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Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL

An interesting read here from Paul Hudson, BBC forecaster regarding scaremongering Daily Fail and Express stories!

http://www.bbc.co.uk...est-winte.shtml

Great blog post by Mr Hudson. I found the Pinterest link particularly revealing (and damning)...... http://pinterest.com...s-cold-weather/

Bish

Edited by Bishop Brennan
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BRITAIN TO BE FLOORED BY AN ‘UPPERCUT’ OF TORRENTIAL RAIN

BRITAIN will be hit by more torrential rain today bringing further misery to flood-hit regions.

Hurricane-force winds and up to two weeks of rainfall in less than 24 hours caused chaos across the country yesterday with scores of homes having to be abandoned because of heavy flooding.

Experts said the foul weather in many places over the past few days was the “left hook†– warning that beleaguered Britain would be floored by an “uppercut†today.

Forecaster Jonathan Powell, of Vantage Weather Services, said: “The weather we are experiencing is borne from a low pressure system moving in from the South.

“Large parts of the country have got away with the worst of it but today they might not be so lucky, with the South-west, Wales and central England in the firing line.â€

The Met Office said two inches of rain – about two weeks’ worth – fell in Glasgow in a 19-hour downpour yesterday. Wind gusts hit 74mph at Blackford Hill, in Edinburgh.

Temperatures across Britain are set to remain at a mild 57F (14C) to 59F for the next few days.

But according to Mr Powell, the end of the month will see “the opening salvo of winterâ€.

http://www.express.c...torrential-rain

Edited by Gavin.
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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

Hurricane Force wind's and floored by an uppercut ! Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/359436/Britain-to-face-floods-for-100-years

its going to rain for a hundred years as well as snow wow!

Bloody awful! Just when you thought there weather reporting/ sensationalised forecasts couldn't get any worse!

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

http://www.express.c...s-for-100-years

its going to rain for a hundred years as well as snow wow!

Well thats the best yet from the express how the hell can scientists predict what its going to be like for the next 100 years 2 weeks can be hard enough at times to forecast

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Posted
  • Location: Nr Castle Cary, South Somerset 38m/124.67ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Proper seasonal weather but especially warm sunny summers.
  • Location: Nr Castle Cary, South Somerset 38m/124.67ft asl

Well thats the best yet from the express how the hell can scientists predict what its going to be like for the next 100 years 2 weeks can be hard enough at times to forecast

I've learnt not to take any notice of scientists predictions of doom. Don't forget it wasn't many years ago that we were told snowfall will become "a very rare and exciting event". "Children just aren't going to know what snow is,"

Edited by Cirrostratus
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Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands

Well thats the best yet from the express how the hell can scientists predict what its going to be like for the next 100 years 2 weeks can be hard enough at times to forecast

Britain have faced floods mostly every year since the dawn of time (maybe exaggerated), this isn't new.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

WSI have issued there final forecast before winter

Weather Services International: Below-Normal Winter Temperatures Confined to Extreme Western Europe

Recent Changes to Various Long-Lead Indicators Cast Significant Shadow of Uncertainty on Winter Picture

Andover, MA, November 19, 2012 — WSI (Weather Services International) expects temperatures for the upcoming period (December-February) to average slightly lower than normal across the UK and Iberia, with higher-than-normal temperatures expected across other regions, especially western Russia.

“Our initial winter forecast was fairly aggressive with the idea of a warm, wet winter across northern Europe, including the UK, as the majority of the dynamical and statistical models suggested a relative lack of North Atlantic blocking,†said Dr. Todd Crawford, WSI Chief Meteorologist. “Over the last month, however, most of the trends in the various models have been more suggestive of increased winter blocking in the North Atlantic. Because of this, we have made changes in our forecast towards colder winter temperatures across parts of western Europe. If recent trends continue, we may have to adjust our forecasts towards even colder temperatures in future updates.â€

In December, WSI forecasts:

Nordic Region* – Warmer than normal

UK* – Colder than normal

Northern Mainland* – Warmer than normal, except France

Southern Mainland* – Colder than normal

In January, WSI forecasts:

Nordic Region – Warmer than normal

UK – Colder than normal

Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except western France

Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except Iberia

In February, WSI forecasts:

Nordic Region – Warmer than normal, except northern coastal regions

UK – Warmer than normal

Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal

Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal

http://www.wsi.com/c7a628bb-3bba-43e5-9299-0bc1afd07744/news-scheduled-forecast-release-details.htm

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos

WSI have issued there final forecast before winter

Weather Services International: Below-Normal Winter Temperatures Confined to Extreme Western Europe

Recent Changes to Various Long-Lead Indicators Cast Significant Shadow of Uncertainty on Winter Picture

Andover, MA, November 19, 2012 — WSI (Weather Services International) expects temperatures for the upcoming period (December-February) to average slightly lower than normal across the UK and Iberia, with higher-than-normal temperatures expected across other regions, especially western Russia.

