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Everything posted by Radiating Dendrite
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Why is it when a cold spell looks like ending we get the, these models have never seen such a rare setup before myth being belted out. They're algorithmic, data crunchers..... every synoptic presented to them is rare as no two things in the atmosphere are ever the same with it in constant motion. I think some people think they're real living enterties - Gary GFS, Eric ECM and Urs UKMO.
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-8c here this morning. I've enjoyed the cold spell, but a mild break to recharge the batteries would not go unwanted now. The snow has now turned to sheet ice and it is not particularly pleasant. Models do look a little conflicted, but I'd say mild and then a little chilly later next next week with a possible colder reload in the NY and maybe from the east.
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Nice to see the PV has chosen Asia for his holiday destination this year. Let's hope for some strike action so he can't make it back to Greenland and Canada. Some places in the UK could see a lot of snow over the next couple of weeks and it is the perfect time of year - no strengthening sun to melt it away.
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Looking at the ECM again on the 3hr intervals and it's underwhelming in all honesty for this in the south. The uppers max at about -6c and then we have pockets of warmer uppers in the trough circulation before the low moves in from the SW and brings rain. For my location, all I see is a few cold and sunny days with frosts before the rain returns.
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A few already looking for the breakdown lol. Out in lala land the models are always too progressive. We either get a high on steroids or a resumption of dart board lows. The answer is likely in the middle, a possible waning of heights and then either another cycle of amplification or a messy breakdown.
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Somebody mentioned 2010 last night and that is starting to get pretty close to that in terms of GH and very cold NE flow. Great to see, but a looooong way to go still. Nice to see the 00z improve on the 18z run. It is normally like waking up with the beer goggles having been taken off, but last night we did actually pull a cracker!
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Let's just hope you're very wrong then. I don't think anyone would disagree that the projected uppers are not spectacular, but the pattern with such a strong positive heights anomaly is what people are getting excited about. We usual start December mild and wet with an angry PV over Greenland...... just nice to see something a little different showing. I don't think I've ever seen you be positive about a colder scenario - always in the I told you so brigade.
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Temperature Record Monitor Thread
Radiating Dendrite replied to Radiating Dendrite's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Northolt and Kew both 39.5c at 2pm, so they may squeak a 40c. Think things will start to cool off a touch in the SE now though ahead of the front moving the uppers away. -
Temperature Record Monitor Thread
Radiating Dendrite replied to Radiating Dendrite's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I am surprised that Kenley was as a high as 26c. I am about 3 miles from the airfield (100m lower down) and we got down to 21.5c last night. Can only put it down to us being in the valley and the cold air sinking. -
Temperature Record Monitor Thread
Radiating Dendrite replied to Radiating Dendrite's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Dissapointing here, got some high cloud which has seen temps fall a couple of degrees from a high of 34c. The heat is very dry, after having gone for a walk, I have felt far more uncomfortable at a humid 28c than what we currently have. -
Temperature Record Monitor Thread
Radiating Dendrite replied to Radiating Dendrite's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Does seem some big temperature variations between locations. Charlwood is about 20 miles from me, they were at 34c at noon and we were only hitting 29c here. -
Temperature Record Monitor Thread
Radiating Dendrite replied to Radiating Dendrite's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yep, temperatures were slightly too high on the models compared to actuals. I seem to be in a cool spot, only 31c in my garden. Heat is nice and dry, just like being on Holiday. -
Temperature Record Monitor Thread
Radiating Dendrite replied to Radiating Dendrite's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hitting 29c now in the SE according to live viewer. Anyone use METO WOW? Find it very glitchy, expecially on mobile.