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Marcus_surfer, on 24 May 2012 - 21:24 , said:
24.4C with a low of 10.0C, i think it won't get below 15C tonight.
Cheers for that, perhaps 27c tomorrow, agree about the 15c, it feels the warmest night by a mile.
Jackone
Member Since 07 Aug 2003Offline Last Active Yesterday, 21:32
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In Topic: Warm/hot Spell Discussion 22nd May Onwards
Yesterday, 21:22
Marcus_surfer, on 24 May 2012 - 21:21 , said:
Temperature is steady at 18.4C
What was your max today?
In Topic: Model Output Discussion 14th May 2012 Onwards
Yesterday, 21:15
phil n.warks., on 24 May 2012 - 19:19 , said:
This current warm/very warm and essentially dry spell looks like extending well into next week based on the 12z outputs.
Heights are forecasted to be situated around the UK- and Western Europe generally-even by day5.
The NH 500 hPa UKMO chart at T120hrs. illustrates this clearly.
npsh500_120.png
In the immediate outlook we will get a nice little Easterly for the southern half of the UK for a couple of days from tomorrow which will temper the heat just a little so it will feel quite refreshing with low humidity but the sun will still be deceptively strong in spite of the breeze.
h850t850eu.png h850t850eu 2.png
So although temperatures may drop a little most places will exceed 21C through tomorrow and the weekend,especially further west .
As i said at the start the fine spell does look like extending beyond the weekend but there is a difference between GFS and the UKMO/ECM operational runs.next week.
GFS suggests a temporary break around midweek with low pressure extending into the UK from the Atlantic trough giving cooler and showery conditions.
This is not reflected in other outputs, including it`s own mean 500hPa data, so the GFS Op. looks like it`s on it`s own at the moment.
Heights are forecasted to be situated around the UK- and Western Europe generally-even by day5.
The NH 500 hPa UKMO chart at T120hrs. illustrates this clearly.
npsh500_120.pngIn the immediate outlook we will get a nice little Easterly for the southern half of the UK for a couple of days from tomorrow which will temper the heat just a little so it will feel quite refreshing with low humidity but the sun will still be deceptively strong in spite of the breeze.
h850t850eu.png h850t850eu 2.pngSo although temperatures may drop a little most places will exceed 21C through tomorrow and the weekend,especially further west .
As i said at the start the fine spell does look like extending beyond the weekend but there is a difference between GFS and the UKMO/ECM operational runs.next week.
GFS suggests a temporary break around midweek with low pressure extending into the UK from the Atlantic trough giving cooler and showery conditions.
This is not reflected in other outputs, including it`s own mean 500hPa data, so the GFS Op. looks like it`s on it`s own at the moment.
Whiles South Eastern areas will be cooler tomorrow, it is set to be warmer in western areas as the wind will not be off the sea which has suppressed temps here in recent days. It does like being less warm as we move into next week, to me the uncertainty in the models makes it difficult to pinpoint any more than that.
In Topic: Thursday 24th May - Weather And General Chat
Yesterday, 21:12
Jackone, on 24 May 2012 - 18:43 , said:
I'll give a dual report today. At home it was sunny pretty much throughout, but at times due to some high cloud the sunshine was hazy
.
At sea level, it was cloudy and very misty from around 9am till 11am, but even at the end of that period brightness was starting to poke through, By around 12 it was sunny (with mist visible in the distance) which lasted for the rest of the day, but it was a mix of strong sunshine and quite a lot of haze at other times.
Temps 21c at 7pm [car], and the max temp at Mumbles Weather Centre was 19c at 7pm. My suspicion that max temps here were closer to 22c or 23c.
Hopefully tomorrow will be wall to wall sunshine.
.
At sea level, it was cloudy and very misty from around 9am till 11am, but even at the end of that period brightness was starting to poke through, By around 12 it was sunny (with mist visible in the distance) which lasted for the rest of the day, but it was a mix of strong sunshine and quite a lot of haze at other times.
Temps 21c at 7pm [car], and the max temp at Mumbles Weather Centre was 19c at 7pm. My suspicion that max temps here were closer to 22c or 23c.
Hopefully tomorrow will be wall to wall sunshine.
