOV10BLAST ... ... ... .... mean 1801-1900
 9.4 .... ... ... ... ...  mean 1701-1800
 9.3 .... APHELION369 ... ... ... ...  mean 1659-1700

 9.2

 9.1

 9.0

 

 8.9 ... PAULT

 8.8

 8.7

 8.6

 8.5

 8.4

 8.3

 8.2

 8.1

 8.0 ... ROBBIE GARRETT

 

 7.9

 7.8 ... ... ... ... ... tied 26th coldest, coldest recent past, 1974 and 1992

 7.7

 7.6
 7.1 ... ... ... ... .... tied 8th coldest, coldest 20th century 1905

 6.5 .... ... ... ... ... tied 3rd coldest, 1683 and 1692
 6.4 .... ... ... ... ... second coldest 1817
 5.3 .... ... ... ... ... coldest 1740

 0.3 .... ... ... ... ... coldest day (since 1772, guessing some subzero days in 1740) 29th, 1895

 

_____________________________________________

 

Just before the deadline, 75 entries and median is 10.9 C.

 

Will update this as long as I can then perhaps J10 can merge the later entries into this table.

I am somewhat sub-par in terms of focus today so check my entries against yours.
 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Well done this week to Weather History, who got it spot on, and takes the lead in the Seasonal comp.

Lincoln Snowstorm DR(S)NO godber were 0.1c out , and are 2nd,3rd and 4th in the Seasonal comp respectively.

 

Overall, March Blizzard stays in the lead Weather-history moves up to 2nd from 3rd, with mulzy back to 3rd from 2nd. Certainly any of these 3 can win the overall comp this year.

 

Figures in usual format.

 

Posted ImageSept 2013 CET.xls

 

Posted ImageSept 2013 CET.pdf

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

If possible, merge these late forecasts into the table of entries above:

 

12.9 .. LONDON SNOW***

12.6 .. ATLANTIC FLAMETHROWER*

12.2 .. MATTY007*

12.0 .. SMITHYWEATHER*

11.0 .. SWFC*

 

Also change 75 entries to 80 and median to 11.0 C

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  • 4 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

November CET means and trivia15.4 ... warmest day (5th, 1938)14.4 ... warmest day in second half (22nd, 1947) 

10.5 ... CRAIG EVANS10.1 ... ... ... ... ... ... warmest Nov 1994

10.0 ...

9.9 ...

9.8 ...

9.7 ... ROGER J SMITH9.6 ... ... ... ... ... ... second warmest Nov 20119.5 ... DON .. ... ... third warmest Nov 18189.4 ... ... ... ... ... ... fourth warmest Nov 19389.3 ... ... ... ... ... ... fifth warmest Nov 1743

9.2 ... FROZE WERE THE DAYS

9.1 ...

9.0 ... HARVE

 

8.9 ... FERRYHILL WEATHER, JACK WALES

8.8 ... SNOWBOGEY

8.7 ... IREMEMBERATLANTIC252

8.6 ...

8.5 ... REEF, BOBBY

8.4 ... BLAST FROM THE PAST, JOGGS, GAEL_FORCE

8.3 ... THUNDERY WINTER SHOWERS, AVFC, CORAM, ADERYNCOCH

8.2 ... NORRANCE, DAVID SNOW, DAVEHSUG

8.1 ... SUMMER BLIZZARD, STEVEB, STEWFOX, TERMINALMORAINE, J10

8.0 ... POLAR GAEL, THE PIT, SUNDOG, DR HOSKING, GEOFFW, FEB1991BLIZZARD

 

7.9 ... JONBOY, STATIONARY FRONT

7.8 ... SUMMER SUN, BORNFROMTHEVOID, DR(S)NO

7.7 ... A BOY NAMED SUE, TDnTDE, MILHOUSE, ATLANTICFLAMETHROWER, A WINTER'S TALE

7.6 ... KENTISH MAN

7.5 ... POMEROYSNOW, WEATHER-HISTORY, TONYH, GREAT PLUM7.4 ... VIRTUALSPHERE, MULZY,  22NOV10BLAST ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 2001-2012 ----7.3 ... MIDLANDS ICE AGE

7.2 ... DEEPSNOW, MARK BAYLEY, CHEESE, SOMELIKEITHOT

7.1 ... FENO13, DAMIANSLAW, EASY-OASY, POLAR MARITIME ... ...  ---- mean of 1981-2010 ----7.0 ... TADPOLE, CONTINENTAL CLIMATE, DANCERWITHWINGS

 

6.9 ... HILLBILLY, GODBER ... ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1971-2000 ----

6.8 ... NN2013, MIKEOCARROLL, RADIATING DENDRITE ... ... ... 2012 average6.7 ... DIAGONALREDLINE, SEABREEZE86

6.6 ... BARRY, BARRY95 ... ... ... ... ... ...  ---- mean of 1961-1990 ----6.5 ... ISOLATED FROST, DUNCAN McALISTER ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1901-2000 ----6.4 ... CREWECOLD

6.3 ... MARK N, MARCH BLIZZARD

6.2 ...

