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Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts, 17th July 2012>

Jane Louise

By Jane Louise
in Storms & Severe Weather

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Quite a large area of rain to the SW of me. Sun isn't out and hasn't been all morning though. Hopefully it will get going by midday.

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StormyLincs Enthusiast

StormyLincs

Posted
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, thunderstorms and sunny summer days.
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
Posted

Suns out here, some signs of convection. Things looking ok.

same here matty, fingers crossed, as been very storm starved in this area this year!
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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted
A TORNADO WATCH has been issued at 0800GMT on Wednesday 18th July 2012

Valid from/until: 0800 - 2000GMT on Wednesday 18th July 2012, for the following regions of the United Kingdom & Eire:

Parts of (see map) Wales Northern parts of S England Midlands E Anglia Southern parts of N England

THREATS

Tornadoes; hail to 45mm diameter; wind gusts to 60mph; CG lightning

http://www.torro.org.uk/site/forecast.php

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mattyk1985 Newbie

mattyk1985

Posted
  • Location: Grimsby
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather.
  • Location: Grimsby
Posted

same here matty, fingers crossed, as been very storm starved in this area this year!

Yeah I know how you feel. Havent had a decent storm for ages.

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StormyLincs Enthusiast

StormyLincs

Posted
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, thunderstorms and sunny summer days.
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
Posted

Yeah I know how you feel. Havent had a decent storm for ages.

gut feeling tells me things are'nt right for this area...hope i,m wrong though.good.gif
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Cloudwatcher Explorer

Cloudwatcher

Posted
  • Location: Chester
  • Weather Preferences: the stormier the better...
  • Location: Chester
Posted

Already for todays non-action and taking my usual place in the NSC....

Seriously, wondering if any action for N.Cheshire/ Merseyside today. It's feeling incredibly sticky and humid already and we are getting a nice build up of heat. Bit too much cloud for my liking atm but hopefully the sun will start to get some convection going...slightly hopeful!

Any more informed members got a view?

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mattyk1985 Newbie

mattyk1985

Posted
  • Location: Grimsby
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather.
  • Location: Grimsby
Posted

gut feeling tells me things are'nt right for this area...hope i,m wrong though.good.gif

I was just thinking the same thing, its really windy here and the wind feels cool.

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Well you wouldnt call me an informed member but I like how things are going. The sun is out here now and as you say Cloud watcher feeling very humid. Just hope the flow stayes south of west so that anything in north Wales heads this way as I said earlier.

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StormyLincs Enthusiast

StormyLincs

Posted
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, thunderstorms and sunny summer days.
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
Posted

i think there is too much high and mid level cloud in this area for any convection to take place. a nice clear slot would be very useful!acute.gif

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

anything for north wales

I'll give you £40 for it............

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matt_in_dudley Contributor

matt_in_dudley

Posted
  • Location: Russells Hall, Dudley, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, hot sunshine and snowstorms
  • Location: Russells Hall, Dudley, West Midlands
Posted

Rain, rain and more rain, started around about 9am, and hasn't really stopped, just slowed a bit. Currently just sheets of that spitty kind of rain that gets you soaked, however a few minutes ago it was quite heavy. The sun tried to break through earlier but the cloud ganged up on it. Cool but not cold!

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

So then, shall we have a sweepstake to see when the first storm pops up in Lincolnshire?

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

To add to my previous post, there's been a slight upgrade on the 06z GFS for my location with the instability lasting longer and a higher CAPE value. at the peek of the instability I have a CAPE of 620 and a LI of minus 2.

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mattyk1985 Newbie

mattyk1985

Posted
  • Location: Grimsby
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather.
  • Location: Grimsby
Posted

So then, shall we have a sweepstake to see when the first storm pops up in Lincolnshire?

It wont be Grimsby its the Southern Linc folk that hog it all! lol

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StormyLincs Enthusiast

StormyLincs

Posted
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, thunderstorms and sunny summer days.
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
Posted

So then, shall we have a sweepstake to see when the first storm pops up in Lincolnshire?

yeah, i,ll have £10 on boston, spalding or holbeach...certainly wont be up here, never is! lol
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StormyLincs Enthusiast

StormyLincs

Posted
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, thunderstorms and sunny summer days.
  • Location: Louth, Lincs
Posted

yeah, i,ll have £10 on boston, spalding or holbeach...certainly wont be up here, never is! lol

cancel that. i,ll go for north-east lincs a few heavy cells just popping up now almost overhead with very heavy rain!good.gif
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Matty23 Explorer

Matty23

Posted
  • Location: Boring Shrewsbury
  • Location: Boring Shrewsbury
Posted

So anyone think the batch over mid Wales will turn nasty?? Also anyone think it's goining to hit Ludlow, sy8 type in I think it's going to make a direct hit but not sure :)

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Jane Louise Aficionado

Jane Louise

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Author
Posted

Fingers crossed for us Glawstershire lot.smile.png

Yellow Warning of Rain for South West England : Gloucestershire valid from 1400 Wed 18 Jul to 2100 Wed 18 Jul

issued at: 1151 on Wed 18 Jul 2012

Valid from: 1400 on Wed 18 Jul 2012

Valid to: 2100 on Wed 18 Jul 2012

Bands of heavy showers and thunderstorms are likely this afternoon into the early evening. These could be accompanied by gusty winds and hail.

The public should be aware of the risk of localised surface water flooding and associated difficult driving conditions. There is also a low risk of more significant disruption due to flooding if the showers were to hit an urban area.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/?regionName=sw&from=rss&sn=3B6CBA80-C692-6663-DF2E-99A9D1F135A7_1_SW

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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted

So then, shall we have a sweepstake to see when the first storm pops up in Lincolnshire?

Well they are going to struggle to get their Weekly Supercell in b4 2pm this week, but I reckon that Mid Wales Kirkwood Humbdinger in the making should amble across to there by about 4-6pm this evening, apparantly they are tired of Stovepipes and Cones and only really want to concentrate on Wedges for July rofl.gifblum.gif

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

If I had any money to put on today, it would go into the triangle formed by Sheffield, Grimsby and Grantham...... bomb.gif

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Carl46Wrexham Rising Star

Carl46Wrexham

Posted
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
Posted (edited)

Yellow Warning of Hype for North East Wales and North West England valid from 1400 Wed 18 Jul to 0000 End of Time

issued at: 1151 on Wed 18 Jul 2012

Valid from: 1400 on Wed 18 Jul 2012

Valid to: The End of Time

Bands of nothing and excessive bursts of hype are likely this afternoon into the early evening. These could be accompanied by fairytales and myths.

The public should be aware of the risk of falling into the trap of believing this hype which will lead to inevitable disappointment and frustration. There is also a low risk of more significant disruption to mental health as a result of these repeated let downs and busted flushes.

http://www.notthemet...A9D1F135A7_1_SW

Couldn't resist it.blum.gif

Edited by Carl46Wrexham
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mattyk1985 Newbie

mattyk1985

Posted
  • Location: Grimsby
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather.
  • Location: Grimsby
Posted

If I had any money to put on today, it would go into the triangle formed by Sheffield, Grimsby and Grantham...... bomb.gif

I hope you're right good.gif

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PolarWarsaw Seasoned

PolarWarsaw

Posted
  • Location: South Staffordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: South Staffordshire
Posted

Good looking cell out of my W/SW window. Suns shining which makes the clouds look even more emonous, that will drop some intense PPN at some point.

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