Ireland Regional Discussions 17th January 2013 onwards

[Baltic Regions]

Ok! Morgans Spiced ......Check

Just need to get the secondary supplies in like milk bread etc.

Oh.... and coal!!!!

Batten down the hatches folks!!!!!

[mountain shadow]

The west coast? Or the east?

Sorry, East

[Lucan snow]

Ta!

ECM good for Ulster, Leinster and North Connaught tomorrow afternoon Disruption I think possible north and east.

Eagle what accumulations would the east be looking at

[BornFromTheVoid]

Majority of the ensembles looking to continue the cold into next week, to Thursday at least.

P17 is particularly nice, with cold and snow for the majority of the run! http://www.meteociel...&mode=1&carte=0

[The Eagle]

Eagle what accumulations would the east be looking at

Depends on how far inland from the coast you are i'd imagine. Your area has a bigger risk than mine (I am near Malahide right on the coast) but if we are lucky (or unlucky depending on your perspective!) we could be looking at 2 - 5 cm tomorrow morning but it's so hard to tell because of still slight modelling differences. Hopefully the 18z GFS falls more in line with NAE and ECM (it's gradually getting there) but if the NAE was spot on, in your location for example, 2 - 5 cm fairly comfortably i'd imagine. However ground temperatures might be a little high and thus stubborn to fall. Preferably in a situation like this you would want icey roads for significant accumulation.

Keep in mind hi res NAE/WRF shows snow to low levels in the east from around 3 am. You would be able to tell quickly from then what way the wind is blowing from reports in this part of the world )pardon the pun).

In 24 hrs we have gone from no chance to being well in there with a shout.

[ronan]

BBC weather @ 6.30 didn't go last tomorrow evening on their graphics and usually they give a full weekend forecast so uncertainty about details I think over the weekend!

[snowice]

Depends on how far inland from the coast you are i'd imagine. Your area has a bigger risk than mine (I am near Malahide right on the coast) but if we are lucky (or unlucky depending on your perspective!) we could be looking at 2 - 5 cm tomorrow morning but it's so hard to tell because of still slight modelling differences. Hopefully the 18z GFS falls more in line with NAE and ECM (it's gradually getting there) but if the NAE was spot on, in your location for example, 2 - 5 cm fairly comfortably i'd imagine. However ground temperatures might be a little high and thus stubborn to fall. Preferably in a situation like this you would want icey roads for significant accumulation.

Keep in mind hi res NAE/WRF shows snow to low levels in the east from around 3 am. You would be able to tell quickly from then what way the wind is blowing from reports in this part of the world )pardon the pun).

In 24 hrs we have gone from no chance to being well in there with a shout.

THE 18Zgfs HAS PUSHED EVERYTHING WEST LAST 2 RUNS AT LEAST WERE IN THE MIX!

[Lucan snow]

Depends on how far inland from the coast you are i'd imagine. Your area has a bigger risk than mine (I am near Malahide right on the coast) but if we are lucky (or unlucky depending on your perspective!) we could be looking at 2 - 5 cm tomorrow morning but it's so hard to tell because of still slight modelling differences. Hopefully the 18z GFS falls more in line with NAE and ECM (it's gradually getting there) but if the NAE was spot on, in your location for example, 2 - 5 cm fairly comfortably i'd imagine. However ground temperatures might be a little high and thus stubborn to fall. Preferably in a situation like this you would want icey roads for significant accumulation.

Keep in mind hi res NAE/WRF shows snow to low levels in the east from around 3 am. You would be able to tell quickly from then what way the wind is blowing from reports in this part of the world )pardon the pun).

In 24 hrs we have gone from no chance to being well in there with a shout.

Thanks eagle hopefully the 18z will fall in to line!

[ronan]

Well the met office warning for snow in Derry is now gone!! What the hell is that all about?? Not happy!!!

Editing this... Our amber warning for Derry has now appeared again! Lol! Very strange!!

Edited January 17, 2013 by ronan

[Beaufort12]

Well the met office warning for snow in Derry is now gone!! What the hell is that all about?? Not happy!!!

Where do u see that?

[ronan]

Where do u see that?

Changed again! Nearly had heart failure! Lol

[BIG LAD]

temp is currently 6.3c here. are they expected to fall quickly or what? wont be getting any snow at this rate.

[stormforce 10]

wind really picking up here.clouds look very ominous. should be raining soon me thinks.

good luck to all of yee who get some snow. get a;;your stocks and suppliesin for the ready.

[The Eagle]

Here are buoy locations, temperature and dew point data. Useful especially for those near the coast and updated hourly. M2 buoy is in the Irish sea so useful for Dublin.

http://www.met.ie/latest/buoy.asp

[Neiller22]

Well bara best forecast on newsline was as useless as, well I'm not saying it! Don't want to offend him! As much as 25 cms over high ground and SEVERAL cms on low ground!! Hardly warrants an amber warning!! Utv gave 10cms low lying! WTF!

[bobbarley]

Doesn't look good for us on the north coast, might stay mostly dry here! Typical if it was rain it would be heaviest here!

[The Eagle]

Doubt it will stay dry on the north coast tbh - it will almost certainly get there as snow.

Edited January 17, 2013 by The Eagle

[mountain shadow]

It will vary wildy across Ulster though from nothing on some coastal areas to bucket loads over the hills.

Dont panic.

[ronan]

Look back at my posts in the last thread about him! Not trying discredit the man but he is useless at forecasting! Where's Angie when you need her! Lol!

[The Eagle]

It will vary wildy across Ulster though from nothing on some coastal areas to bucket loads over the hills.

Dont panic.

Anything between -6 and -7 and coastal areas needn't worry about a lack of snow

Though at times undoubtedly getting marginal on wind ward coasts.

The boundary between cold and (relatively) mild is a very thin line. Steep thermal gradient.

Edited January 17, 2013 by The Eagle

[Neiller22]

Unfortunately most people are low lying or near sea level. I'm at about 80 metres and 10 miles from coast so hope i see more than a few cms out of this! Just strange utv say 10cms low lying and bbc say Several Huge difference there.

[January Snowstorm]

Looks like an interesting few days coming up.

Hard to imagine right now as it really does feel quite balmy down here.

No real trigger either just a gradual cooling from the East

[Beaufort12]

@Eagle

What kind of accumulations could east donegal/west tyrone see?

U seem to know your stuff ha. Cheers

[BornFromTheVoid]

Looks like an interesting few days coming up.

Hard to imagine right now as it really does feel quite balmy down here.

No real trigger either just a gradual cooling from the East

Yep, just feels like a typical mild and drizzly winters evening in Cork.

[snowice]

Looks like an interesting few days coming up.

Hard to imagine right now as it really does feel quite balmy down here.

No real trigger either just a gradual cooling from the East

Welcome back have you seen ecm gfs for sunday even Cork will see snow

Edited January 17, 2013 by snowice