ocean

Have to say this week has been a fascinating watch and continues to be so. Never seen such a rollercoaster of a week and continues to be so with model after model giving wildly variant outcomes. Great spectator sport

Looking at that secondary low just forming off Ireland. What consequences do you think this will have on our already forecast windspeeds. Is this likely to squeeze a little more creating even higher windspeeds. Did not the 87 storm develope pretty late on similar to this secondary low. Not for one instance suggesting that but very interesting development

I think because its a rapidly developing system thats still to form any warnings given will be overnight for the morning. Would love to be a fly on the wall in the Met Office tonight. Pandemonium no doubt.

21 foot wave just recorded on wave bouy 5 miles south of Jersey

Sorry, bit off topic here but does anyone know which company Stewart (Glacier Point) went to work for. His long range forecasting was a must watch with a great explanation of how he arrived at his conclusions. I'm not suprised he was snapped up as his forecasts patterns were generally pretty close to the mark and would be interested if he is out there still, forecasting for a online company with access for some form of subscription fee.

So much uncertainty from all the models. Is there a certain crunch point within the charts where the models will get a grip and have a good handle on the approximate patern or is it always the same with cold synoptics with wild swings fro run to run ????

The answer is in the second link!

http://www.channelonline.tv/channelonline_jerseynews/DisplayArticle.asp?ID=497842

http://www.channelonline.tv/channelonline_jerseynews/DisplayArticle.asp?ID=497842

Link to live conditions here in the Channel Islands. Updates every five minutes by hitting the refresh button. Currently calm with steady drizzle Local Jersey Forecast; Weather : Rain, heavy at times overnight. Min : 7 °C Visibility : Moderate to good, occasionally poor. Wind : South fresh F5 to strong F6, veering southwest later this evening and increasing gale F8 to severe gale F9 with gusts to 70 mph, veering west to northwest by the morning and decreasing strong F7 to gale F8 with gusts to 55 mph. Open Sea State : Rough to very rough becoming very rough to high overnight. http://www.mantonjersey.co.uk/userimages/Current_Vantage_pro.htm

Current Channel Islands Weather http://www.mantonjersey.co.uk/userimages/Current_Vantage_pro.htm

Heres the stats from the Channel Islands Jersey Monthly Weather Stats

Very dry here too in the Channel Islands Jersey Weather