Netweather Winter Forecast

[Suburban Streamer]

thanks GP - excellent stuff!

anyone know how i can view the slides on full screen? i tried hitting "download as pdf" but nothing happened

[gottolovethisweather]

Just a quick question re the video forecast.

Between 24 mins and 27 mins GP talks about the temps in December & January ( Bottom Chart ). I cant quite make out what those two blue circles one surrounding the uk as a whole and another circling southern uk and Europe indicate with the writing can anybody help me out?

I think they were Temperature anomaloies, i.e below average.

[london-snow]

I think they were Temperature anomaloies, i.e below average.

Thanks for that mate,

If this is the case what is the difference between the two circles i.e one circling the uk as a whole and one smaller circling the southern half of the uk and europe?

Many thanks again

[snow-witch]

Thank you for saying all the things, I wanted to hear, in a very convincing way! You are now my screen saver pin up Mr Rampling! x

[Suburban Streamer]

Thanks for that mate,

If this is the case what is the difference between the two circles i.e one circling the uk as a whole and one smaller circling the southern half of the uk and europe?

Many thanks again

the larger blue circle has "well below average" written in it - i think.

anyway the main point here is him saying a strong signal for low pressure over europe for december

[IanM]

Thanks for that mate,

If this is the case what is the difference between the two circles i.e one circling the uk as a whole and one smaller circling the southern half of the uk and europe?

Many thanks again

The smaller outline around the UK was purely a choice in shape to keep the larger ellipse from extending too far south/north while still covering the relevant areas

[london-snow]

The smaller outline around the UK was purely a choice in shape to keep the larger ellipse from extending too far south/north while still covering the relevant areas

Thank you Ian for clearing that up

It was a just a bit confusing i did not know if the smaller circle covering the southern half of the uk and southern europe indicated well below compared to the circle covering the uk indicating below temps.

[IanM]

thanks GP - excellent stuff!

anyone know how i can view the slides on full screen? i tried hitting "download as pdf" but nothing happened

Unfortunately, we have to lock the pdf's to protect from redistribution without us being aware of where Stewart's work will pop up.

[Vertical Limit]

I don't often post but I wanted to say a big thankyou to the Stewart and the the Net weather forecasting team for an excellent presentation. Fingers crossed.

[ricey076]

Excellent forcast.. brilliantly presented !!

[TAFKAP]

Unfortunately, we have to lock the pdf's to protect from redistribution without us being aware of where Stewart's work will pop up.

Quite right too, I can imagine what the tabloid press would do with Stew's excellent work! On another note I imagine the 'other Ian' aka 'TMW' is well miffed the m'odern w'inter appears dead for now!

[Paul]

Unfortunately, we have to lock the pdf's to protect from redistribution without us being aware of where Stewart's work will pop up.

That said there is a full screen button on the presentation, it's the one with 4 arrows pointing out diagonally.

[nicola1985]

Ok so this is the first post I have ever written on netweather.

I discovered all of the different weather websites last year, after I became a little fixated about the possiblility of bad weather. I love cold weather but hate snow (please don't hate me !!).

I have found myself become a little obsessed again this year.

I am comparing all weather possibilites to how bad it was in December 2010 in Newcastle - I hated it!!!

I do find all of these posts interesting and admit I don't know how to read the weather charts but think that I will make it my new hobbie from January onwards - and then maybe next year I will be in a better position to get more involved with these conversations

I have watched Stewarts forecast and please correct me if I am wrong - I am getting the impression that December is going to be colder than last year and may be slightly colder than average but as far as prolonged cold and major snow events e.t.c that is forecast as happening in the new year more so in January?

[sebastiaan1973]

Brave forecast. Against all seasonal Forecast by the models. Stewart, I placed the link to your presentation at weerwoord, so the Dutch/ Belgium Weather Lovers can watch/read it too. Thanks for sharing your knowledge.

[Andy_]

Thanks a lot Stewart,

Sounding like a very interesting and potentially brilliant Winter 2012/13,

Hope your work into this pays dividends with plenty of UK Snow

[Coast]

Ok so this is the first post I have ever written on netweather.

Hi Nicola, welcome to Netweather and thanks for diving in!

[UV-RAY]

I've watched the summary and when I've time I'll watch the more in-depth one, I'm most impressed at the simplicity of the summary for such a complicated subject with regards to teleconnections. I noticed your percentages of cold v mild scenarios, if any mild was to win out where would the attack come from GP?

[Paul]

Ok so this is the first post I have ever written on netweather.

I discovered all of the different weather websites last year, after I became a little fixated about the possiblility of bad weather. I love cold weather but hate snow (please don't hate me !!).

I have found myself become a little obsessed again this year.

I am comparing all weather possibilites to how bad it was in December 2010 in Newcastle - I hated it!!!

I do find all of these posts interesting and admit I don't know how to read the weather charts but think that I will make it my new hobbie from January onwards - and then maybe next year I will be in a better position to get more involved with these conversations

I have watched Stewarts forecast and please correct me if I am wrong - I am getting the impression that December is going to be colder than last year and may be slightly colder than average but as far as prolonged cold and major snow events e.t.c that is forecast as happening in the new year more so in January?

Welcome aboard Nicola

It's really hard (make that impossible) to pick out things like snow events etc within a long range forecast, so although Stewart picks out the Jan as most likely for a prolonged cold period, that doesn't rule out other periods bringing snow / cold.

[Mark Bayley]

thanks GP - excellent stuff!

anyone know how i can view the slides on full screen? i tried hitting "download as pdf" but nothing happened

I've just made that mistake, although just seen you can enlarge it!

An excellent well written forecast, lets hope it comes off!

[lorenzo]

Superb work compliments the early thoughts very well.

Great construction - builds up the leading factors in the atmosphere and gives clear definition of each month. Love the CPC style confidence weightings to.

Not seen anything out there to rival this.

Some brilliant analogs in there, I liked the reference to North East Siberia, wouldn't have given Kamchatkan Ridge a mention on video - could be a mouthful !!

Well done Stewart & Netweather.

[joggs]

Thanks GP for the well explained winter forecast,much appreciated.

[Bolton67]

Well presented once again, thanks to stewart and the rest of the Netweather team.

[DTHFCJ]

excellent GP,good luck and i bet you wont be far off with all of it... and an early one for you "Happy Christmas"

[chionomaniac]

Well done, Stewart, leading the way as ever, bringing the complex teleconnective indices together in a well explained and thoroughly researched forecast.

Oh and forget your razor that day, did you?

Good luck - you will need that extra facial growth to protect you from the cold that you are predicting.

Ed

Edited November 27, 2012 by chionomaniac

[mcweather]

Thanks GP. As ever a well reasoned and constructed forecast. To be honest yours is one of the very few that I give any credence to whatsoever.