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February CET

Started by Tellow, Jan 21 2012 22:52

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344 replies to this topic

#1 Tellow

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Posted 21 January 2012 - 22:52

Just thought I'd start the new upcoming monthly CET topic.

What's your punt? Mines 4.5.
Winter 2011-12:
04 Dec, Brief wet snow shower in the evening.
16-17 Dec, Outbreaks of wet snow and sleet.
18 Dec, Heavy snow from 8.30am, stopped at 9.30 but gave a 2cm covering, thawed after lunch.
02 Feb, Light snow showers in the morning, no lying snow.
04 Feb, Light snow beginning around 2:30pm, becoming heavy and settling eventually. Non-stop until midnight, with 9cm depth.
05 Feb, Lying snow of 9cm, slow thaw starting eventually with high temperature of 2.0c.
06 Feb, Patches of snow and slushy snow on roads, rapid thaw underway.
09 Feb, Light snow on-and-off from 6pm, giving a light covering on top of leftovers. Eventually turning to freezing rain later in the evening.
10 Feb, Dusting of snow from flurries overnight.
18 Feb, Sleet showers in the evening.
04 Apr, A return to winter with snow showers all morning.


Days with snow falling: 9 (Dec-Feb)
Days with snow lying (9am): 4 (Dec-Feb)
Max snow depth: 8cm (04/02/2012)
Max temp: 16.0c (23/02/2012)
Min temp: -5.8c (11/02/2012)

#2 stewfox

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Posted 21 January 2012 - 22:59

View PostTellow, on 21 January 2012 - 22:52 , said:

Just thought I'd start the new upcoming monthly CET topic.

What's your punt? Mines 4.5.

Pointless to guess now going to wait to see what happens post T144

50/50 cold to very cold or average cant see it being mild (at present)

#3 Backtrack

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 11:13

0.3C.

One of the coldest on record. Just watch.
Winter 2011/2012.

Snow falling: 5
Snow Lying: 2 - 16/12/11. Heavy snow most of the morning into afternoon. Stopped 2pm. 2 inches. (20/02/12 - dusting)
Lowest temperature: -5.5C (10/02/12 @ 4:47am)
Ice days: 0
Frosts: 21
Air frosts: 15
Days with hail falling: 8

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#4 geoffw

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 15:49

1.2

#5 max011293

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 15:53

0.8......i hope XD

#6 Letitsnowyorkshire

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 15:56

1.4 or below would be just lovely :D
Snow-dreaming
No snow since Feb 2011 :(

n546910973 1600284 4794
Uploaded 22 Jan 2012 - 14:00

#7 Optimus Prime

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 15:56

A very blocked, cold month. High pressure with easterly winds generally.

-0.4c.
May to the 6th
Mean Max 11.5c (-6.0c)
Mean Min 7.3c (-0.6c)
Mean 9.4c (-3.3c)

(Reference period 2004-2011)

#8 The PIT

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 16:28

Blocking to be in the wrong place so another mild month 5.5C
Based in Sunny Old Sheffield South Yorkshire.

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#9 Aaron

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 16:34

-1.1C







Nah, just kidding, I will go for 4.0c, since all my other below average guesses have been wrong.
2012
Max temperature +22.1°C
Minimum temperature -7.9°C
Thunder: 1
Lightning: 1
Posted Image

#10 SteveB

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 18:21

I will go for 2.2c please.
Autumn/Winter 2011/2012 Stats (extreme)

Lowest Temp 03-02-12 -5.8c
Frosts: 11


#11 Isolated Frost

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 18:39

A quickie from me. Cold from the east at times, generally rather blocked with continental influence, 2.8C.
Hoping for a future in meteorology!

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#12 Snow? norfolk n chance

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 18:53

settled ish first half, but not cold like 14-17 Jan, Atlantic dominated 2nd half, 5.1C

something like 2.0C first half, 7.1C 2nd half

#13 damianslaw

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 21:03

Too early to call but I'm preety confident it will turn out to be appreciably the coldest month of the winter - not a tough job by any means I hear many say..

As it often the case the atlantic will be much quieter than it was in Dec and Jan - and blocking much more in evidence, it has potential to be the coldest since 1991.

#14 Aaron

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 21:12

I hope it's as snowy too..
2012
Max temperature +22.1°C
Minimum temperature -7.9°C
Thunder: 1
Lightning: 1
Posted Image

#15 Jason M

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Posted 22 January 2012 - 21:26

I'll punt at 5.9

First half just above normal, but notable warmth in the last week of the month heralding an early spring.

Winter overall in the V Mild category (not as warm as 88/89), perhaps coming in at 3rd or 4th mildest.

Talk about sticking my neck out... :shok:



Edit: Hope I'm very wrong of course!!!!!!!

Edited by Jason M, 22 January 2012 - 21:28 .

#16 Great Plum

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Posted 23 January 2012 - 08:51

Does anyone know what the greatest difference between a mild January and a cold February in the CET series?
Winter 2011/12
October: 1 frost
November: 2 frosts
December: 3 frosts, 1 morning of very wet snow
January: 7 frosts
February: 11 frosts, 3 snowfalls, max depth: 14.5cm. 8 days of laying snow

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Updated 03/01/12

#17 TomSE20

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Posted 23 January 2012 - 14:21

View PostGreat Plum, on 23 January 2012 - 08:51 , said:

Does anyone know what the greatest difference between a mild January and a cold February in the CET series?

Have a look at 1969 GP. Jan 5.5c, Feb 1.0. Happened when a western based neg.NAO in Jan, switched to an eastern based one in Feb.

Regards,
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#18 cheeky_monkey

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Posted 23 January 2012 - 14:30

what about 1983?...wasnt it something like 6.7 Jan to 1.7 Feb?..probably wrong..but do remember that swing.
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#19 North-Easterly Blast

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Posted 23 January 2012 - 19:57

View PostGreat Plum, on 23 January 2012 - 08:51 , said:

Does anyone know what the greatest difference between a mild January and a cold February in the CET series?
The largest collapse on record in the CET from January to February was in 1983, when the CET went from 6.7 in Jan 1983 to 1.7 in Feb 1983. Whilst winter 1982-83 was close to average overall, it was a record winter in terms of seeing the greatest fall in the CET from January to February on record.

#20 Great Plum

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Posted 23 January 2012 - 21:08

Thanks all... Good to see that what we are hoping for isn't unprecedented then!
Winter 2011/12
October: 1 frost
November: 2 frosts
December: 3 frosts, 1 morning of very wet snow
January: 7 frosts
February: 11 frosts, 3 snowfalls, max depth: 14.5cm. 8 days of laying snow

SACCRA No. 99! :)

My blog: click here!
Updated 03/01/12
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