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About East_England_Stormchaser91

  • Birthday 12/10/1991

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  • Gender Male
  • Location Peterborough/Spalding
  • Interests Spanish Plumes, Heat, Thunderstorms, Snow, anything else that is extreme!
  • Weather Preferences Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy

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  1. Winters moans, ramps, chat and banter

    All I can say is that GFS has performed like a 'flip flop' all throughout this cold spell! Much like it's old predecessor! 
  2. South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - A new year

    Been snowing steadily here for the past half hour!! 
  3. How far away can you actually observe lightning?

    Yeah I've read 'up to' 100 miles away on google. But my own eyes have told me that it is definitely further than that! The Isle of Wight from here is over 150 miles as the crow flies! Maybe because of the flat landscape of the fens, it gives massive unimpeded views around here. 
  4. Thought I would start a thread regarding the furthest distance lightning can really be observed from. Ive read a few times this past summer, during the storms of this year in particular including myself of observing and witnessing the flickering of lightning from well in excess of 100 miles away, perhaps nearing or exceeding 150 miles!  I myself can certainly say that up here on the lincs/Cambs border have witnessed regular flashes from storms as far away as Wiltshire and Dorset, and more recently as far as the IOW!  Someone on another forum claimed that they had witnessed from Suffolk flashes from storms as far away as the Dutch/German border! And flashes over Belgium from Northamptonshire!!!  Any takes on this folks? 
  5. Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards

    You may ask yourself how do they do this?  You may ask yourself where did that shortwave go to? You may ask yourself is this right or is it wrong, then you may say to yourself my god, what has it done?!  Sums up what model watching has been like this past week!  Anyway, what I'm now seeing if anything is backtracking from the GFS more towards a UKMO solution! With the heights raising and the Atlantic being pushed ever further back!  Good thing is, the cold has began to filter in across northern parts, so we are getting there! 
  6. Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards

    Everyone going on about southwesterlies on the ECM at the end.  For a start, especially in the south, that will not be as warm as it suggests. S/SE winds coming in from the cold continent. That Is also a mid latitude block too, with very displaced potent cold below it stretching from turkey to spain!  Would not take much for that high to retrogress under the circumstances shown. 
  7. Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards

    GFS is on it's own with this one. All eyes rest on the all important ECM 12z.  Got to say I'm liking the latest UKMO and GEM evolution of things. A very cold med and even -8's into mainland Spain with the high over us, giving some very harsh frosts. Any breakdown from the south should give a snowstorm with all that surface cold over the continent.  This is why I love model watching! 
  8. Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire! 
  9. Omg yep saw that from what must be 120 miles away!! Wow :O
  10. So my eyes may not have been kidding me. Very distant flashes observed to the far South from all the way in Huntingdon, Cambs!! Enjoy it before the potential snow! 
  11. Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards

    Once again we are in no mans land! Everything everywhere. The Icelandic and Norwegian shortwaves are the things to be looking out for in real time and the next day or so. It is pretty much predicated on these little blighters in where we go and what happens.  If nuking them was an option, I would certainly do so! 
  12. Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards

    More runs needed. Never in my life have I seen such a big clusterf**k of runs. The models are all over the place and there's shortwaves and ridges dotted all over the shop.  Awaiting with bated breath for ECM and later GFS runs throughout the day. Interesting stuff nonetheless. But I'd take anything as far as 72-96hrs with a big pinch of salt.
  13. Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards

    Can't see what all the fuss is about to be quite honest.  Look at the reliable timeframe first before fretting over what may or may not happen with the shortwaves and the Azores low. Through experience, Azores lows tend to be the catalyst for the real snowstorms. Winter 09/10, Jan 63 etc. with the Greenland high looking certain now, anything can happen. The main thing is will be the cold certainly heading in our direction. Anything more than 96 hours is subject to huge changes in these types of setups. 
  14. Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards

    Boom! Channel low on the 12z. Midlands up to Cheshire and the Derbyshire peaks would fare best from this though. 
  15. Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards

    Azores low has never been a bad thing. If anything, the low over the Azores obstructs the heights from collapsing back down to their default position. It has always been a common feature in the best historical cold spells.