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Fi Eye Candy


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#1 chionomaniac

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Posted 15 November 2011 - 20:02

Let's see the best FI Eye Candy that the GFS and ECM can come up with over the coming months and save it for posterity.

Don't clog up the model thread up with charts that are highly unlikely to verify - put them in here. All charts post T+180 are welcome.

I'll start the ball rolling:

12Z GFS T+360

Rtavn3601.png

Rtavn3602.png
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#2 Cloud 10

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Posted 15 November 2011 - 22:29

Good idea for a thread,could do with some eye candy at the moment.

Just rolling back to last year,and very occasionally FI can be quite close to the mark!


Winter 2011/12 Dec-Feb

Frosts 41

Days snow fell 12

#3 Robbie Garrett

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Posted 15 November 2011 - 22:30

History repeats itself, in 2011 :D

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#4 Anonymous21

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Posted 15 November 2011 - 23:22

Eye candy that was indeed.

#5 Snowmad79

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Posted 17 November 2011 - 06:58

Deep FI on this mornings 00z is cold and shows for a second day a ridge in the Atlantic, developing GL High, trough over us/ NW europe and a beefy LP cell draggin down the colder air. Not potent cold but would be nice if this continues or remerges towards or in the reliable.

Posted Image

Even if we had to bank on Topplers for our cold this winter I'm still confident my area will see some decent snowfall at somepoint through winter and this is despite the reliable time frame of the late runs making me downbeat. Tbh I cant remember a totally snowless winter in this part of Oldham where I've lived for 32 yrs.
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#6 Radiating Dendrite

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Posted 17 November 2011 - 08:55

Don't you just love a blocked Atlantic! :rofl:

gens-15-1-264.png

#7 lorenzo

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Posted 17 November 2011 - 10:18

View PostSnowmad79, on 17 November 2011 - 06:58 , said:

Deep FI on this mornings 00z is cold and shows for a second day a ridge in the Atlantic, developing GL High, trough over us/ NW europe and a beefy LP cell draggin down the colder air. Not potent cold but would be nice if this continues or remerges towards or in the reliable.

Attachment gfs-0-336.png

Even if we had to bank on Topplers for our cold this winter I'm still confident my area will see some decent snowfall at somepoint through winter and this is despite the reliable time frame of the late runs making me downbeat. Tbh I cant remember a totally snowless winter in this part of Oldham where I've lived for 32 yrs.

Thats the chart I spied this morning also - welcome to December !

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  • gfs-0-336.png


#8 MadSnowboarder

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Posted 17 November 2011 - 14:56

View Postlorenzo, on 17 November 2011 - 10:18 , said:

Thats the chart I spied this morning also - welcome to December !

Drooling over that bit of FI teasing us haha! :drinks:

Posted Image

Quite enjoying this one also.

Edited by MadSnowboarder, 17 November 2011 - 15:02 .

http://helium2snowboards.blogspot.com

Helium 2 - (n); A superfluid, a quantum mechanical state of matter with strange properties.......

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!

#9 Kentish Kiwi

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Posted 17 November 2011 - 19:57

Very good idea for a thread. Will hopefully help clean up the main MOD thread too.

Just a thought Chiono, do you think you could possibly edit your original post to ask people to include 850hPa temperatures too if possible? It's always a little frustrating looking back at posted charts and not having a clue what the cold pooling is like and if it is actually as good as the pressure makes it out to be; the colours associated with the heights often mislead people into thinking they are a direct translation to temperature.

#10 chionomaniac

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Posted 17 November 2011 - 21:06

View PostKentish Kiwi, on 17 November 2011 - 19:57 , said:

Very good idea for a thread. Will hopefully help clean up the main MOD thread too.

Just a thought Chiono, do you think you could possibly edit your original post to ask people to include 850hPa temperatures too if possible? It's always a little frustrating looking back at posted charts and not having a clue what the cold pooling is like and if it is actually as good as the pressure makes it out to be; the colours associated with the heights often mislead people into thinking they are a direct translation to temperature.

I agree with the 850's but can no longer edit my first post!
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#11 MadSnowboarder

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Posted 19 November 2011 - 16:52

Posted Image
Posted Image

The latest GFS Beauts!
http://helium2snowboards.blogspot.com

Helium 2 - (n); A superfluid, a quantum mechanical state of matter with strange properties.......

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!

#12 sundog

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Posted 19 November 2011 - 16:59

View PostMadSnowboarder, on 19 November 2011 - 16:52 , said:

Posted Image
Posted Image

The latest GFS Beauts!
The gfs chart kind of reminds me of the short cold spell we had at the end of Nov 2009

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  • Rrea00120091129.gif

Edited by sundog, 19 November 2011 - 17:00 .

winter 2005/2006 lowest min -4.3c
winter 2006/2007 lowest min -2.6c
winter 2007/2008 lowest min -2.7c
winter 2008/2009 lowest min -3.4c
winter 2009/2010 lowest min -6.9c
winter 2010/2011 lowest min -9.9c
winter 2011/2012 lowest min -3.9c




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#13 lorenzo

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Posted 20 November 2011 - 23:20

gfs-0-216.png

#14 Cutty Dyer

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Posted 22 November 2011 - 09:32

Here's my optimistic offering... :good:

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#15 Isolated Frost

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Posted 22 November 2011 - 09:41

View PostCutty Dyer, on 22 November 2011 - 09:32 , said:

Here's my optimistic offering... :good:

Posted Image

With lp that close, uppers wouldn't deliver snow below 500m. Uppers are -3c/-4c at their coldest on that frame I think.
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#16 Snowmad79

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Posted 22 November 2011 - 15:01

View PostIsolated Frost, on 22 November 2011 - 09:41 , said:

With lp that close, uppers wouldn't deliver snow below 500m. Uppers are -3c/-4c at their coldest on that frame I think.

True, thicknesses and due points away from the Scottish mountains wouldn't be consudive either but... lets get the chill factor going first, snow will come later. Max temps on that GFS run this morning for the north of the midlands showed 1 day where temps get to 7 or 8c and lows of -1c. Most days struggling to get above 5c away from the coasts and the far south & east of the country, so would defo feel nippy for most according to the 00z GFS (T84 through to the end of the run which finished on a slack easterly flow).
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18th December 2011: 3" - 2 days lying
27th January 2012: 2" - 2.5 days lying
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#17 Cutty Dyer

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Posted 24 November 2011 - 06:04

I'm dreaming of a.... :smilz38:
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#18 MadSnowboarder

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Posted 24 November 2011 - 11:13

View PostCutty Dyer, on 24 November 2011 - 06:04 , said:

I'm dreaming of a.... :smilz38:
Posted Image

25th Dec!!! lol. Well and truely FIEye candy. Nice.
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Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!

#19 Harps

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Posted 25 November 2011 - 13:35

Another nice one for Christmas Day!

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Posted Image

#20 Radiating Dendrite

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Posted 25 November 2011 - 13:36

Eye candy! I think that is more pornography!




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