“Our initial winter forecast was fairly aggressive with the idea of a warm, wet winter across northern Europe, including the UK, as the majority of the dynamical and statistical models suggested a relative lack of North Atlantic blocking,†said Dr. Todd Crawford, WSI Chief Meteorologist. “Over the last month, however, most of the trends in the various models have been more suggestive of increased winter blocking in the North Atlantic. Because of this, we have made changes in our forecast towards colder winter temperatures across parts of western Europe. If recent trends continue, we may have to adjust our forecasts towards even colder temperatures in future updates.â€

In December, WSI forecasts:

Nordic Region* – Warmer than normal

UK* – Colder than normal

Northern Mainland* – Warmer than normal, except France

Southern Mainland* – Colder than normal

In January, WSI forecasts:

Nordic Region – Warmer than normal

UK – Colder than normal

Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except western France

Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except Iberia

In February, WSI forecasts:

Nordic Region – Warmer than normal, except northern coastal regions

UK – Warmer than normal

Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal

Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal

http://www.wsi.com/c7a628bb-3bba-43e5-9299-0bc1afd07744/news-scheduled-forecast-release-details.htm

Interesting that, esp as Roger is forecasting the opposite. I think he is plumping for late Jan/Feb as the coldest here in the UK.

Will be interesting to see GP's full forecast soon - he seems to be hinting at a cold winter with a decent start by next week.

Certainly not easy these LRFs...for anyone, whether pro or not. Hats off to those that produce them.

Edited by Bristle boy
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

TWO WEEKS RAIN WILL FALL IN TWO HOURS

BRITAIN is on severe flood alert today as torrential downpours threaten to dump half a month’s rain in two hours.

Forecasters said virtually the entire country will see an intense deluge of more than an inch of rain, while the South-west could see up to two inches.

The Environment Agency last night issued 138 flood alerts and 72 more serious flood warnings for almost the whole of the country.

Met Office forecaster Charlie Powell said: “Rainfall of up to 30mm [1.2in] is likely to occur widely on Thursday, with over 40mm [1.6in] in places – and many areas seeing the rain in a period of an hour or two.â€

Experts also warned of 80mph storm-force winds lashing coastal regions, causing ­structural damage and travel chaos.

The UK was facing a “severe Atlantic storm†following massive downpours which have already left towns and villages flooded.

The South-west, which is on a severe amber warning, is expected to be worst hit today.

http://www.express.c...ll-in-two-hours

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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

Britain braced for more flood chaos

The UK is braced for another day of deluges and flooding as heavy rain sweeps across the country.

Homes were flooded and roads left underwater yesterday as downpours caused widespread disruption, and forecasters warned more misery is on its way. Vehicles were abandoned and there were reports of entire villages being cut off as floodwater surged through lanes and streets and into homes.

As with yesterday, the South West and Wales are expected to bear the brunt of the weather as a low pressure system moves eastwards across the country, bringing gusts of up to 70mph and extremely heavy rain. The Met Office warned that some areas could see up to 60mm (5in) of rain falling on already saturated ground, leading to further risk of rivers flooding.

Strong winds could yet worsen conditions, particularly surface water flooding, as leaves and debris block drains and channels. More than 80 flood warnings are in place - 50 alone in the South West - and there are a further 138 less serious flood alerts, the Environment Agency said. Agency teams are on the ground across the country clearing watercourses of debris and monitoring river levels, and will be out in force over the coming days.

Pete Fox, the Environment Agency's head of flood risk strategy, said: "There is already significant travel disruption due to the wet weather and we would urge people to remain vigilant as further flooding is possible across the South West. "People at flood risk should move their valuable possessions to a safe place before the heavy rain falls. "We also ask that people stay safe, by staying away from swollen rivers and not attempting to drive through floodwater."

Sally Webb, forecaster with MeteoGroup, the meteorological division of the Press Association, said: "There will be gusts as high as 70mph in coastal parts of Cornwall and south west Wales, and it will be very windy elsewhere, reaching up to 50mph. "The rain is going to be very heavy, and in parts of Cornwall and south-west Wales we could see as much as 50mm or even 60mm over higher ground. "Elsewhere in the UK is likely to see between 25mm and 30mm. "The South West and Wales are going to be the worst hit, and it will also be slow to clear from Scotland. "Rain will push east overnight towards East Anglia, London and Kent, leaving it a bit drier and clearer in the west. "Some of the heaviest rain will be in areas that have already got flooding, such as the Devon and Bristol areas. "This weather is very common for autumn, it is just unfortunate that it seems to keep coming at the moment."

