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jamesbhx

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Horsham, W. Sussex
  • Interests
    Air Traffic Control
  • Weather Preferences
    Fog, Drizzle, Rain, Wind and Thunderstorms

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  1. Yes, there is still some discrepancy between the models even at this range. The peak wind gust for Brighton varies between 55 to 87mph across the most recent models, thats quite a wide range.
  2. There's no link, just based on pilot reports on the radio at the moment.
  3. CB cloud tops about 38000ft over the channel at the moment, based on pilot reports.
  4. I totally agree. Soil temp down on the Sussex coast around 11c at the moment with the recent warm and dry weather. Not expecting anything to settle apart from perhaps on the very tops of the Downs.
  5. AROME modelling this very intense feature that some are calling a "sting jet". 160/170kph which is pushing 105mph in the light pink zone. That is the cumulative wind chart, not the wind at 0100 localtime.
  6. I haven't trusted the BBC since the weather girl on Midlands Today once said "...brightening up as the night goes on".
  7. Tend to agree, UKMO 12z stronger for the south east. A few frames later on from your chart shows Brighton at 90mph peak gust.
  8. Met Police just declared a "Major Incident" for London due to flooded roadways and multiple persons trapped in vehicles in different locations.
  9. You do realise you've posted a GFS chart for a location in Germany, and not the UK?
  10. High res AROME 12z run showing 70-80+ mph over a large portion of the south coast and channel. Certainly not to be taken lightly and well worth the amber warning from the MetO. Wouldn't mind betting the Needles will see 90+mph from this.
  11. Funnel cloud observed at Shoreham Airport this lunchtime (6th September)
  12. Correct. Amber and Red trigger certain processes with councils, blue light services, power companies, transport and other national infrastructure organisations and operators. Such things like cancelling leave, bringing people in on days off, moving equipment around or safeguarding sites etc. So such decisions are not taken lightly as there is a cost implication for these services when they do. For example, one of my previous employers would block book hotel rooms near to the workplace in case staff were unable to get home, in the event of certain warnings from the Met Office.
  13. Taken from @convectivewx and https://twitter.com/danholley_ twitter accounts.
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