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Significant Snow Risk This Weekend - General Discussion


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#1 Paul

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:06

Please use this thread to discuss the snow risk this weekend...
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#2 Snowmad79

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:10

It's going to stall over the west and give us a meter of Snow before fizzling out. The short range models are all wrong... I wish lol
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18th December 2011: 3" - 2 days lying
27th January 2012: 2" - 2.5 days lying
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#3 Aaron

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:13

ECM looks fantastic for heavy snow.. it actually shows snow for western areas too.
2012
Max temperature +22.1°C
Minimum temperature -7.9°C

Thunder: 1
Lightning: 1
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#4 SnowTornado

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:18

The gem has to be pick of the bunch from the 00z outputs. Nae seems to be closer to that than the gfs although the nae doesn't look overly exciting regarding strength of the precip. Still its early days for that model. The 06z from the nmm and nae should help alot to seeing which of the main outputs are right. Ideally we need it further west than the gfs for the good of the majority, even though that would mean slightly less Saturday evening for the far east and south east this area looks good for tonight with metoffice saying 2-5cms.

#5 moley66

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:23

Snow showers moving into the southeast tonight off the north sea...Ence laying snow in this area never thawing followed by the front from the atlantic moving in on saturday night "major dumping" Most other places...snow to rain advent

#6 Snowmad79

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:24

Latest NAE still shows the band starting and remaining as snow into sunday, away from the SW, wales and other immediate west coastal areas:

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Winter 2011/12 Oldham East

18th December 2011: 3" - 2 days lying
27th January 2012: 2" - 2.5 days lying
4th February 2012: 10-15cm - Still a good covering as of 10th Feb 2012 (6 days and counting)
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#7 snow drift

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:24

Please post photos. I think the chances are slim to very slim for this area. Birmingham to Peterbourgh is my sweet spot area.

Edited by snow drift, 03 February 2012 - 07:25 .


#8 Biggin

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:30

Fax charts have the front stalling over SE for a fair while

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#9 SnowTornado

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:32

I hope your right on that snowdrift. I'm bang in the middle of the two. I think currently im on the very western edge of where it will stay as snow. Would prefer gfs to move slightly westwards. Its only one model though and the others do suggest this.

#10 sparky1972

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:33

morning all, well i have to say the local met office forecast for imby is pretty unimpresive to say the least, 3 hours of light snow saturday evening and thats it, i had a gut feeling that we would miss out but i think in other parts we will see some impressive totals.

#11 Snowmad79

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:36

View Postsparky1972, on 03 February 2012 - 07:33 , said:

morning all, well i have to say the local met office forecast for imby is pretty unimpresive to say the least, 3 hours of light snow saturday evening and thats it, i had a gut feeling that we would miss out but i think in other parts we will see some impressive totals.


Saturday:

Rain in western areas spreading eastwards, turning to snow where it meets the cold air across England, Wales and Scotland, with some significant accumulations possible. Southeast England probably staying dry.
Updated: 0324 on Fri 3 Feb 2012


Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Snow in the southeast dying out on Sunday, clearer and brighter elsewhere. Thereafter, eastern areas mainly dry but rather cloudy, more unsettled with rain and hill snow in the west.

Updated: 0324 on Fri 3 Feb 2012

Edited by Snowmad79, 03 February 2012 - 07:37 .

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I like to think I know what I'm talking about, however the truth is I probably dont Posted Image

> SNOWMAD79 LIVE SNOW CAM ! (OLDHAM EAST) OFFLINE

Winter 2011/12 Oldham East

18th December 2011: 3" - 2 days lying
27th January 2012: 2" - 2.5 days lying
4th February 2012: 10-15cm - Still a good covering as of 10th Feb 2012 (6 days and counting)
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#12 TheWeatherGirl

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:38

Is there any hope at all for se wales? I feel utterly despondent at the thought of more rain whilst ha ing to endure my inlaws (in kent) snow photos. The weather forecast keeps swapping between snow and rain for us.

#13 ANYWEATHER

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:38

Morning, looks as though the latest from the Fax charts, show the heaviest of snow over Central/Southern England, before the front dying out over Eastern England on Sunday morning......

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#14 TobyT

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:38

BBC local forecast for the east saying 5-10 cm in most areas possibly more in some places Sat night into Sunday morning, latest model runs going with cold air winning out next week here in the east with mild Atlantic air being held to our west.

#15 SnowTornado

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:38

Id av thought Spalding will do slightly better than that tbh. I think ul see 5cm+ Sunday morning should it not rain at any stage.

#16 snow drift

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:42

View PostANYWEATHER, on 03 February 2012 - 07:38 , said:

Morning, looks as though the latest from the Fax charts, show the heaviest of snow over Central/Southern England, before the front dying out over Eastern England on Sunday morning......

See, I just about get over the fact that I will not get any then someone says something like this!!!!

You maybe in a good spot but may need to drive to Snowshill to see some.

#17 sparky1972

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:44

View PostSnowTornado, on 03 February 2012 - 07:38 , said:

Id av thought Spalding will do slightly better than that tbh. I think ul see 5cm+ Sunday morning should it not rain at any stage.
well i must admit to being a bit surprised when i saw the forecast but hey, knowing our luck it will rain. lol. on a more serious note i hope anyone who does get a good dumping of snow they enjoy it but stay safe.

#18 winterof79

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:45

You couldnt make that up

http://expert-images...020500_0300.gif

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#19 Surrey

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:46

View PostBiggin, on 03 February 2012 - 07:30 , said:

Fax charts have the front stalling over SE for a fair while

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ThIs had been discussed in the South east thread- If I am right in saying, a couple of days back that front did not come in and stall in that direction, more towards France..

2012...


Diffrent year for weather?

, Lets hope for some proper summer storms atlantic lows and some GLORIOUS SUNSHINE!!


2012..London Olymics!!


#20 Christian Turner

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Posted 03 February 2012 - 07:46

Starting to look interesting for SE now, however from previous experience I will believe it when I see it




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