November CET Value

[Mark Bayley]

5.9c please

[Stationary Front]

Bouts of Northern Blocking for November looking possible. Doesn't always mean cold for the Uk. However I believe we will get a couple of decent 'hits'. So below average for me please, 5.5

[A Winter's Tale]

10.5C: Craig Evans

10.4C:

10.3C:

10.2C:

10.1C: Record warmest (1994)

10.0C:

9.9C:

9.8C:

9.7C:

9.6C: Warmest of 21st Century (2011)

9.5C: Warmest of 19th Century (1818) - Backtrack

9.4C:

9.3C:

9.2C: Mark 'Ox' Neal, ihatetherain

9.1C:

9.0C:

8.9C: SnOwFeSt

8.8C:

8.7C: Warmest of 2000s (2009)

8.6C:

8.5C:

8.4C: Warmest of 1990s (1997) - Styx

8.3C: Roger J Smith

8.2C:

8.1C:

8.0C: Warmest of 1980s (1984) - Vizzy2004

7.9C:

7.8C:

7.7C:

7.6C: 2001-2011 average

7.5C:

7.4C:

7.3C: Isolated Frost, Millhouse

7.2C: The PIT

7.1C: 1981 - 2010 Average - AWD, Rybris Ponce

7.0C: A Winter's Tale, Ice Day, Aaron

6.9C: 1971 - 2000 Average

6.8C: Ladyofthestorm, SteveB, Mr Maunder

6.7C: Cirrostratus, ruzzi (snowboy), The watcher

6.6C: Polar Gael, Fozfoster

6.5C: DiagonalRedLine

6.4C: syed2878

6.3C: Summer Sun, Ferryhill Weather,22nov10blast

6.2C: Coldest of the 2000's (2005), Stargazer, Sainsbo, summer blizzard

6.1C:

6.0C: Weather-history, Stu_London

5.9C: jonboy, AderynCoch, Harve, Mark Bayley

5.8C: Snowstorm1

5.7C:

5.6C: Steve Murr

5.5C:

5.4C:

5.3C: IBringTheHammer, mullender83

5.2C: Coldest of 21st Century (2010)

5.1C: 4wd, Barry95

5.0C: Robbie Garrett

4.9C: Terminal Moraine

4.8C:

4.7C:

4.6C: Coldest of 1990s (1993)

4.5C:

4.4C:

4.3C:

4.2C:

4.1C: Coldest post WWII (1985)

4.0C:

3.9C:

3.8C:

3.7C:

3.6C:

3.5C:

3.4C:

3.3C: Coldest post WWI (1919)

3.2C:

3.1C:

3.0C:

2.9C: Coldest of 19th Century (1807)

2.8C: Coldest of 20th Century (1915)

2.7C:

2.6C:

2.5C:

2.4C:

2.3C: Record coldest (1782)

[sundog]

i think a below average month is likely so i will go with 5.7c

[Barry12]

10.5C: Craig Evans

10.4C:

10.3C:

10.2C:

10.1C: Record warmest (1994)

<snip>

For mine to be corect, it will have to be just below the 21st century average

Edited October 28, 2012 by shuggee

[godber]

after an unsettled start to the month, i'm expecting the weather to settle down, bringing with it plenty of frost and fog, hence 4.8c

[shuggee]

6.8ºC

[simonhawker4137@aol.co.uk]

hi

[liam300]

6.8c

Edited October 28, 2012 by liam300

[DeepSnow]

5.4C for me

[stewfox]

Fairly average........ 7.1c

[Alex]

7.1c - rather average like recent years with milder 2nd half.

[Great Plum]

6.5c for me please

[Stu_London]

GFS 12z suggesting that the first 5 days of November will be somewhere between 4C and 5C

If verifying will make it extremely difficult to get a final figure above the 81-10 average (taking into account the background signals)

And very different to 2011 which averaged 12.1C for the same period.

Edited October 29, 2012 by Stu_London

[damianslaw]

November is traditionally a very unsettled month with the atlantic more often than not being the dominant factor - high pressure tends to be a transitory feature, though it can build substantially over the near continent often in central europe but on occasion over scandi/west russia as we saw during late Nov 93. The synoptical pattern of late Nov 2010 was highly unusual, very much a one off. The northern hemisphere has been in a constant state preety much since April - with strong northern heights and the trough parking itself over the country for lengthy periods of time - long settled high pressure periods have been the exception and there is nothing to suggest that we will see a change to this state anytime soon.

I'm therefore going for yet another below average month - but not exceptionally so, I'll say 6.2 degrees, but there is a good chance it could end up substantially lower than this if we see a prolonged northerly attack..

I'm expecting heights to stay quite strong over Greenland with the jet staying on a southerly track but with the trough once again becoming unstuck near the country - just like the synoptics we are going to see in the coming days. So a wet cool month with always the threat of bitter northerly attacks, more so mid month and possibly by the end of the month as we begin to see a build of strong heights out of west russia into NE Scandi. A good old fashioned November, with fogs, frosts, lots of wind and rain and wintry episodes at times (note the word wintry episodes more likely rather than widespread heavy snowfalls.. but don't rule these out..). Think Nov 96....

[Paul T]

5.5

[Stu_London]

November is traditionally a very unsettled month with the atlantic more often than not being the dominant factor - high pressure tends to be a transitory feature, though it can build substantially over the near continent often in central europe but on occasion over scandi/west russia as we saw during late Nov 93. The synoptical pattern of late Nov 2010 was highly unusual, very much a one off. The northern hemisphere has been in a constant state preety much since April - with strong northern heights and the trough parking itself over the country for lengthy periods of time - long settled high pressure periods have been the exception and there is nothing to suggest that we will see a change to this state anytime soon.

Looks a good call for the first 3rd of the month, at least.

[coram]

6.4 please

[Roger J Smith]

hi

Yes Craig is and probably me too.

I don't feel too confident of 8.3 so will change to 7.3, still thinking it will become very mild but some of the early days look too cold to make 8.3 possible.

Will monitor the thread and post a list if necessary, but the partial one already up looks good so if that gets updated thanks for saving me some work, I am a very busy guy these days.

[DR Hosking]

my guess is 7.0c

[virtualsphere]

6.1C please.

[Norrance]

5.9C please..

[Duncan McAlister]

6.2C for me please

[Jack Wales]

6.6 for me.

[Gael_Force]

6.8c for me please.