Feb 1983 proof if ever needed a very mild Jan can't be preceded by a cold February. I suspect 1956 saw quite a difference between Jan and Feb as well.
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#21
damianslaw
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Posted 23 January 2012 - 22:41
#22
Mark 'Ox' Neal
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Posted 24 January 2012 - 00:30
I will go with 4.5c as the CET for February.
#24
Ferryhill Weather
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Posted 24 January 2012 - 11:06
Based on the fact that mild Januarys similar to this one are hardly ever followed by cold Februarys, my guess for Feb 2012 is :
4.4
4.4
Edited by Ferryhill Weather, 24 January 2012 - 11:07 .
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show my power, halt at my feet,
but the cause was lost, now cold winds blow"
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#25
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Posted 24 January 2012 - 11:30
The mildness has to end at some point right? 2.1C for me thanks
Spring/Summer 2012
Highest Temperature - 20.2C March 29th
Highest Minimum - 13.2C May 22nd
Warmest Day - 14.4C March 1st (Min 12.1, Max 16.6)
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Highest Temperature - 20.2C March 29th
Highest Minimum - 13.2C May 22nd
Warmest Day - 14.4C March 1st (Min 12.1, Max 16.6)
Highest Heat Index - 20.2C March 29th
Thunderstorms - 0
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#26
snowlover2009
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 01:29
If we get this block, in place, I reckon a severe cold month. My punt is -0.8c please. I may have to revise if the models back track, but we all know tomorrow is the decider with the undercutting. Once we get that or if we do(looks very likely), we could be in for some very severe weather down the line.
#27
Polar Gael
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 08:16
2.0ºC for me please.
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#28
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 13:12
2.3C, 2.1C below average!
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#29
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 13:25
Mmmmmmmmm no going to wait, see what happens next few days.
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#30
trickydicky
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 13:38
-1.6c
#31
SLEETY
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 14:24
-2.1c
The depth of cold is being underestimated by the models.A major cold outbreak in on the way
The depth of cold is being underestimated by the models.A major cold outbreak in on the way
Edited by SLEETY, 25 January 2012 - 14:27 .
#32
summer blizzard
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 14:30
SLEETY, on 25 January 2012 - 14:24 , said:
-2.1c
The depth of cold is being underestimated by the models.A major cold outbreak in on the way
The depth of cold is being underestimated by the models.A major cold outbreak in on the way
Maybe so but you do realize that you have forecast the coldest February on record?
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#33
kold weather
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 14:30
A fairly cold month but little in the way of outlandish cold. i'll go with 3.0C with a couple of close but not quite cold shots.
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#34
snow freak
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 14:39
I reckon 12.5c, judging by the winter so far. It has been ridiculously mild and there is no evidence to suggest February will be any different. Now if I had my way, the CET for Feb would be -5c, but we live in mild and murky ol britannia and we are never going to get cold like that... unless a new ice age happens.
#35
Isolated Frost
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 14:46
snow freak, on 25 January 2012 - 14:39 , said:
I reckon 12.5c, judging by the winter so far. It has been ridiculously mild and there is no evidence to suggest February will be any different. Now if I had my way, the CET for Feb would be -5c, but we live in mild and murky ol britannia and we are never going to get cold like that... unless a new ice age happens.
My 2.8c may be on the high side- but I will remain with my guess like every month.
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#36
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 14:53
1.1c for me
#37
Stationary Front
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Posted 25 January 2012 - 20:55
I'm making my guess based on current probabilities discussed in the Strat thread so - 0.5 please (minus 0.5). Thank you
#38
coram
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Posted 26 January 2012 - 00:24
3.2 please
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#39
Interitus
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Posted 26 January 2012 - 02:30
damianslaw, on 23 January 2012 - 22:41 , said:
Feb 1983 proof if ever needed a very mild Jan can't be preceded by a cold February.
That's always the case!
#40
Mr_Data
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Posted 26 January 2012 - 07:08
I'm going for 5.1C Not convinced that we will see that much in the way of cold weather.
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