6.1 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ---- mean of all years 1659-2012 ----6.0 ... SIMSHADY, SNOWM4N

 

5.9 ... SCEPTICAL INQUIRER, BOBD29 ... ...  ---- mean of 1801-1900 ----5.8 ... ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1701-1800 ----5.7 ... SNOWSTORM1

5.6 ...

5.5 ... CONGLETON HEAT ...  ... ---- mean of 1659-1700 ----5.4 ...

5.3 ...

5.2 ...

5.1 ...

5.0 ...

 

4.9 ...

4.8 ... 

4.1 ... coldest in recent years (tied 28th overall) 19852.9 ... third coldest Nov 18072.8 ... second coldest Nov 19152.3 ... coldest Nov 1782-0.6 ... earliest sub-zero mean (7th, 1791)-2.1 ... coldest in first half (15th, 1965)-4.6 ... coldest day (23rd, 1890)

_____________________________________________________________

 

as of 0001h Nov 1, 82 entries and median was 7.7 C

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Latest Scores from the other thread.

 

 

12.5c confirmed as the October figure. This caused most people out, with only Polar Gael getting it spot on.

 

Harve and AtlanticFlamethrower were both 0.1c out.

 

In the seasonal comp, a new leader with Polar Gael taking the lead from Weather History.

 

Overall though Weather History takes the lead from March Blizzard who drops to 3rd, Mulzy stays in 2nd, It seems that the overall comp is between these 3.

 

Scores as usual

 

Posted ImageoCt 2013 CET.xls

 

Posted ImageoCt 2013 CET.pdf

 

Thanks as ever to Roger for compiling the monthly list, very helpful.

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  • 2 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

If current projections are right then the odds on March Blizzard would currently be being slashed.

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl

Hi J10,

 

Not sure who to address this too...

 

I seem to   have picked up a 10  point penalty which I do not understand  in the CET pdf.

I have twice placed a post holder for months this year, but put in guesses way before the time limit

 

Who can sort it out?

 

Midland Icew Age

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

MIA, check the table at a high magnification, I think you are looking at the row above or below your scores where penalties have been applied. Your scores don't have any late penalties.

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl

MIA, check the table at a high magnification, I think you are looking at the row above or below your scores where penalties have been applied. Your scores don't have any late penalties.

Roger.,

 

Sorry for that, I must start wearing my specs....

The wife says I am deaf as well!!

 

I had to put it upto 500 times magnification to see it though.

 

Again sorry for the bother

 

MIA

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Roger.,

 

Sorry for that, I must start wearing my specs....

The wife says I am deaf as well!!

 

I had to put it upto 500 times magnification to see it though.

 

Again sorry for the bother

 

MIA

 

 

No probs - by the way you can download the figures in Excel whew you can see them normal size.

 

If anyone has any issues with the scores please let me know

 

Even though it is a fun comp with no prizes, I do want the scores to be correct.

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  • 3 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

December 2013 CET forecasts with averages and extremes12.9 ... warmest daily mean, 12th 1994 

8.5 ... CRAIG EVANS8.1 ... ... ... ... ... warmest Decembers 1834 and 19747.7 ... ... ... ... ... third warmest 1852

 

6.6 ... STU LONDON 

5.9 ... STATIONARY FRONT, KEITHLUCKY

5.8 ...

