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High Altitude

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    Middlesex, Ruislip
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    Meterology, fishing, football, boxing, weight lifting, snooker/pool, reading and socialising.

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  1. Moderate to Heavy here now. Nice flakes too. Starting to settle. Temp - 1.1
  2. I think it’s more to do with the rate of precipitation. We’ve only had light snow here or flurries blowing about in the wind and although temp is -0.5 and we had a dusting at night, in the day time it doesn’t really settle. Also have to factor in the urban heat island effect with temps hovering around zero. An example of this is my thermometer reads -0.5 at the back of my garden yet on a thermometer right outside the house window is registers +0.5, that whole degree makes a big difference at those margins. The cumulative effect of that with other houses giving out the same even more so. Three weeks ago on that Sunday the temp was 1.5 yet we had a good 5cm of settling snow in the daytime over 4 hours and dew points were higher...but the precipitation was moderate to heavy and it settled quick enough. Once the snow has settled this has the effect of reflecting of reflecting solar energy and keeping it cold at the surface. So really what we need is a good dumping??
  3. This is true. But the margin for error still seems to be 3/4 days. Small changes in that time frame can lead to a whole new pattern down stream. The default flow is west to east and the models always seem (from what I can see) to revert to that mind set. Even the meto revert to that after the immediate time frame. Always sit in the fence. I know I’m off topic do I’ll leave it there. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
  4. I don’t post often, but a long time lurker, going back to BBC snow watch days. Only thing I’ll add is that over the years, Dec 2010 as an example, once the cold is entrenched the break down is always delayed. Back in 2010 I remember the models breaking it down after 4/5 days, then it’s extended etc etc. In the end it lasted a month. Granted it wasn’t a snow fest every day, but the cold held out. As long as this spell evolves as shown then I’d be surprised to see any break down making it much further than skirting the south before cold reasserts itself. The models are always to quick to break cold spells down.
  5. What are the chances of exceeding a forecast like this, one of my all time favourites.......
  6. I don’t post in here often but even so I check in here religiously and have done so for over 15 years now and so in my own way I feel a connection with the community. On that note I just want to send my condolences to BFTP. My thoughts are with you at this trying time....and you didn’t fail anyone! When you’re ready I along with many others I’m sure will welcome return.
  7. It's funny but when snow is predicted I actually get butterflies in my stomach and generally feel like a little boy again. I don't know why. Always been the same since I can remember. I don't even need an alarm to wake me up, it's in built every two hours through the night my eyes spring open and I'm at the window - usually nothing but that excitment and the chase for me is what it's all about. Nice to know I'm not crazy alone.
  8. To my untrained eye those charts look the exactly the same. What to look for to indicate whether the system goes under or over?
  9. Virga; 'An observable streak or shaft.......'. I thought I'd logged on to the wrong forum for a second lol.
  10. After missing out again I just don't think I've got it in me for another week away snow chase, especially at this time of year. For me the fun of snow has always been in its rarity to these shores and the romanticism around the approaching christmas festive season, rural picture postcard scenes, short, cold and crisp days, mulled wine, log fires and the anticipation of what the coming winter might bring. Snow at the end of March/Spring just doesn't conjure up any such connotations for me especially with the longer days and slush factor. I would much rather have warm, pleasant days, bird song and the smell of freshly cut grass at this time of year. My proper interest with snow will start again from around beginning of October. The only exception to this would be an extreme record breaking snow event with significant accumulations and blizzards. Damp, wet and cold with randomness flurries just doesn't cut it for me, it's a bit like delaying the inevitable. Now where's that radar...........
  11. Only had the Jan spell deliver anything noteworthy here in the way of snow and looking at the winter as a whole I've certainly been more disappointed than not (from an IBMY point of view) so on that basis I won't be taking anything for granted until its either falling out of he sky or laying thick on th floor. Although having said that I do appreciate the extent, rarity and extremity of some of the cold Synoptics that have come to fruition and weather experienced by some.
  12. I know. It was meant to be in jest. Should have added a smilie. Maybe they beheaded it for going against the fifth amendment..........;-)
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