SilverWolf

@Dorsetbred Glad you liked it! Made me smile..

https://www.facebook.com/616012874/posts/10160396117217875/?mibextid=rS40aB7S9Ucbxw6v

Sound like weather magic! Please start now if it works.

No apology needed! Was said in jest only…

I spent years using risk assessments in care/support work. Even if a possible situation was regarded to be ‘high’ and ‘likely’, the situations didn’t occur all the time. But that the point of a risk assessment - be ready in case it does. No different to weather warnings. Amber warning is not ‘definite’ and anyone who thinks otherwise and is disappointed after the fact needs to learn how the warnings work. We’re all at least a little weather savvy on here, so perhaps we don’t need the warnings so much - how many here look at the models or opinions about them most days? I do. I knew this storm was ‘probably’ coming days ago. But my parents wouldn’t have. I’m sure they were grateful for the warnings on the BBC, ‘just in case’, and even more grateful some of the forecasting models weren’t correct. I haven’t talked to them yet, but I bet my Dad was out checking the garden to make sure certain things weren’t vulnerable to strong wind.

This is a weird thread! Has turned into the ‘What planes are doing and how to manage your fridge/freezer! All good..

Depends who you know..

Afflicted nadgers sounds like something to avoid..

Interesting reading the thread.. Sure posts reflecting what some of the models are suggesting are being posted as is… but the big variation in possibilities are reflected in the posts. Very interesting times ahead, even this week (Wednesday still has interest in the south, and that’s not IMBY as it’s pretty unlikely for me). For the last week, and going forward, this has been a the most fascinating model watch for some years, even for someone like me who relies on the knowledge of others.

Before you made that promise, I hope you checked you had an old school frisbee and not an Aerobie!

Even later in the day on 10th Dec 22, there was a slight risk of a few light snow showers by morning where I am. Had 7 inches of snow on the morning of the 11th..

That looks about right! The 5% you mentioned, is there any chance the low could pivot and move north? Or is simply to big and will just barrel through, regardless of where it runs? I asked this the the MOD thread, but it was quickly buried with other posts..

Agree with that! I’ve mentioned before, and yes IMBY (in the past), but Dec 22 was exactly that.

Ok sure.. but ‘potential’ is what it is.. without looking, I get the impression it wasn’t there yesterday. And it was partly just for fun really. I’ve got no real expectation it’ll happen. Ok, apologies for those further south than me! IF anything occurs, looks far more likely for you than me right now..

Thanks to @Ali1977 for this!