5.7 ... CONGLETON HEAT

5.6 ... ROGER J SMITH

5.5 ... I.REMEMBER.ATLANTIC.2525.4 ... PAUL.T

5.3 ... THE_PIT, VIRTUALSPHERE, THUNDERY WINTER SHOWERS, DAVEHSUG

5.2 ... BACKTRACK, HILLBILLY, MIKE.O.CARROLL

5.1 ... BLAST.FROM.THE.PAST ... ... ... ... --- average for 1971-2000 ---

5.0 ... SUMMER SUN, STARGAZER, REEF

 

4.9 ... A BOY NAMED SUE, FEB.1991.BLIZZARD

4.8 ... LEICSNOW, M1CHAELS, MULZY ... ... ... ... --- Dec 2012 ---4.7 ... SIMSHADY, V.FOR.VERY.COLD, ISOLATED FROST, DON, MR MAUNDER ... ... ... ... --- average for 1961-90 ---4.6 ... KENTISH MAN ... ... ... ...  --- average for 1981-2010, also 1901-2000 ---4.5 ... DANCERWITHWINGS, DAMIANSLAW, ADERYN.COCH

4.4 ... CAPTAIN.SHORTWAVE, FENO13, AVFC, LOMOND.SNOWSTORM ... ... ... ... --- average for 2001-2012 ---

4.3 ... MARK.N, MILHOUSE, EASY-OASY

4.2 ... SHUGGEE, MARK BAYLEY, WEATHER-HISTORY, A WINTER'S TALE*4.1 ... CHIONOMANIAC, BOBD.29, FERRYHILL.WEATHER, CORAM, ATLANTIC.FLAMETHROWER 

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... --- average for 1659-2012 ---4.0 ... JONBOY, BORN.FROM.THE.VOID, DR HOSKING, J10, TONY.H ... ... ... ... --- average for 1801-1900 ---

 

3.9 ... BARRY, SKEGGY.WEATHER, JACK WALES ... ... ... ... --- average for 1701-1800 ---3.8 ... GEOFF.W, NORRANCE, SOME.LIKE.IT.HOT

3.7 ... MARCH BLIZZARD

3.6 ... SUMMER.BLIZZARD, HARVE, MIDLANDS.ICE.AGE

3.5 ... SUNDOG, NIGERIAN PRINCE

3.4 ... STEWFOX, SEABREEZE86 ... ... ... ... --- average for 1659-1700 ---

3.3 ... TDnTDE. DUNLOP DAVE, DUNCAN McALISTER, GODBER

3.2 ... STEVE.B, DR(S)NO, GAEL_FORCE

3.1 ... FOZFOSTER, RCT, DEEP.SNOW

3.0 ...

 

2.9 ... SCEPTICAL INQUIRER, BLUE_SKIES_DO_I_SEE, DAVID SNOW

2.8 ... RAIN RAIN RAIN

2.7 ... STEVE MURR

2.6 ... 22NOV10.BLAST

2.0 ... POLAR GAEL

 

1.9 ... NN2013

 

-0.1 ... SNOWSTORM1-0.5 ... ... ... ... ... third coldest 1676-0.7 ... ... ... ... ... second coldest 2010-0.8 ... ... ... ... ... coldest December 1890-10.8 ... lowest daily mean 25th 1796

 

__________________________________________

 

88 entries as of 02:15 am Sunday, the median was 4.2 C.

 

The table will be updated by editing as long as possible.

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Scores are now in

 

November (Monthly) - No one it spot on but Mark N and March Blizzard were both 0.1c out, while simshady, SN0WM4N and  CreweCold were 0.2c out.

 

Autumn (Seasonal) the Top 3

 

1st Mark N (From 6th)

2nd Polar Gael (From 1st)

3rd Weather-history (From 2nd)

 

Overall, it was very tight right down to the end, but the Overall Top 3 was

 

1st March Blizzard(From 3rd)

2nd Weather-history (From 1st)

3rd Mulzy (From 2nd)

 

A big well done to all, but especially March Blizzard. Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

 

Excel File Posted ImageNov 2013 CET.xls

 

PDF File Posted ImageNov 2013 CET.pdf

 

These both contain a summary of the overall results which should make reading them easier.

Edited by J10
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Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire

Looks like I had a good Autumn. I did miss doing the CET over the summer but happy with my finish.

Well done to March Blizzard!

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Posted
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, cold, cold and errrr......cold. I am, unashamedly, a cold fan.
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth

Yes, well done MB. :)

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  • 4 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

Table of entries for January 2014 CET Competition

 

11.6 .. warmest daily CET mean (3rd, 1932 and 23rd, 1834)

8.0 ... Craig Evans
7.9 ...
7.8 ...
7.7 ...
7.6 ...
7.5 ... ... ... ... ... warmest January (1916)
7.4 ...
7.3 ... ... ... ... ... second warmest (1796 & 1921)
7.2 ...
7.1 ... Carl46Wrexham ... ... ... ...  fourth warmest (1934)

7.0 ... ... ... ... ... fifth warmest, and warmest since 1934 (2007)
6.9 ...
6.8 ...
6.7 ... 22nov10blast
6.6 ... IrememberAtlantic252
6.5 ...
6.4 ...
6.3 ...
6.2 ...
6.1 ...

