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January CET


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#41 trickydicky

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Posted 28 December 2011 - 14:28

4.3

#42 s4lancia

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Posted 28 December 2011 - 15:45

Was going to wait but I've seen enough to plump for a chilly but not bone chilling 3.4 for Jan.

Mild start, turning average to the 10th, cold snap 13th-17th, milder, colder spell around the 21st, briefly mild again before BANG 'proper' cold last week of the month with ice days on the 30th and 31st to drag the mean under 3.5!

It will no doubt, & quite rightly, remain open to conjecture as to what exactly has caused it and obviously it is multi-factoral. The PDO and solar influences are surely a part of it, but whatever has caused it the facts are presenting themselves to us as clear as day... Four years ago we saw the start of a distinct shift in weather patterns when the PF jet started to show a far greater interest in visiting more southern climes. Successions of predominately mild Atlantic driven winters are soooo last cycle!

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#43 Gavin D

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Posted 28 December 2011 - 17:57

4.1 for me.
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#44 Rollo

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Posted 28 December 2011 - 18:38

I'll go for a rather cold 3.7c.(with some trepidation).
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#45 Jack Wales

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Posted 28 December 2011 - 19:00

The current pattern appears well and truly 'locked-in' at least until the end of January. Therefore largely mild with occasional cold zonality... 4.8°C
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#46 22nov10blast

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Posted 28 December 2011 - 19:30

I'm going for a warmer first half of January and a colder second half, and a final CET of 3.4C

#47 Fozfoster

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Posted 29 December 2011 - 13:38

View PostFozfoster, on 27 December 2011 - 14:53 , said:

4.0c for me please, not much cold iam afraid .
Change to 4.5c please
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#48 coram

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Posted 29 December 2011 - 15:53

5.2 please
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#49 Milhouse

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Posted 29 December 2011 - 16:36

5.3c. Another mild month

#50 Robbie Garrett

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Posted 29 December 2011 - 18:32

6C
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#51 DiagonalRedLine

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Posted 29 December 2011 - 19:32

My guess: 3.7*C

A possible mildish pattern to start with - High Pressure to the South perhaps being very stubborn to move at first. If it all goes to plan, I expect a lot of the energy to the North to transfer further, and further Southwards increasing the risk of some possible blocking to the North/North-West later in the month. Does look like some possible briefer cool/colder periods at times anyway, and probably enough to bring the CET for the month just below average.

Edited by Rainbow Snow, 29 December 2011 - 19:34 .

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#52 Stargazer

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Posted 29 December 2011 - 19:35

Don't think it's going to be a cold one - 5.1 for me.
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In 2012 so far: maximum 27.2, minimum -9.6, days with falling snow 5, days with lying snow 5, days with thunder 2.
Last year: maximum 29.6, minimum -2.8, days with falling snow 1, no days with lying snow, days with thunder 5.
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#53 Kentish Man

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Posted 29 December 2011 - 19:40

5.4C please

#54 igloo

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Posted 29 December 2011 - 19:49

the models suggest the frst few weeks will be mild so i say 6.3c

#55 Scorcher

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Posted 30 December 2011 - 01:00

I think it's going to be another mild month without being record-breaking. I think the first half could be very mild indeed but this may then be offset somewhat by an average second half. Therefore I'm going for 5.9C.

Edited by Scorcher, 30 December 2011 - 01:02 .


#56 Aaron

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Posted 30 December 2011 - 01:26

I bet if this December had turned out cold then there'd be a lot more cold CET guesses predictions. :p
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#57 Sunlover

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Posted 30 December 2011 - 08:00

Can I have 5.1 please
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#58 snow drift

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Posted 30 December 2011 - 08:10

3.8

#59 stewfox

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Posted 30 December 2011 - 08:44

5.6c

Mild start then average, cold snap last 36hrs 23/24th Jan

#60 mark4

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Posted 30 December 2011 - 10:18

5.7c please




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