While today is expected to be a washout, tomorrow should be bright and breezy, with sunny spells and scattered showers in the west. The weather caused major problems on the road yesterday, with the AA attending more than 8,000 breakdowns - 37% more than normal - and 500 floodwater-related callouts by 4pm. Roads were reported as being impassable around the M5 corridor and in Worcestershire and south Birmingham, and standing water on roads created difficulties for motorists.

Dozens of schools were closed, including 12 in Devon and 17 in Somerset, two of the worst-hit counties, and businesses including pubs and restaurants forced to turn away customers following the floods. Emergency services in Somerset were also called to a flooded property to help rescue a woman who had gone into labour and needed to get to hospital.

Earlier this week, more than 100 residents were evacuated from their homes and transport links were cut off after persistent heavy rain caused flooding in Scotland.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/britain-braced-for-more-flood-chaos-8342873.html

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Waterlogged Britain: Homes, roads and railways flooded as storms wreak havoc and bad weather set to continue


Swathes of Britain were under water yesterday as rain battered the country, turning roads and railways into rivers.


Homes were flooded and transport networks ground to a halt as two weeks’ worth of rain fell overnight in some areas.


Hazardous travelling conditions were exacerbated by 60mph winds, bringing widespread disruption across the UK. Debris and leaves blocked drains, adding to the chaos.


The West Country and the Midlands were the worst hit, but the storms moved east and were expected to drench more areas overnight and today – with forecasters predicting 2.5in of rain in places.

http://www.dailymail...l#ixzz2CwOqjlBp


Rising damp

WASHED-OUT Britain was drenched yesterday with more than 200 flood warnings and whole villages left marooned.

Two inches of torrential rain caused traffic chaos in parts of the Midlands and South West, with hundreds of cars abandoned as roads turned into rivers.


Last night weather forecasters warned that worse was to come with 60-70mph winds making conditions even more hazardous today and heavy rain forecast overnight on Friday. More is set to come on Sunday and Monday.


Sixty people were rescued from floods in the South West. Bristol roads were saturated and a pregnant woman had to be taken from her home in Stowey Bottom.


Devon and Somerset crews received 311 flood-related calls as several schools were forced to shut, while firefighters in Dorset rescued 20 people.


At Longburton, near Dorchester, they used a dinghy to paddle stranded motorists to safety.


In Halesowen, in the West Midlands, cars were submerged almost to their bonnets.


Police community support officer Sarah Giles tweeted in Exeter: “Roads have become rivers, lots of surface water some quite deep. Slow down, it’s safer.â€


Forecaster Helen Rossington, of MeteoGroup, said: “We’re expecting more rain and it will also become more windy. The rainfall will cause yet more problems.â€

http://www.thesun.co...l#ixzz2CwQV4wrO


The wets of England: Floods hit South West and West Midlands with more on the way


The West of England was hit by a deluge today when torrential rain flooded homes and roads.

Villages were cut off and vehicles were abandoned as more than two inches of rain fell overnight.

Hundreds of businesses, schools and roads were closed in the worst hit areas of Devon, Dorset and Somerset.

A fire crew had to rescue a woman in labour who was trapped in her home near Bristol.

Darron Burness of the AA said: "It's been very bad today in the Midlands and South West, with the weather causing extremely challenging driving conditions.

"Unfortunately, the forecast for today is even worse, with heavy rain forecast across a wider area - particularly the South West, South Wales and Scotland - so drivers need to plan accordingly and keep tuned to local traffic and weather reports."

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-floods-hit-west-1448978
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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

Flooding clean-up under way before more weekend rain

Communities in parts of England, Scotland and Wales are facing a day of mopping up after widespread flooding, ahead of more wet weather this weekend.

A man has died in floods caused by heavy rain in Chew Stoke near Bath. Thursday's downpours led to evacuations and road closures and 91 flood warnings are in place across England and Wales. The Met Office predicted "more heavy rain and strong to gale force winds" in many parts of the UK overnight on Saturday into Sunday.

However, there is uncertainty about where the strongest winds will hit. Avon Fire and Rescue service said the dead man became trapped in his car in Chew Stoke, in Bath and North East Somerset. Weather warnings have been issued for the weekend, with the Met Office saying winds could damage buildings and uproot trees. More flooding is possible, especially on ground already saturated by Thursday's rain.

Gusts of 60-70mph could hit south-eastern coastal counties of England and there is the potential for storm force winds over the English Channel, forecasters say. On Friday morning, the Environment Agency still had in place 91 flood warnings, indicating that flooding is expected. Most of them were in the south-west of England and the Midlands. More than 200 flood alerts are also in place, meaning the public should be prepared for flooding. The Scottish Environment Protection Agency had issued about a dozen warnings, mainly in the Tayside area.

