Yorkshire And Lincolnshire Regional Discussion Thread Part 2

[Letitsnowyorkshire]

had some freezing rain about an hour ago , sky looking very bright at the moment

[Aaron]

Just normal rain here

[Mark Griffin]

Just rain here. Not expecting anything tbh

[Tigers]

Very light snow grains here in Tadcaster, bit of sleet mixed in there to

[Snow Angel]

Snow pellets and looks like wet snow here in Methley. Still got about 2inch of snow from last week in the garden

[yaffle]

Nothing in Strensall (north of york) and the sky is a murky light grey with no breaks. And the waste pipe from my downstairs washbasin has frozen.

[Thedemoncleaner]

Standard rain in Roundhay, Leeds. Bloody cold though.

[fazzafarrand]

freezing rain here atm

[Cheese Rice]

Light rain here too.

[Snow Angel]

I think it is freezing rain here now

[sunny scunny]

Today is pretty much the same as previous days so far, which is very little sun and very little thaw.

[Aaron]

This update on the cold weather warning sounds much more promising

As North East England, although rain is expected to turn to snow during the evening, leading to potentially disruptive accumulations in places

[NorthYorksWeather]

Light snow at work in York

[memories of 63]

Just cold rain here as well, very boring

[Arnie22]

odd flakes in the air in Kirton near Boston

[SNOW_TIGER]

Light snow in Pickering.

[Mellis]

Cloudy dull and below freezing here, no thaw today.

[Gray-Wolf]

I have a drive to Lincoln in the morning so I'm not sure whether to hope for snow or wish it all stays as rain! We had frozen pellets here at 9a.m. but light rain since.

Vizzy, did you have rain turn into snow or was it light snow all along?

[Yorkshiresnows]

Light Snow In Strensall (North of York).

Light Rain in Harrogate

Y.S

[fazzafarrand]

Light rain here now after the earlier freezing rain

[Muffelchen]

V lighr rain here in Donny - hardly noticable.

[Aaron]

Downgrades today on the BBC.. not looking too good now.,

[Sara1988]

hmm, very light drizzle here, *sighs* so misserable and boring out there

[Lewis]

Hi guys,

Just an update on todays prospects for our region, and what areas should expect.

Already there is a lot of freezing rain out there, some reports of light snow for N Yorkshire, and some sleet for areas a little further South. There is 2 main areas of interest throughout this afternoon/early evening and later into tonight.

The first is the current precipitation heading across N Yorkshire (the first line of precipitation closer to the East Coast) this one will start to head south, before moving more SW across West & South Yorkshire. This precipitation will fall as rain/freezing rain, but increasingly becoming of snow as we head into the late afternoon/early evening period.

You can see on the current image below the 2 areas of interest;

Accumulations of 2-5cm's for West Yorkshire and South Yorkshire later this evening, but please don't be surprised if it turns out be rain, it really is marginal out there, and is a headache to forecast.

The second area of interest is for East Yorkshire and N Lincolnshire, if you look at the second line of precipitation developing in the North Sea (Look East) this is expected to itensify, the colder air is already starting to undercut across these parts, with it will come better conditions, isotherm, dew points etc. What I expect with this current band is for it to bring a period of heavy snow across East Yorkshire & N Lincolnshire, I would expect the precipitation in these areas around 4-5pm. There's a chance it may be more prolonged and slow moving as currently expected. I expect it to move away South Westwards as it pivots, feeding the heavier precipitation into South Yorkshire.

As the precipitation moves away as pressure builds from the East, the precipitation will swiftly move South Westwards, which I think will cause a merge of the 2 areas of precipitation, I expect parts of South Yorkshire to get some pretty prolonged snowfall for a time, with South Yorkshire for me the area to be for accumulations, and the heaviest of the precipitation.

My current expectations are;

West Yorkshire - 1-2cm's of snow for lower areas, 4-5cm's higher ground * although I still feel it's borderline for West Yorkshire with the heaviest of the precipitation likely to be south of the region.

North Yorkshire - Majority of freezing rain, turning to snow later this afternoon, elevated locations 3-4cm's possibly locally more.

South Yorkshire - 2-5cm's quite widely, with as much as 10cm's possible, if my thinking is correct with the 2 areas of precipitation merging, I think the 10cm's could be reached, particulary across higher ground.

East Yorkshire - 1-2cm's of snow, if the precipitation is heavy and no prolonged in nature, and does fall of snow, possible highest accumulative totals to be around 4-5cm's, possibly more*

N Lincolnshire - 2-4cm's for Northern Lincolnshire. precipitation more patchier as you head into SE parts of Lincolnshire.

Other Areas

As the precipitation heads SW, West Midlands, look in the firing line, along with North Wales, where some very heavy falls are possible, with 5-10cm's very probable across Birmingham and areas around there.

Please don't take the above as a certainity, I just thought I would try and get a grip on what's happening out there and to try and make a prediction, in all seriousness it's a messy picture out there.

Good Luck guys,

Lewis

Edited February 9, 2012 by Storm Force Lewis

[Craigers]

Lets hope the snow does happen for southyorkshire! would be a nice treat indeed