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BarometerBunts

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  • Gender
    Female
  • Location
    Devon
  • Weather Preferences
    There is nothing more beautiful than a hoar frost.

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  1. Reading the model outputs and following this thread , noone can deny it has been a long hard slog. Models, to some extent reached a level agreement for cold, albeit tenuously just in time for the SSW to start making its presence felt at lower levels. I may be wrong but suspect that SSW interaction and uncertain influence is, at least for the next couple of days going to shake things up with models reverting to more extreme variables. My feeling is that whilst there are so many positives for a cold spell, people are now seeking the intricate detail ie: will it snow imby. Too soon imo. The only way to stay sane is to look for trends/patterns for the next few runs until models settle down. It has been said many times on here in Winters past - "let the cold come in first and then see what follows" This is so true. As a mere layperson, I am quietly optimistic that we may just see something special. I could be very wrong but if nothing else, I am happy to have witnessed some spectacular charts over the last couple of weeks which puts us in a far better position than Winters a few years ago.
  2. I think the "Big Daddy" needs to go take himself off down the pub and come home when he can play nicely!
  3. My very simple explanation would have been: It's when the Supercomputer says WTF
  4. Hats off to all of you on here. You have my utmost respect. It has taken at least two years for me to get my head around your science and I doubt I will ever truly understand it but it is so nice to see you guys reaping the rewards. Always look foward to your posts.
  5. Have just finished explaining to my husband my "Harry Met Sally" moment sat at my desk. Worth all the tears and tantrums and pages of despair. Would go through it all again if this comes off. Once again, kudos to Chio, GP and all NW experts for their anaysis, and to the mods for their patience. Guess we have to just hope that the models continue this trend with little, if any backtrack - wow!
  6. SM, please don't take this the wrong way but you have just moved, lost your Internet during an impending SSW event, spent £15 on a dongle thingy to see you through until set up properly and the first run of charts following this are not the best. Think I would be stressed under those circumstances and less tolerant of some of the comments that have been posted. That said, UK is undergoing a pattern change, it will be get colder and surely this is a step in the right direction? I believe the greater variance run to run is an indicator that there is difficulty getting to grips with this SSW and potential outcome. Suspect another few runs might show clarity
  7. Was just explaining to my husband a rudimentary description of what was happening in the stratosphere and how it MIGHT have implications regarding a pattern change in our weather when John Hammond makes a mention at the end of his forecast. Thanks to you guys my husband thinks I am a genius lol. So proud to be a part of the netweather community. We are all going to seem like experts when joe public catches on to the emerging links between our weather on the World up there and we can grasp the concept in laymans terms thanks to the educational posts of the likes of Chiono, GP and our favourite experts on here
  8. When we saw those fantastic Synoptics about a week ago which people kept as screen savers, it was agreed by those level headed members that we could only really accept downgrades on such perfection. Well this is just the opposite. There is no denying things don't look positive BUT conversely, surely we can be equally level headed and realise that these models can and will upgrade. I am not hearing any singing and there are no fat ladies around so let's have a little faith and try not to get addicted to the prozac in the meantime.
  9. We are all on a car journey and the weather is the driver. Sometimes it feels as if we are alll kids on the backseat screaming "are we there yet?" whilst the more learned on here are the front seat passengers asking for patience. The sat nav destination is set. We just have to avoid roadworks and traffic jams and hope for a smooth journey to cold!
  10. I EXPECT tears and tantrums on this forum. HOPE there aren't too many Prozac moments and WISH for a wintry winter. Think we will require a lot of patience...... GP has posted some positive elements re set up for Winter but we cannot expect Winter to deliver before it has even started. Some comments would lead you to believe it was January/February with Spring around the corner.
  11. I have to say when I read TEITS post I endorsed it because I interpreted what he was trying to say was that even the creme de la creme of netweather could not always foresee our weather even with all the varied charts/methods at their disposal. As an admirer of these experts, I genuinely was surprised at how this post had been interpreted. Perhaps the helpful message to newbies could have been posed in alternative way but I genuinely do not think it was a deliberate dig. I look forward to reading ALL posts during the upcoming winter and pray that the only cold felt will be outside and not within the forum. Keep up the good work.
  12. It crossed my mind initially given that it was higher temps than norm but they were noshing on acorns and collecting them. No jiggy jiggy I'm happy to report.
  13. Happy to inform that my squirrels are going nuts (excuse the pun). Observed them a couple of days ago going hell for leather all day running around the grounds and up trees. Have two pairs in residence
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