Devon and Cornwall police advised commuters that travel to work on Friday morning was "expected to be OK" though there would still be patches of standing water in places. More rain over the weekend will cause problems on saturated ground, forecasters say. The region has experienced high winds and torrential rain, with train services either cancelled or delayed. In Exeter, a 20ft wall collapsed on Thursday, with hundreds of tonnes of rubble falling. Nearby homes were evacuated.

Devon and Cornwall Police said that initial searches indicated that no-one was trapped beneath the rubble, but as a precaution fire crews will search the debris with thermal imaging cameras and a sniffer dog. Twenty homes were also evacuated after water breached the 200-year-old Grand Western Canal at Halberton, Devon. Between Devon and Somerset, 12 separate areas of rail track were impassable, and the line was likely to be closed for the next two days, said a First Great Western spokesman.

Among events emergency crews attended, in Carmarthenshire a motorist was rescued after her car was swept 100 metres along a fast-flowing, swollen river near St Clears. In Ulverston, Cumbria, a hospice was evacuated after a nearby stream burst its banks, flooding bedrooms and offices. On the railways, there were no trains between Holyhead and Llandudno Junction and passengers were told not to travel as it was not guaranteed they could reach their destinations even continuing by road, National Rail said.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-20457526

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Posted
  • Location: Nottingham, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy or warm and sunny
  • Location: Nottingham, UK

Daily Express at it again!!

'' 100mph Gales set to Batter Britain''

Someone needs to tell them there are numbers other than '100' to use. It's getting a bit silly now.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

NOW FOR THE BIG FREEZE

STORM-RAVAGED Britain faces more disruption as bitter Arctic weather blows in next week.

Temperatures are set to fall to -15C (5F) by Tuesday and the whole country will be at risk of snow by the end of the week.

The big freeze will last until mid-December, forecasters warned last night. After more heavy rain this weekend, adding to the flood chaos that has already claimed two lives, the snow will arrive first in northern England before spreading south.

http://www.express.c...-the-big-freeze

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Posted
  • Location: Stockport
  • Location: Stockport

NOW FOR THE BIG FREEZE

STORM-RAVAGED Britain faces more disruption as bitter Arctic weather blows in next week.

Temperatures are set to fall to -15C (5F) by Tuesday and the whole country will be at risk of snow by the end of the week.

The big freeze will last until mid-December, forecasters warned last night. After more heavy rain this weekend, adding to the flood chaos that has already claimed two lives, the snow will arrive first in northern England before spreading south.

http://www.express.c...-the-big-freeze

That's the most sensible I've seen the Express regarding a weather story, ordinarily they would try to convince us it would last until June. Take a bow, DE!

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Posted
  • Location: Ribble Valley
  • Location: Ribble Valley

-15 by Tuesday!

Yes, but they forgot to add the words In Siberia though. Just wait until they run Maddens version in next weeks paper, we're all doomed I tell ya!
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

DRIVER SWEPT TO HIS DEATH IN FLOOD

BRITAIN’S deadly weather has claimed its first victims as more ­terrifying storms look set to sweep the UK.

Two men have been killed while another was last night missing feared dead after devastating wind and rain pummelled the country.

And forecasters have warned of even fiercer storms which could claim more lives.

One man, believed to be in his 70s, died after his 4x4 was swept away by floods as he tried to drive across a ford in Chew Stoke, Somerset, yesterday.

Rescue teams managed to drag him from his Mitsubishi Shogun which got wedged under a footbridge.

But he died of a heart attack on the way to hospital.

Severe gales will hit southern counties ­tonight.

Colder weather is also expected to arrive next week, with snow on higher hills in northern England and Scotland.

http://www.dailystar...death-in-flood/

Britain under water: Towns and fields submerged after days of rain as deluge and 50mph gales are set to continue over the weekend

Storms will batter Britain again this weekend after a brief respite from the rain, and floods are set to worsen in the next 24 hours.

The Environment Agency (EA) have today reduced the number of flood warnings for England and Wales issued to 49 but this is expected to rise amid fears that heavy rain will trigger further flooding.

It will compound misery for those in areas already suffering from severe floods following the downpours earlier this week, which has forced hundreds to evacuate their homes and killed a motorist in Chew Stoke, near Bristol.

http://www.dailymail...l#ixzz2D8md4CSY

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Posted
  • Location: Wincanton,Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Channel low = Heavy snow
  • Location: Wincanton,Somerset

I have noticed a trend with the express with it's 100 years talk... 100 winds, 100 years cold spell -15 temperatures... If you divide it all by 50% you get 50 mile per hour winds which is likely. 50 year temperature =1962/1963 and -7.5 up north tuesday night maybe??????

Edited by Dave Kightley
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