6.0 ... The PIT
5.9 ... reef
5.8 ...
5.7 ...
5.6 ...
5.5 ... Deep Snow Please, Duncan McAlister
5.4 ... summer blizzard
5.3 ... Kentish Man
5.2 ... mikeocarroll, AVFC. coram
5.1 ... DR Hosking, AtlanticFlamethrower

5.0 ... m1chaels, fozfoster, stewfox

4.9 ... Stargazer, chionomaniac
4.8 ... Summer Sun, sundog

4.7 ... timeteo9
4.6 ... Milhouse, Gael_Force, Mark Bayley ... ... ... ... --- average 2001-13 ----
4.5 ... Norrance, Weather-history, Jack Wales, TonyH

4.4 ... feb1991blizzard ... ... ... ... --- average 1981-2010 -----
4.3 ... Ferryhill Weather, Harve, Don, mulzy, Great Plum, nn2013
4.2 ... virtualsphere ... ... ... ... --- average 1971-2000 -----
4.1 ... March Blizzard, No-time Toulouse, A Winter's Tale

4.0 ... RJBW, damianslaw, J10
3.9 ... Mr Maunder, AderynCoch, Polar Maritime ... ... ... ... ... --- average 1901-2000 ----
3.8 ... TDnTDE, easy-oasy ... ... ... ... ... ... --- average 1961-1990 -----
3.7 ... DR(S)NO
3.6 ... Roger J Smith
3.5 ... stewfox, SomeLikeItHot. Midlands Ice Age ... ... ... ... ... 2013 CET
3.4 ... geoffw
3.3 ... Stationary Front
3.2 ... godber ... ... ... ... ... --- average 1659-2013 ----- (3.24)
3.1 ... bobd29, shuggee, seabreeze86

3.0 ... Dancerwithwings, BornFromTheVoid, DAVID SNOW ... ... ... ... ... --- average 1801-1900 ----
2.9 ... hillbilly ... ... ... ... ... ... --- average 1701-1800 ----
2.8 ...
2.7 ... LomondSnowstorm
2.6 ... SteveB, s4lancia ... ... ... ... --- average 1659-1700 ----
2.5 ...
2.4 ... CreweCold
2.3 ...
2.2 ... Polar Gael
2.1 ... CongletonHeat, AWD, cheshire snow

2.0 ... BARRY, Sceptical Inquirer
1.9 ...
1.8 ...
1.7 ...
1.6 ...
1.5 ...
1.4 ... Robbie Garrett ... coldest past 25 yrs (2010)
1.3 ...
1.2 ...
1.1 ... simshady
 
1.0 ...
0.9 ...
0.8 ... coldest past 30 yrs (1985, 1987)
0.7 ...
0.6 ...
0.5 ...
0.4 ...
0.3 ...
0.2 ...
0.1 ...

0.0 ...
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3 ... Booferking
-0.4 ... ... ... ... ... last subzero January (1979)
-0.5 ... Summer of 95
-0.6
-0.7
-0.8
-0.9

-1.0 ... ... ... ... ...  twelfth coldest (1695)
-1.1
-1.2 ... Snowstorm.1
-1.3
-1.4 ... ... ... ... ... eleventh coldest (1940)
-1.5 ... ... ... ... tied for eighth coldest (1709, 1838, 1881)
-1.6 ... ... ... seventh coldest (1776)
-1.7
-1.8
-1.9

-2.0 ... ... sixth coldest (1716)
-2.1 ... fifth coldest, and coldest 20th century (1963)
-2.2
-2.3
-2.4
-2.5
-2.6
-2.7
-2.8 ... fourth coldest (1740)
-2.9 ... third coldest (1814)

-3.0 ... second coldest (1684)
-3.1 ... coldest January or month (1795)

-7.7 ... coldest daily CET mean past 30 yrs (12th, 1987)
-8.4 ... coldest daily CET mean in past 50 yrs (23rd, 1963)

-11.9 ... coldest daily CET mean, 20th 1838

___________________________________________________________________

 

as of 2350h on 31 Dec, 79 entries, median 4.2

Edited by Roger J Smith
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  • 4 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

February forecasts with CET facts and trivia

 

12.4 ... .. warmest Feb day (mean temp) 4th Feb 2004

10.0 ... .. lowest daily extreme max (16th Feb 1928)

 

8.0 ... Craig Evans
7.9 ... ... ... warmest month of Feb 1779

7.8 ...

