South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 06/11/13 0000z ------------>

[Nights King]

Nope your still colder AWD it is climbing here also. 7.1c    I just hope business as normal resumes temp wise by Tuesday

[karlos1983]

Still beautiful blue sky here, bit of cloud in the distance, nothing of note.

 

Currently 9.8C after a low of 0.2C

 

Looking forward to some more penetrating frosts next week!!  Anything more will be a bonus

[AWD]

Nope your still colder AWD it is climbing here also. 7.1c I just hope business as normal resumes temp wise by Tuesday

Even urban Bristol is colder than that;

http://www.martynhicks.co.uk/weather/data.php

[Frosty_wsm]

So is Snowmageddon happening? Ian mentioned on his twitter that anything that did fall would come to nothing.

Considering it's still autumn, I'd be happy if I got to see some snow falling at some stage next week, I might even take a quick drive up on the mendips to improve my chances.

[ARTDEMOLE]

Overcast...7.2c. Still recon on sleet Tuesday-Thursday...

[Nights King]

It is reading 8.0c now AWD   

 

Must check the sensors

[gottolovethisweather]

Above all else, snow or no snow, next week is going to be cold.

 

 

 

And if cloudy, it will feel particularly raw.

 

[AWD]

Why does that chart return us to double figure temps at the end of November GTLTW?

[Nights King]

I was thinking the same thing awd..

 

All is well this evening in the mod thread I wonder if it will be same mood later this evening as I view thread from my drunken stooped position in a bar somewhere near to you,  well Bristol  

[Andy Bown]

I'm not surprised that the high ground (Mullender's Mendips) are milder than the lower ground (AWD's Bristol) as today's weather has been very inversion like and once it turned quickly dull after a frosty start the temps weren't ever going to climb far. What I wasn't expecting was persistent drizzle from around midday.

[AWD]

Latest Met Office forecast for SW England for early next week;

"Outbreaks of rain clearing southwards during Monday. Becoming colder thereafter with sunshine and wintry showers, and snow over the Moors. Wet on Wednesday with further snow possible on high ground."

That should please Mullender & the Beast at the vey least!

[AWD]

Interesting trough in the flow on Tuesday;

Whole of the region well within sub 528DAM air!

[gottolovethisweather]

Why does that chart return us to double figure temps at the end of November GTLTW?

 

Not that I think it will and I guess its based on the GFS 12z output which potentially warmed up in the low-res. The focus has to be on the reliable and that will be cold all the way, i.e. the next six days.

[AWD]

Not that I think it will and I guess its based on the GFS 12z output which potentially warmed up in the low-res. The focus has to be on the reliable and that will be cold all the way, i.e. the next six days.

Ahh right, never seen that chart before, that's all. Thanks.

[AWD]

The first forecast for snow for Bristol from the Met Office this season;

It will be gone soon so make the most of it. However likely/unlikely it is to verify, it sure brought a smile to my face!

[Beast of Plympton]

Latest Met Office forecast for SW England for early next week;

"Outbreaks of rain clearing southwards during Monday. Becoming colder thereafter with sunshine and wintry showers, and snow over the Moors. Wet on Wednesday with further snow possible on high ground."

That should please Mullender & the Beast at the vey least!

 

The beast is smiling!! Much model and radar watching to be done over the next few days me thinks!!

Edited November 16, 2013 by Beast of Dartmoor

[Nick L]

+96 FAX chart showing a potential transient snow event for Wednesday morning:

 

 

Would certainly be cold enough for snow to begin with looking at that. One to keep an eye on for sure.

[AWD]

+96 FAX chart showing a potential transient snow event for Wednesday morning:

Would certainly be cold enough for snow to begin with looking at that. One to keep an eye on for sure.

That's Tuesdays FAX mate, here's the 96 hour FAX for Wednesday;

Wrong side of marginal for a lot of our region although very close. One too watch as you say!

EDIT: Your chart automatically updated so you have the right chart now.

Edited November 16, 2013 by AWD

[Nick L]

That's Tuesdays FAX mate, here's the 96 hour FAX for Wednesday;

image.jpg

Wrong side of marginal for a lot of our region although very close. One too watch as you say!

EDIT: Your chart automatically updated so you have the right chart now.

 

Was always the updated one for me, strange!

 

It's certainly a marginal one. Further east and higher up could see some fun and games, that 528 line is lingering for a lot of the passage of the front.

[AWD]

Was always the updated one for me, strange!It's certainly a marginal one. Further east and higher up could see some fun and games, that 528 line is lingering for a lot of the passage of the front.

Might just be me mate seeing things. Been a long day. lol.120 FAX is a good'un for our region, 528DAM back SW and trough cut through ridge. Could get some back end snowfall off that!

[Sainsbo]

 

This is promising! Hopefully the first snow forecast of many

[Guest William Grimsley]

It was dry and cool with a light wind yesterday, here. High Rainfall Rate Yesterday: 0.0 mm/hr 00:00 High Hourly Rainfall Yesterday: 0.0 mm 00:00 Rainfall Yesterday: 0.0 mm High Temperature Yesterday: 9.6°C 12:06 High Wind Gust Yesterday: 2 mph 03:03 High Wind Speed Yesterday: 0 mph 00:00 Wind Run Yesterday: 0.0 mi Dominant Direction Yesterday: 90° E.

[AWD]

Latest MetO output and forecast reduces snow threat on Wednesday!

Edited November 17, 2013 by AWD

[No Balls Like Snow Balls]

High of 7c yesterday but only low of 6.2c overnight. Still cloudy and drizzly.

[Guest William Grimsley]

Latest MetO output and forecast reduces snow threat on Wednesday!

Any snow this week looks very unlikely, now. Though, things can change. So, it's best to wait until Tuesday before there are any decisions made.

Edited November 17, 2013 by William Grimsley