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Warm Spell Discussion 22nd May Onwards


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#101 SNOW_JOKE

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Posted Yesterday, 23:05

The only time I've ever been stung by a wasp was last year when deciding to slap on some cologne, 27 years not a hornet, bee, wasp, or anything else other than the mossies had bit me until then. Plain old soap and water from now on again lol.

Currently just over 12'c at midnight here north of Buxton, looking forward to what tomorrow's CAPE and convergence brings.
Highest Shade Temperature 30.7°C at 15.51 on 9th August 2003
Low Temperature -11.0°C at 07:35 on 20th December 2010
Highest Daily Rainfall 77 mm (3.03 inches) on 10th August 2004
Highest Monthly Rainfall 287 mm (11.30 inches) in August 2004

#102 Backtrack

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Posted Yesterday, 23:06

View PostKentish Kiwi, on 22 May 2012 - 22:43 , said:

Unbelievable. Potentially the best five days of the summer for the north-west?

Potentially mate, but we'll have to see how this summer pans out, could be a scorcher!

The sun will last longer than 5 days here, potentially the best 7-10 days of summer for the NW!
Winter 2011/2012.

Snow falling: 5
Snow Lying: 2 - 16/12/11. Heavy snow most of the morning into afternoon. Stopped 2pm. 2 inches. (20/02/12 - dusting)
Lowest temperature: -5.5C (10/02/12 @ 4:47am)
Ice days: 0
Frosts: 21
Air frosts: 15
Days with hail falling: 8

http://convergence-zone.blogspot.com/

#103 Backtrack

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Posted Yesterday, 23:08

View PostSNOW_JOKE, on 22 May 2012 - 23:05 , said:

The only time I've ever been stung by a wasp was last year when deciding to slap on some cologne, 27 years not a hornet, bee, wasp, or anything else other than the mossies had bit me until then. Plain old soap and water from now on again lol.

Currently just over 12'c at midnight here north of Buxton, looking forward to what tomorrow's CAPE and convergence brings.

Matt Hugo: 'Anyone looking at the GFS CAPE forecasts for tomorrow, ignore, they are OTT given the GFS is over cooking surface dew points..'
Winter 2011/2012.

Snow falling: 5
Snow Lying: 2 - 16/12/11. Heavy snow most of the morning into afternoon. Stopped 2pm. 2 inches. (20/02/12 - dusting)
Lowest temperature: -5.5C (10/02/12 @ 4:47am)
Ice days: 0
Frosts: 21
Air frosts: 15
Days with hail falling: 8

http://convergence-zone.blogspot.com/

#104 Stormmad26

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Posted Yesterday, 23:20

View PostBacktrack, on 22 May 2012 - 22:28 , said:

Ohhhhh yesssss.

And that is from the GFS wich often under-does temps by 2-3C, as well a a slight 'blurring' of the cooling effect of the sea there probably. When the wind's offshore I wouldn't be surprised to see a 25C at Liverpool like many western locations on Friday, and of course more inland central/southern locations tomorrow. I reckon some sheltered spots/valleys around the Scottish Highlands might break 25C in the next few days too.

Reached 21.6C here today with unbroken sunshine. Very nice and tomorrow looks warmer then Thursday/Friday warmer again here.

Looks to be some quite high mins for May forecast in parts of the south Thursday night in particular, 16 or 17C in places.
2012 so far.. (2011 in brackets)
Max temp: 20.8°C - 28th March (26.4°C - 3rd June)

Min temp: -7.6°C - 4th Feb (-7.4°C - 31st Jan)
Highest Gust: 50mph - 5th Jan (42mph - 23rd Oct, 12th Dec)

Thunder heard/lightning seen days: 2 - 14th April (3 rumbles to the SE), 21st April (distant-ish rumbles to south) (6 - only 2 significant and not distant)
My website + Weather Station data

#105 Backtrack

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Posted Yesterday, 23:25

View PostStormmad26, on 22 May 2012 - 23:20 , said:

And that is from the GFS wich often under-does temps by 2-3C, as well a a slight 'blurring' of the cooling effect of the sea there probably. When the wind's offshore I wouldn't be surprised to see a 25C at Liverpool like many western locations on Friday, and of course more inland central/southern locations tomorrow. I reckon some sheltered spots/valleys around the Scottish Highlands might break 25C in the next few days too.

Reached 21.6C here today with unbroken sunshine. Very nice and tomorrow looks warmer then Thursday/Friday warmer again here.

Looks to be some quite high mins for May forecast in parts of the south Thursday night in particular, 16 or 17C in places.

Exactly, so if this goes according to plan, this could turn into an exceptional spell indeed for the West. The highlands generate their own heat effect, and can get very warm indeed.
Personally, I won't be sunbathing again this week. I am absolutely frazzled from today, I look like a lobster at the minute lol!

After the weekend, it looks like staying sunny, but a tad cooler. Posted Image

Edited by Backtrack, Yesterday, 23:26.

Winter 2011/2012.

Snow falling: 5
Snow Lying: 2 - 16/12/11. Heavy snow most of the morning into afternoon. Stopped 2pm. 2 inches. (20/02/12 - dusting)
Lowest temperature: -5.5C (10/02/12 @ 4:47am)
Ice days: 0
Frosts: 21
Air frosts: 15
Days with hail falling: 8

http://convergence-zone.blogspot.com/

#106 Blizzards

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Posted Yesterday, 23:26

Met Office temperature range forecast for London has 30c as a possibility on Thursday. Ive noticed each as each day is passing the temperatures are getting upgraded slightly. Saturday for example was originally predicted about 20c but is already at 22/23c.
I know the wind will strengthen a little on Friday and the Weekend but I dont think it will take the edge of the temperatures too much, especially here towards the West. On the whole there will be little difference. Much to be happy with right now! :D
Spring & Summer 2012
______________
Thunderstorms:* (0):
*Counted when there are Is at Least 3 rumbles and flashes
Highest Temperature so far**: 22c (72f)
**Also takes into account readings from Worcestershire and The West Midlands

#107 robthefool

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Posted Today, 00:37

Yes, I wouldn't be surprised if we hit 30 on Thursday in London, but we may come just short.

This spell shows that you don't need amazing conditions for hot weather, just high pressure and clear skies and you get temperatures approaching 30 by day and staying in the high teens at night. We haven't even got particularly warm uppers. If we had a southerly airflow we could expect +5C to these temperatures.
17/4/10 Summer prediction
May - warm and dry
June - very warm and wet
July - very warm and dry
August - average




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