7.7 ...

7.6 ...
7.5 ... ... ... second warmest month of Feb 1869

7.4 ...
7.3 ... Northants Snow ... ... tied third warmest month of Feb 1990 and 1998

7.2 ...

7.1 ...

7.0 ... March Blizzard

 

6.9 ...

6.8 ... Carl46Wrexham

6.7 ...

6.6 ... Gael_Force

6.5 ... Jason M, Kentish Man

6.4 ... Roger J Smith

6.3 ... reef

6.2 ... Summer of 95

6.1 ... Summer Sun, coram, A Winter's Tale

6.0 ...

 

5.9 ... Stationary Front

5.8 ... The PIT, 22nov10blast

5.7 ... IrememberAtlantic252, easy-oasy

5.6 ... Don, Lettucing Gutted, Thundery winter showers

5.5 ... Scottrichards10^^ virtualsphere, Harve, AVFC, AWD, rjbw

5.4 ... summer blizzard, seabreeze86, davehsug

5.3 ... geoffw, Duncan McAlister

5.2 ... jimben, DR(S)NO, Norrance, DiagonalRedLine, Mark Bayley

5.1 ... hillbilly, mulzy

5.0 ... Blueskies_do_I_see, tonynator, s4lancia

 

4.9 ... BARRY, Midlands Ice Age, AderynCoch

4.8 ... Weather-history, godber4.7 ... No-time Toulouse, damianslaw

4.6 ... Stargazer, Mr Maunder ... ... ... ... mean for 2001-2013

4.5 ... Mark N, sundog
4.4 ... SteveB ... ... ... ... mean 1981-2010

 

4.3 ... Essex Easterly
 

4.2 ... Jonboy... ... ... ... mean for 1971-2000
 

 

4.1 ... dancerwithwings

4.0 ... ... ... ... ... mean for 1801-1900 and 1901-2000

3.9 ... Milhouse ... ... ... ... mean for 1659-2013 (all 355 years)
3.8 ... ... ... ... ... mean for 1961-1990 and 1701-1800

 

3.7 ...

3.6 ... simshady

3.5 ...

3.4 ...

3.3 ...

3.2 ... Ferryhill Weather, nn2013

3.1 ... Bobd29, Polar Maritime, Dunstable Snow

3.0 ... DAVID SNOW

 

2.9 ... AtlanticFlamethrower ... ... ... ... mean for 1659-1700

2.8 ... BornFromTheVoid

2.7 ...

2.6 ... SomeLikeItHot

2.5 ... Congleton Heat

2.4 ...

2.3 ...

2.2 ...

2.1 ...

2.0 ...

 

1.8 ... mikeocarroll

1.4 ... Lomond Snowstorm (check if he wants 1.4 or --1.4, post unclear)

 

-1.1 ... Dale Hay ... ... ... fifth coldest month of Feb, coldest in recent years 1986
-1.6 ... ... ... fourth coldest month of Feb 1740
-1.7 ... ... ... third coldest month of Feb 1855
-1.8 ... ... ... second coldest month of Feb 1895
-1.9 ... ... ... coldest month of Feb 1947

-2.4 ... .. highest daily extreme min (29th 1904)
-2.8 ... .. highest daily extreme min, not leap year day (27th, 1785)

-8.8 ... .. coldest Feb day (mean temp) 9th Feb 1816

 

 

____________________________________________________

72 entries to 03:10h 1st, will edit in what I can later ... median was 5.0 C ... mild is preferred by 2/3.

 

^^ (5.5) note: he said 5.0 to 6.0 and it may not be a contest entry but it is a forecast.

Edited by Roger J Smith
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January scores from the other thread.

 

Scores now computed

 

Remember both XLS and PDF figures now include summary info for those not wanting to have info overload.

 

Posted ImageJan 2014 CET.pdf

 

Posted ImageJan 2014 CET.xls

 

Monthly winner was thetonynator 0.1c

with Deep Snow Please, .reef and BlueSkies_do_I_see each 0.2 pout.

 

Seasonal the 1-2-3 is reef, The PIT and mikeocarroll

 

Overall very similar the 1-2-3 is reef, The PIT and  Deep Snow please

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An adjustment to the above figures, Duncan McAlister quite rightly pointed out that his scores for this month was omitted.

 

The revised figures are attached.

