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18th Aug 2011 - Storm/convective Forecast Discussion And Reports


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#41 Paul-Michael

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:21

How have the MetO not got any warnings or advisories for that rain?? Is it below their trigger or something? Doesn't make sense that not even an yellow advisory is out...

#42 vortex_liam

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:27

Winds not picking up but gusts are more frequent!
If you lent someone £20 and never saw them again. It was probally worth it !
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Storms 2012:

#43 Coast

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:27

View PostPaul-Michael, on 18 August 2011 - 10:21 , said:

How have the MetO not got any warnings or advisories for that rain?? Is it below their trigger or something? Doesn't make sense that not even an yellow advisory is out...
Difficult to forecast what was going to happen today TBH. Certainly the intensity wasn't there earlier, thank god for the NW forecast eh? :winky:

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#44 SNOW_JOKE

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:29

Heard on BBCR2 reports of cars being stuck in floodwaters up to their bonnets in what is in/around the Bournemouth area.
Highest Shade Temperature 30.7°C at 15.51 on 9th August 2003
Low Temperature -11.0°C at 07:35 on 20th December 2010
Highest Daily Rainfall 77 mm (3.03 inches) on 10th August 2004
Highest Monthly Rainfall 287 mm (11.30 inches) in August 2004

#45 dave reid

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:30

the rain has all but stopped where I am in Bmouth for now but amazing contrasts in the sky. sun almost poking through and every shade of grey / black in the world, surface wind is fairly strong out of NE and cold, creating some lovely swirling cloud as it meets the upper winds out of the S / SW.
I cant find my camerra :(
2 U.S. tornados but what I would give for a thunder storm at home. It has to be my turn!?

#46 Purplepixii

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:31

It's just started absolutely chucking it down here and is so dark that if I wasn't going out I would have the lights on! Oh well, off to the Forest I go for my ploughmans (nom nom). I hate driving in the rain (thanks to an accident years ago) so will be taking it rather slowly! Posted Image

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#47 dave reid

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:36

View PostSNOW_JOKE, on 18 August 2011 - 10:29 , said:

Heard on BBCR2 reports of cars being stuck in floodwaters up to their bonnets in what is in/around the Bournemouth area.

My wife is In town (Bmouth) and confirmed flooding earlier. Said she was worried about the car so hope its not ours
2 U.S. tornados but what I would give for a thunder storm at home. It has to be my turn!?

#48 Harry

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:37

06z GFS doesn't make pleasant reading for those like me hoping for weekend action
USA Storm Chase 2010 Tour 1

Supercells - 6
Tornadoes - 3
States Visited - 7 (TX,OK,KS,NE,MO,AR,TN)


Snow and Thunder Totals - 2012 (2011 in brackets for comparison)

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Thunder/Lightning Days - 6 days/1 Night - 10/4, 11/4, 12/4, 13/4, 19/4, 15/5 / 30/4 (2011 - 8 days)

#49 Paul-Michael

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:40

View PostCoast, on 18 August 2011 - 10:27 , said:

Difficult to forecast what was going to happen today TBH. Certainly the intensity wasn't there earlier, thank god for the NW forecast eh? Posted Image

http://www.netweathe...oryid=770;sess=

Yeah I know, but even an advisory would be OK! lol And yes thank god for NW and YOU! lol :-)

#50 gottolovethisweather

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:40

8.0mm as of 11.40am here in Newbury and my location is nowhere near the heaviest precip down NF way at the moment.

If anything the heavy bursts are pulsing inland NNE'wards from the IOW and building more strongly according to NW v5 radar. Posted Image

Pretty cold for August too, is it not! only 11.7c and 98% humidity. Posted Image

Thunder or no Thunder, today will be a memorable day for some.

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#51 Kiwi

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:42

Biblical deluge just started here.
My 3 boys are bored with being shut up indoors. Perhaps they should do something useful like build an ark!

Edited by Kiwi, 18 August 2011 - 10:43 .

Location: Bramley, Hampshire RG26

#52 Paul-Michael

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:51

UKww Flash warning for Heavy Rain
Issued Thur 18/08/2011 1100BST
Areas affected - Southern, Central and South-Eastern England
Valid from: 1100BST - 2100BST Thursday 18th August 2011
General evolution: A strong jet limb is developing heavy precipitation with embedded convection along the warm front across the southern half of England, slowly moving ENE through the period. Up to 20-25mm has already fallen across parts of Dorset in the last hour.
Forecast: Showers and thunderstorms with lightning and rainfallaccumulations locally up to 30mm are possible in a short period with the added risk of strong gusts.
Conditions may be poor on roads with localised flash flooding and very poor visibility. Please listen to local radio/television broadcasts for up to date information on travel conditions.
UKww will monitor this warning and update/upgrade if/when necessary.

Issued by GEJ for UKww, 1100BST 18/08/2011

#53 SNOW_JOKE

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 10:53

http://www.bournemou...in_hits_Dorset/

http://www.bbc.co.uk...ion/index.shtml (listen live link on the right)
Highest Shade Temperature 30.7°C at 15.51 on 9th August 2003
Low Temperature -11.0°C at 07:35 on 20th December 2010
Highest Daily Rainfall 77 mm (3.03 inches) on 10th August 2004
Highest Monthly Rainfall 287 mm (11.30 inches) in August 2004

#54 chionomaniac

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 11:02

The duty forecaster at the met office must be snoozing in his chair.....
No comment.

#55 dave reid

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 11:10

Just skope to my wife Who was in Bmouth and she saw drain covers ''explode'' as the water surged out of them and as in link above the Bmouth gardens under water. Rain just started back upo again and very heavy
2 U.S. tornados but what I would give for a thunder storm at home. It has to be my turn!?

#56 chionomaniac

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 11:14

View Postdave reid, on 18 August 2011 - 11:10 , said:

Just skope to my wife Who was in Bmouth and she saw drain covers ''explode'' as the water surged out of them and as in link above the Bmouth gardens under water. Rain just started back upo again and very heavy
Netweather radar accumulation suggesting 30-40mm upwards in the last 4 hours - I reckon that some areas could see 60-70mm if this continues to be slow moving.
No comment.

#57 Chris K

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 11:16

http://www.bbc.co.uk...dorset-14575270

And still nothing from Met Office? No flash warnings or anything? It may of been a bit difficult to predict but you'd assume they would of been keeping an eye on it? Too late for those area flooded now...

#58 Surrey

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 11:16

Is this on course for me ? 0.0

2012...


Diffrent year for weather?

, Lets hope for some proper summer storms atlantic lows and some GLORIOUS SUNSHINE!!


2012..London Olymics!!


#59 staplehurst

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 11:18

View PostBugganuts, on 18 August 2011 - 11:16 , said:

http://www.bbc.co.uk...dorset-14575270

And still nothing from Met Office? No flash warnings or anything? It may of been a bit difficult to predict but you'd assume they would of been keeping an eye on it? Too late for those area flooded now...

Their response is:

"Warnings are issued for widespread disruption. Heavy rain on the south coast is localised. Forecast mentioned heavy rain"

#60 Chris K

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Posted 18 August 2011 - 11:21

View Poststaplehurst, on 18 August 2011 - 11:18 , said:


Their response is:

"Warnings are issued for widespread disruption. Heavy rain on the south coast is localised. Forecast mentioned heavy rain"

Ahh I see ¬_¬
So in situations like these its the local reports to warn people, i.e radio.




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