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November CET Value


Barry12

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Posted
  • Location: Batley, West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Heat and Snow
  • Location: Batley, West Yorkshire

We are now only 11 days from November, post your CET Predictions!

Edited by Barry95
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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland

Considering this is what everyone asks for straight away!

Phillip Eden says the CET averages for this month are 6.9c (1971-2000) and 7.2c (1981-2010).

I say 7.3c. Bang on average, but plenty of extremes even out the temperature.

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Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

10.5C

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

A tricky month potentially I have a feeling that November will see temperatures Below average this year

I'll take a punt at 6.3c

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Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex

I've lurked around this thread for long enough; time to jump in! I'm going for a nice round 7.0c. I assume there's an extremely expensive prize on offer????

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Posted
  • Location: Nr Castle Cary, South Somerset 38m/124.67ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Proper seasonal weather but especially warm sunny summers.
  • Location: Nr Castle Cary, South Somerset 38m/124.67ft asl

First timer also. I'm going for 6.7c

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)

Estimate: 6.5*C

Generally a cool month overall I feel with perhaps a couple of odd warmer spells as Northern blocking briefly colaspses at times. Some menacing low pressure systems and shortwaves may try disarm the Greenland high pressure and knock it South, but with the high pressure soon getting its revenge retreating back to Greenland again. ;-D

Edited by DiagonalRedLine
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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

I'll be waiting to see what the stratosphere does towards the end of the month but at the moment i would suggest little change to October so on the whole a colder than average month.

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

November CET means and trivia

15.4 ... warmest day (5th, 1938)

14.4 ... warmest day in second half (22nd, 1947)

10.1 ... warmest Nov 1994

9.6 ... second warmest Nov 2011

9.5 ... third warmest Nov 1818

9.4 ... fourth warmest Nov 1938

9.3 ... fifth warmest Nov 1743

7.6 .... ---- mean of 2001-2011 ----

7.1 .... ---- mean of 1981-2010 ----

6.9 .... ---- mean of 1971-2000 ----

6.6 .... ---- mean of 1961-1990 ----

6.5 .... ---- mean of 1901-2000 ----

6.1 .... ---- mean of all years 1659-2011 ----

5.9 .... ---- mean of 1801-1900 ----

5.8 .... ---- mean of 1701-1800 ----

5.5 .... ---- mean of 1659-1700 ----

4.1 .... coldest in recent years (tied 28th overall) 1985

2.9 .... third coldest Nov 1807

2.8 .... second coldest Nov 1915

2.3 .... coldest Nov 1782

-0.6 ... earliest sub-zero mean (7th, 1791)

-2.1 ... coldest in first half (15th, 1965)

-4.6 ... coldest day (23rd, 1890)

__________________________________________________

daily records are for the period 1772 to 2011

monthly extreme values are for the period 1659 to 2011

November displays as much of a historical warming as any month, the mean from 1992 to 2011 was 7.6 C while from 1750 to 1765 the mean was only 5.1 C, similar to the "Dalton minimum" when the average from 1795 to 1820 was only 5.4 C and was 5.1 for the period 1795-1816. These would now be considered cold Novembers (as with 2010). Almost as mild as the recent period, 1938 to 1960 had a mean of 6.9 C.

November has produced the coldest day of the year and also of the winter season about 6% of the past 240 years (14 cases).

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Posted
  • Location: North York Moors
  • Location: North York Moors

November displays as much of a historical warming as any month, the mean from 1992 to 2011 was 7.6 C while from 1750 to 1765 the mean was only 5.1 C, similar to the "Dalton minimum"

In that case 5.1C is likely - my guess.

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Posted
  • Location: York
  • Weather Preferences: Long warm summer evenings. Cold frosty sunny winter days.
  • Location: York

5.9 for me its going to be cold

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Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

9.5C, record breaking mild second half.

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Posted
  • Location: Caldercruix, North Lanarkshire - 188m asl
  • Location: Caldercruix, North Lanarkshire - 188m asl

I'll take 6.7C please

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Posted
  • Location: Hobart, Tasmania
  • Location: Hobart, Tasmania

Quite interesting to see many cool months this year (cet), so i am suggesting 8.4 to balance things up somewhat.

Edited by Styx
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Posted
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.
  • Weather Preferences: WINTERS WITH HEAVY DISRUPTIVE SNOWFALL AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS.
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.

gut fielings so for me 6.4c. Thx.

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

I'll go for 6.8c please

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Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl

7.0

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