 

Posted ImageJan 2014 CET Revised.pdf  Posted ImageJan 2014 CET Revised.xls

 

For the month, thetonynator was 0.1c out

with Deep Snow Please,reef and BlueSkies_do_I_see and also Duncan McAlister each 0.2 out.

 

There are no impacts to the overall top placings, however Duncan McAlister moves up to 24th place.

 

Apologies for this omission.

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  • 4 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

March 2014 CET forecasts and stats

________________________________

 

 

 

 14.7 ... ... ... ... Warmest March daily mean (27th, 1777)

 

10.0 ... CRAIG EVANS

 

9.2 ... ... ... ... Warmest March (1957)
9.1 ... ... ... ... 2nd warmest March (1938)
8.4 ... ... ... ... 3rd warmest March (1997)
8.3 ... ... ... ... 4th warmest March (1948,1990, 2012)
8.2 ... TONY.H  ... ... ... 7th warmest March and warmest before 20th century (1750, tied with 1961)
8.1 ...

8.0 ... BLUE_SKIES_DO_I_SEE

7.9 ... THUNDERY WINTER SHOWERS, RJBW, JACK WALES

7.8 ... STEVE B

 

7.7 ... STATIONARY FRONT

7.6 ... SUMMER BLIZZARD, KENTISH MAN

7.5 ... SUMMER SUN, NO-TIME TOULOUSE, THE_PIT, DON, GAEL_FORCE

7.4 ... REEF

7.3 ... I.REMEMBER.ATLANTIC.252, GEOFFW, J10

7.2 ... ATLANTIC FLAMETHROWER, MULZY, A WINTER'S TALE*

7.1 ... CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE, WEATHER-HISTORY, DAVEHSUG, FERRYHILL.WEATHER

7.0 ... SCOTT.RICHARDS.10, THETONYNATOR, SUNDOG, HARVE*

 

6.9 ... HILLBILLY

 

6.8 ... BOBD29, MILHOUSE, EASY-OASY, BORN.FROM.THE.VOID, DUNCAN McALISTER

6.7 ... DIAGONAL.RED.LINE, AVFC

6.6 ... ESSEX EASTERLY, MIKE.OCARROLL, MARK BAYLEY, GODBER

6.5 ... DAMIANSLAW, NORRANCE

6.4 ... M1CHAELS, FEB1991BLIZZARD ... ... ... --- mean of 21st century (2001-2013) ---
6.3 ... ... ... ... ---  mean of 1971-2000  ---

6.2 ... DAVID SNOW, DR(S)NO

6.1 ...

6.0 ... JONBOY

 

5.9 ... NN2013, MIDLANDS.ICE.AGE, ADERYN.COCH
5.8 ... ... ... ... --- mean of 20th century (1901-2000) ---
5.7 ... ROGER J SMITH ... ... ... --- mean of 1961-1990 ---

5.6 ... CARL46WREXHAM

5.5 ... SIMSHADY, DANCERWITHWINGS

5.4 ...
5.3 ... PAUL T ... ... ... --- mean of all 355 years (1659-2013) ---
5.2 ... VIRTUALSPHERE, CORAM ... ... ... --- mean of 19th century (1801-1900) ---
5.1 ...

5.0 ... SOME.LIKE.IT.HOT ... ... ... --- mean of 18th century (1701-1800) ---

4.9 ... MARCH BLIZZARD, SEABREEZE86

4.8 ...

4.7 ...

4.6 ... ... ... ... --- mean of (CET portion of) 17th century (1659-1700) ---
4.5 ...

4.4 ... POLAR MARITIME

4.3 ...

4.2 ...

4.1 ...

4.0 ...

 

3.4 ... STEWFOX

2.8 ... ... ... ... Coldest March of 20th century (1962)

2.7 ... ... ... ... Coldest March since 1892 (last year, 2013) ... tied with 1892 and 1784 joint 12th coldest March

1.8 ... ... ... ... 3rd coldest March (1748)
1.2 ... ... ... ... 2nd coldest March (1785)
1.0 ... ... ... ... Coldest March (1674)

1.0 ... ... ... ... Mean of last ten days of March 2013 (22nd-31st)

 

0.6 ... ... ... ... Mean of the five days 22nd-26th March 2013

 

-3.9 ... ... ... ... Coldest March daily mean in last 50 yrs (3rd, 1965)
-6.5 ... ... ... ... Coldest March daily mean (13th, 1845)

_________________________________________________________________

 

* late entry (one day)

 

64 entries so far, median is 6.8 C.

 

 

 

 

Edited by J10
To add details for late entries
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