Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts, 3rd July 2012>

[Luke]

Very cloudy to the left, to the right there are no clouds at all with the sun shining down, feeling increasingly warmer too. The heavy showers seem to popping up more often now.

Edited July 4, 2012 by Luke

[Harry]

As it stands now, Thursday night is looking like it could potentially be rather noisy across E Anglia and poss E England. If it stays like this, the camera will deffo be out ready! PLEASE DONT ALTER !

It could slip further south by all means given its trajectory it would still grace most if not all of EA.

GFS however wants it much further North even missing most of EA...is the NAE still got it hitting the SE???

[snow_mad_09]

Sky has went black to the south, bright sunshine at the moment. Here we go again Newcastle.

[Coast]

That lot just over from the Kent coast over France....looks awesome!!!

Actually the lot coming in towards the Sussex coast now is quite heavy. Not sure that it has any electrical punch, but I think I'll get the umbrella ready anyway!

[P-M]

Although watch areas will change no doubt, its the first time in ages I have seen the eastern side of the UK on an alert for four days(maybe I just haven't noticed) but an amber alert for the NE this far out too??

[Harry]

Actually the lot coming in towards the Sussex coast now is quite heavy. Not sure that it has any electrical punch, but I think I'll get the umbrella ready anyway!

Indeed...nothing like the electricity from the stuff further east.

[Liam J]

Nick F has issued a weather alert to cover the next few days taking us into the weekend. We have a real risk of flooding in the worse affected areas. This very wet Summer is about to get even wetter, is that even possible?! You better believe it!

http://www.netweathe...rts;reg=3;sess=

Edited July 4, 2012 by Liam J

[Harry]

Although watch areas will change no doubt, its the first time in ages I have seen the eastern side of the UK on an alert for four days(maybe I just haven't noticed) but an amber alert for the NE this far out too??

Have to admit I'm surprised myself...models ranging from the SE corner to the far NE of England for this event....I think they are concerned about the risk of flooding rather than the nature of the event itself if that makes sense

Second concurrent Thursday of thundery interest!! Will my area get more of a look in this time?

[Coast]

Indeed...nothing like the electricity from the stuff further east.

But it's weakening......

*** NexStorm TRAC Report generated 04/07/2012 15:42:32

Tracking 1 thunderstorms from the Isle of Wight

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID J-3153 detected 15:05

Storm location bearing 105.3 dgr distance 196 mi

Last recorded activity 15:42

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Weakening

Current strikerate 1/minute

Peak strikerate 7/minute

Total recorded strikes 61

Cloud-Ground strikes 22 - 36.07%

Intracloud strikes 39 - 63.93%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 10 - 16.39%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 12 - 19.67%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 27 - 44.26%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 12 - 19.67%

-------------------------------------------------------

*** TRAC Report end - NexStorm V1.8.0.7025:PCI

http://www.isleofwig..._storm_data.htm

[P-M]

Have to admit I'm surprised myself...models ranging from the SE corner to the far NE of England for this event....I think they are concerned about the risk of flooding rather than the nature of the event itself if that makes sense

Second concurrent Thursday of thundery interest!! Will my area get more of a look in this time?

Yeah that makes sense Harry and they are probably being extra careful in the flash flood ravaged areas from last Thursday as the ground will no doubt still be saturated. Makes an interesting few days that's for sure!!

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Have to admit I'm surprised myself...models ranging from the SE corner to the far NE of England for this event....I think they are concerned about the risk of flooding rather than the nature of the event itself if that makes sense

Second concurrent Thursday of thundery interest!! Will my area get more of a look in this time?

If the forecasting models favour that new developing low to be placed a little further WNW, then I would begin to bank on it

[LadyEv06]

Thunder and lighting here, pouring down too!!

[Wivenswold]

According to Meteox radar, that area off the Sussex coast has fired-up. Given humidity (70%), dew point (17.5oC) and temp (23.5oC) here it could really explode if it makes it further north.

[YokTok]

Yep - lightning on it's southern edge off of the french coast.

[Coast]

According to Meteox radar, that area off the Sussex coast has fired-up. Given humidity (70%), dew point (17.5oC) and temp (23.5oC) here it could really explode if it makes it further north.

Let me have a look-see outside!!!

Edit: OK, can't see anything at the moment from up here in Mid Sussex, but you can guess I'll be a bit late home from work tonight to intercept this little lot:

If nothing else it will prove how waterproof my car is!

[reef]

Im amazed we havent seen anything electrical here yet, it was 21.0C with a dewpoint of 19.9C at one point, exceptionally humid for this part of the world.

We've seen a few heavy showers, one of which had a rainrate of over 130mm/hr.

[chionomaniac]

Let me have a look-see outside!!!

Edit: OK, can't see anything at the moment from up here in Mid Sussex, but you can guess I'll be a bit late home from work tonight to intercept this little lot:

If nothing else it will prove how waterproof my car is!

Just got home, and keeping an eye on this. Hasn't the temp shot up this afternoon!

[Harry]

Just got home, and keeping an eye on this. Hasn't the temp shot up this afternoon!

Hasn't it just!!!!!! Sweltering and that's no exaggeration...sun out as well so it's gawwwwwwgeous

[Lewis]

Questionable funnel, taken from a cell moving across Paul (North Bank of Humber) looking South. Was about 45 mins ago.

Noticed some rotation, at first I thought it was scud, but it kept lowering and lowering.

Edited July 4, 2012 by Humber

[mattyk1985]

Very warm here too, very sticky feeling. Lots of impressive towers around but not alot in the way of precipitation on radar for here.

[Wivenswold]

Well, if nothing else, I've had an unexpectedly beautiful day during my week off. Nudging 24oC at the moment.

[Gorky]

A colleague is best man at a wedding on Friday and just asked me if it would be nice in Beverley at lunchtime. Almost didn't have the heart to tell him that wellies and waterproofs are going to be the required wedding gear looking at the models... :/

[NUT]

Another shower with some very big raindrops falling

[Alex95]

The sun has broken out here and the convection is really getting going at last looking at the radar. Its actually looking quite threatening to my south now, and I can see there has been a couple of sferics in County Durham an hour ago.

Edited July 4, 2012 by Alza

[Bobby]

How come the North gets more storms than the South??