Hi I'm new to posting on forums, but I have always enjoyed the comments posted by members of netweather, whether it be models at winter, hurricanes etc. I have learn't so much from this site. Hurricane earl has me quite worried though. What would the effect of the storm surge be on New York City? and is their any information on this. My feeling is, as history has shown, that Earl will move slightly further west and impact the east coast more significantly. What I dont understand is how the high pressure steers hurricanes. I saw the BBC weather forecast and it looked like the high was nudging east. Maybe I am barking completely up the wrong tree so any expert information from anyone greatly appreciated. My fingers are crossed for the east coast US!