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23 July 2011 - Storm/convective Forecast, Discussion And Reports
Started by Purplepixii, Jul 23 2011 11:27
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3 replies to this topic
#1
Purplepixii
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- Location:Fareham, Hampshire
- Weather Preferences:Thunderstorms, Severe Weather events
Posted 23 July 2011 - 11:27
Apologies if it's not my place to do this but I figured we needed a thread for today's fun
Coastal Reality Freak #1 (& proud of it!)
2012's Storms: 12/04, 13/04
2012's Snow: 30/01, 04/02, 09/02 - Snowflakes
2011's Storms: 06/05, 27/06, 28/06, 07/08, 03/11
2011's Snow: 16/12
#2
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Kamehameha!
- Gender:Male
- Location:Runcorn, Cheshire
- Weather Preferences:Snow, cold, ice, frost, hail, grauple.
Posted 23 July 2011 - 11:39
Unfortunately I don't see any storm risk at all for today.
We have a cape of around 0-100 at best. Pretty much no lifted index. And overall, no storm risk.
Could well be some convective showers where the sun has been at work all day, but the chance of a storm today is almost non-existent.
We have a cape of around 0-100 at best. Pretty much no lifted index. And overall, no storm risk.
Could well be some convective showers where the sun has been at work all day, but the chance of a storm today is almost non-existent.
Winter 2011/2012.
Snow falling: 5
Snow Lying: 2 - 16/12/11. Heavy snow most of the morning into afternoon. Stopped 2pm. 2 inches. (20/02/12 - dusting)
Lowest temperature: -5.5C (10/02/12 @ 4:47am)
Ice days: 0
Frosts: 21
Air frosts: 15
Days with hail falling: 8
http://convergence-zone.blogspot.com/
Snow falling: 5
Snow Lying: 2 - 16/12/11. Heavy snow most of the morning into afternoon. Stopped 2pm. 2 inches. (20/02/12 - dusting)
Lowest temperature: -5.5C (10/02/12 @ 4:47am)
Ice days: 0
Frosts: 21
Air frosts: 15
Days with hail falling: 8
http://convergence-zone.blogspot.com/
#3
Purplepixii
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- Gender:Female
- Location:Fareham, Hampshire
- Weather Preferences:Thunderstorms, Severe Weather events
Posted 23 July 2011 - 11:46
Agree chances look slim although the Blitzortung site is showing activity...
Coastal Reality Freak #1 (& proud of it!)
2012's Storms: 12/04, 13/04
2012's Snow: 30/01, 04/02, 09/02 - Snowflakes
2011's Storms: 06/05, 27/06, 28/06, 07/08, 03/11
2011's Snow: 16/12
#4
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Kamehameha!
- Gender:Male
- Location:Runcorn, Cheshire
- Weather Preferences:Snow, cold, ice, frost, hail, grauple.
Posted 23 July 2011 - 11:57
Purplepixii, on 23 July 2011 - 11:46 , said:
Agree chances look slim although the Blitzortung site is showing activity...
I think that might of expired now, there was a brief window of opportunity in the South East earlier this morning, but the GFS now shows the storm risk has dropped dramatically, below are this morning's storm risk and CAPE charts:
They were for 9am.
Now as we move on to the midday charts:
You can see from those that there's almost no chance of a storm, unless you live in the channel
Hardly warrants a UKASF watch if you ask me.
Winter 2011/2012.
Snow falling: 5
Snow Lying: 2 - 16/12/11. Heavy snow most of the morning into afternoon. Stopped 2pm. 2 inches. (20/02/12 - dusting)
Lowest temperature: -5.5C (10/02/12 @ 4:47am)
Ice days: 0
Frosts: 21
Air frosts: 15
Days with hail falling: 8
http://convergence-zone.blogspot.com/
Snow falling: 5
Snow Lying: 2 - 16/12/11. Heavy snow most of the morning into afternoon. Stopped 2pm. 2 inches. (20/02/12 - dusting)
Lowest temperature: -5.5C (10/02/12 @ 4:47am)
Ice days: 0
Frosts: 21
Air frosts: 15
Days with hail falling: 8
http://convergence-zone.blogspot.com/
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