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Upgrade last won the day on July 10 2011

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  1. Malham Cove waterfall in the Yorkshire Dales running for first time in hundreds of years...
  2. Two consecutive 35 degree days forecast for Melbourne on Monday and Tuesday, if it comes off it will be the earliest 35 degree day in the year by about a week , and the first ever two consecutive 35 degree days in October.
  3. Looks like an early season heatwave is on the way for south east Aus. Bom going for up to 4 days with temps around 30 for Melbourne and much warmer inland from the coming weekend. El Niño springs have historically been more likely to have heatwaves.
  4. Polar outbreaks here are quite different than the type you get in the UK due to vast areas of ocean to all points south. Still getting my head around how it al works down here ! It is fascinating though and great to live in a part of oz with snow potential in winter essentially on our doorstep. It has been a colder winter this year in south East oz tham for many years partic in tassie victoria and South Australia although perhaps reflective of the run of warmer than average winters prior. Hard to know if El Niño has had anything to do with it.
  5. Melbourne's coldest night for 18 years and coldest July night since 1994 with many parts of the city and surrounds below zero. http://m.theage.com.au/victoria/melbourne-weather-city-shivers-through-coldest-morning-in-18-years-20150718-gifi9l.html
  6. http://m.weatherzone.com.au/news/melbournes-frigid-week-nearing-its-coldest-point/329016 Supposedly the coldest week for 19 years in Melb. We've had 2 sub 10 degree days this month and a couple sub 11 , as well as days with lengthy spells of cold rain, not too frequent here. It felt bitter on Sunday with it pouring all daylight hours and a temp of 6-7 degrees much of the day until evening when it warmed up to around 11. Monday and Tues this week were not much better . Felt like a London winter a bit! The coldest pool of air slid past Melb and headed from the west to tote north of the country . However there has been a decent amount of snow in the Victorian Alps to kick off the ski season properly, which had got off to a very slow start this year. Looks like temps are on their way back up to the seasonal average of 14-16 by the end of this weekend. And this cold spell may be the worst of the winter behind us.
  7. Hi guys , still here and check in to net weather every now and then from down here in Melbourne! Australian Bureau of Meteorology going quite strongly for El Niño now in their latest fortnightly update today. Looks like it's on the cards.....it's been a dry autumn here in Vic so far, we are hoping for more rain but El ninos usually mean dry weather for South East Aus. Interesting times. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/archive/ensowrap_20150428.pdf
  8. Melbourne had it's first day over 20c since 27 May, on Thursday 22 August! Hopefully a sign that spring is around the corner. Yesterday was also beautiful.
  9. A lovely week or so here in Melbourne, balmy days of 20-22 and mild nights of 15-17, though last week had some cooler mornings. Really enjoying this late autumn warmth. Feels like En Nino may have already arrived.
  10. Records are not just being broken, they are being smashed to oblivion.
  11. Melbourne has recorded 7 days over 40 degrees c this year so far, beating it's previous record of 6 days, in over 100 years of records. The average number of days over 40 in an average year is 1.3. In addition Melbourne has just recorded it's hottest 30 day period ever, beating a record set only last year. Amazing times. The climate seems to be becoming more extreme down here .
  12. It's late here, so i'll be brief (ish) but a couple of things spring to mind after another day in Melbourne in the 40's today ( and 44 tomorrow and 42 Friday forecast). I've lived in Oz just over a year and am not a native but this is hot even for locals. Despite general perceptions overseas of Oz being hot and sunny all the time, full of deserts and dusty bush etc generally the coastal cities where 85% of Australians live are located in reasonably green, temperate regions in which to live,most of the year. hot spells are a feature of aussie summers but in the south and east rarely last more than a day or two at a time, with a spike in temperature followed by a large drop ( up to 20 degrees c) with the lower temperature periods being longer lasting than the high ones. despite being on the same latitude in the southern hemipshere as athens is in the north, melbourne generally has a much more temperate summer climate than athens - albeit with these ocassional spikes of heat. What seems to be "new" here is the length and extremity of the hot spells. 4 days over 40 for Melbourne isnt at all usual. and it's only 4 years since the last session like this one. and 2013 was the hottest summer recorded in 150 years. When you combine it with raging 12 or 13 UV ratings and strong winds and temperatures like last night of 37.1 deg C at 115 in the morning..... life quickly becomes really unpleasant. Add to this dry lightning storms, fires and power outages and you start to get the picture. You really don't need a 2 week heatwave of these sorts of conditions for life to start getting difficult - 3 days of it creates havoc. The pressure belts seem to have moved south over the decades,leading to longer lasting hot blasts from the inland deserts. Who knows what lies in the future - is this just part of the natural variation? to see numerous birds and other animals dropped dead on the ground doesn't seem normal, though i don't have long years of experience here. Australia's evironment can be savage, but sights like that are still shocking to me.
  13. Much of Melbourne reached 43 today, certainly got a shock when i looked at my phone earlier and it was showing 46... think it was a degree of two out - but not much. Yes, looks like 4 days of 40+ in Melbourne starting today , which is unusual in a city known for it's cool changes - normally we would get 1 day of 40 per year, and a couple of near misses. To get 4 in a row comfortably over 40, as is forecast, if it comes off ( and the models have actually been continuing to upgrade the heat the nearer to the event ) would be pretty exceptional. With 850s looking to be around 28 degrees on Thursday you have to wonder whether 43-45 for Melbourne might be achieved. Night temps also very notable - may not drop below 30 overnight on Thursday into Friday. Adelaide's forecast for tomorrow (45) and Thursday (46) after 45 degrees today is just plain frightening, especially with dry lightning around and some wind. I think but may be wrong that if this comes off it will be the first time an Australian capital city has had 3 consecutive days over 45 degrees. Although the bush is not as tinder dry as it was in 2009, and the wind not forecast to be particularly strong, any kind of effective fire fighting ( or actually doing anything out of doors ) in these temperature is near impossible so the forecasts are very worrying . Off to the beach now, it's 10pm and 37 degrees here................just nice for a dip in the cool waters of the bay .
  14. Very high temperatures reported inland over the last few days. However it has been very mild - cool alonht the south coast. Its 4pm on a summer's afternoon in Melbourne and it's currently 16 degrees, blustery and rainy. Lots of southerly and westerly influences so far this summer. A real lack of sustained heat so far.
  15. Yes, the inland heatwave is reaching incredibly hot temperatures. Fortunately this isnt affecting the major cities at the moment. I wonder whether it may be reinforced during January and may come to affect the cities though? Melbourne has been reasonably mild (cool) this spring and early summer. Other than the 39 degree day just before Christmas there's been little in the way of heat compared with last year. However last year was my first year in Oz so perhaps this year is more normal for around these parts. I had a great road trip over Christmas , drove all the way fro Melbourne to Sydney inland, and then up right up the NSW coast (to South West Rocks as it turned out!) and back again. it was fascinating to see the changes in climate and flora along the way. North and West of the dividing range is a different world climatically - it was so hot compared to the coast. And amazing as one drives north of sydney how sub tropical it quickly becomes. A happy new year to all.
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