November CET Value

[Robbie Garrett]

Wet and windy first start to November, with a cold end. Similar vain to 2010. 5.0*C - slightly colder than November 2010, due to a cold start and this remaining throughout November, getting very cold end of November. Most global models now showing this to be likely, especially MetOffice going for a cold November.

5.0*C

Edited October 23, 2012 by Robbie Garrett

[Polar Gael]

6.6ºC please.

[The watcher]

More mobile, West based -NAO, very wet. Mean wind direction between W-NW. Just below average:

6.7c please

[Relativistic]

Milder start, colder end - 6.3C please.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

8.8C, coldish start, cold nights 1-10th due to high pressure, Zonal and mild 11th-30th

cor change this now, low pressure dominated whole month now, 9.2C now due to no cold nights

[SnOwFeSt]

8.9 please!

[damianslaw]

I'll reserve judgement until next week. Novembers in recent years have been a real mish mash with bouts of very mild weather i.e. 2011 and 2009, very wet conditions i.e. 2009 and very cold weather i.e. late 2010 and to a lesser degree late 2008.

The synoptics at present are quite interesting and if they persisted then a month like Nov 96 could be on the cards which saw a dominant NW flow with polar maritime air..

Once again we are likely to see another October free of any notable stormy weather and the relatively calm autumn so far is also similiar to recent autumns, the atlantic could of course ramp into gear which would produce lots of wet and windy weather but there are no signs of it stirring into such gear in early November, but things can change.

On a personal level, I like November to be a chilly month with lots of foggy frosty weather at night and blasts of polar air giving bright showery conditions with decent snowfalls to hilly regions and later in the month the first snows of the season. Nov 2008 was a good month in this respect, whilst never particularly cold it delivered a mix of cold showery weather with fog and frost interspersed with drier milder spells, with a decent polar blast at the tail end heralding a good first half to Dec 08. Autumn 12 so far has felt very similiar to Autumn 08.

[AderynCoch]

Probably won't be back until November, so I'll give my guess now:

5.9C

[AWD]

I think 7.1c

[Stargazer]

On balance more cold than mild I'd say - 6.2.

[Milhouse]

7.3c please.

[The PIT]

I'll go for 7.2C

[Methuselah]

After careful consideration of my method (PRAT1) I'll guess at 7.1C, please...

[Mr Maunder]

6.8c for me.

MM

[Harve]

5.9c, slightly below the 'all-time' average.

[Sainsbo]

I'm going with 6.2C

[summer blizzard]

6.2C for me, 1C below the 1981-2010 average.

[Nights King]

5.3c

[Fozfoster]

6.6c please

[Weather-history]

It doesn't look especially mild, the first third of November, so I'm going for about 6.0C

[Terminal Moraine]

4.9c, I hope.

[Barry12]

5.1C for me

[SMU]

landing zone high 5- 5.6c.

S

Edited October 28, 2012 by Steve Murr

[Stu_London]

6.0C on the dot - just about keeping the run of months with an average of -0.5C against the 61-90 averages going.

[Gavin P]

Global_Warming over on TWO posted some pattern matching suggesting that that a colder than average November and December is highly likely.

Edited October 28, 2012 by Gavin P