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Timbo

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  1. just had very heavy hail and wet snow at Lowestoft, the temperature has been going down all day, think the low has moved further South than forecast, look how much wintery precipitation there is on the radar for the Northen half of East Anglia
  2. i think the warning will be issued this evening, i think there may some surprises for East Anglia tomorrow, it is only 2 degrees near lowestoft at the minute and the rain has a lot of sleet mixed in. as the low pull away there will be a good dig in of very cold air, expect to see snow to sea level from about 5am onwards, lasting till around early afternoon.
  3. the latest video met office said at the end, " turning much colder next week" more on this in the 10 day forecast later !! wonder if they are going against there own model?, as the ukmo did not look cold .
  4. Do we think the GFS will strengthen the Easterly or drop the idea on the 06z i still have a gut feeling that we are about to be hit with a major Beast from the East, on par with 2018 .
  5. why are so many people confident that the GFS is wrong, this model was slated when it was going for +40 in the summer, it got that very correct, it was also slated on the breakdown of the early Dec cold spell,it also saw this happening before the other models. How many times have we had all models in agreement on a potent cold spell to have it removed from our grasp. I still think that the GFS has this modelled correctly and this time next week it will be the ukmo & ecmf that everyone is calling cannon fodder.
  6. The other day myself and the wife were discussing how hot it would be today, she said that it would reach 44 and i laughed at her, i guessed at 42.6. i think im in with a good chance of being right, but looking how temps are still climbing, the wife might prove me wrong??
  7. we need to watching closely to were the sting jet forms, if this happens winds can increase to easily 100mph gusts, currently looking like forming in a line from Midlands down through East Anglia, from middle of the day through the afternoon,
  8. Lets have a friendly competition to were we think the strongest gust will happen tomorrow, ill start with 100mph around North Norfolk
  9. You my have egg on your face by the end of tomorrow making statements like that.....
  10. In the 87 storm, there was a powerful sting jet and also numerous tornados, i would not be surprised if some tornados form across the Midlands to East Anglia tomorrow
  11. Yes i fully agree with you, now looking like a sting jet is coming into play, costal regions of East Anglia could well record the highest gusts of this storm, as mention earlier could be in excess on 100mph along the coast.
  12. On our local look east weather this morning, she emphasised that there could be gusts upto 80mph inland, and then that the winds could ramp up even more as the system exits into the north sea, i think they are now picking up on a strong sting jet coming into play, this could push the gusts the wrong side of 100mph!!!!, here come 87 all over again, an back then the devastation was of the scale. Keep save everyone tomorrow.
  13. I think the red warning area will a lot larger, i also think East Anglia will be in the red warning, looks like winds intensify as it starts to exit into the North sea
  14. What would happen if we get a sting jet into the mix as it develops, how much could this increase the gusts to?
  15. Has anyone got archive chars for how it looked for the great 87 storm for comparison to Fridays predictions, is it taking the same path?
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