Jump to content


- - - - -

UK convective general discussion and forecasts


  • This topic is locked This topic is locked
620 replies to this topic

#41 Arnie Pie

Arnie Pie
  • Members
  • 332 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Harborne SW Birmingham 171m + 11 Floors asl
  • Weather Preferences:Columus Bigus Convectivus

Posted 01 July 2011 - 09:00

Poor mans aurora?
I may be mistaken but were there some Noctilucent Cloud visible early this morning

IMG_0006-1.JPG

Over Barr Beacon to the North

Yesterdays Blue skies, Anvils & dancing cloud bases



Toots and the Maytals
:drinks:

Edited by Arnie Pie, 01 July 2011 - 14:21 .

i`ll Never be old enough to know better....

Blue Skies, Clouds doing stuff, all to a kick ass beat...

Timelapse channel

Here


HQ camera feed overlooking Birmingham city centre and beyond
http://www.brumcam.co.uk/

Posted Image


#42 Muffelchen

Muffelchen
  • Members
  • 517 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL

Posted 01 July 2011 - 12:31

There were a few showers around and about in East Yorkshire yesterday evening, in particular Goole. Later on, at exactly 22:55 there was a light show way out over the North Sea. Intermittent lightning for about half an hour lighting up the clouds orange red. Checked later on NW radar and these showers were in the region of 100 miles offshore and I was a good 8 miles inland when I was watching them. That is quite impressive.

Strangely, when the lightning started, I had been thinking about something which someone else touched-on above. I have often noticed, especially now that lightning strikes can be plotted, that showers in an area can be un-electrified but very heavy for quite sometime and never become electrified yet, once one does in an area, they all seem to. This was clear on Tuesday of this week when all of a sudden everthing became electrified down South.

I have always thought that this was a property of the atmosphere and that the conditions had now become conducive for electrification and, as a result, all of the showers in an area become electrified. But, as I stood in the field looking out to sea last night, it occured to me that it was possible that, once one shower becomes electrified, then this induces the next to become electrified and so on in a kind of chain reaction. I am in no way an expert on this and someone much cleverer than me may well have published work on this in the past, but it occurred to me that this induction idea might explain the sudden electrification we see over large areas as this effect seems to travel much faster through a group of showers than any physical atmospheric property that was changing could.

Musings of a mad man in a field or is there something in this?

Edited by Muffelchen, 01 July 2011 - 12:31 .

Snow days winter 2011-2012: 9
Snow days winter 2010-2011: 32
Snow days winter 2009-2010: 25
Snow days winter 2008-2009: 9
Snow days winter 2007-2008: 5
Thunder days 2012: 3
Thunder days 2011: 13
Thunder days 2010: 6
Thunder days 2009: 14
Thunder days 2008: 17
Thunder days 2007: 23

There is no such thing as useless, you can always serve as a bad example!

#43 Dommy

Dommy
  • Members
  • 285 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Peterlee, County Durham
  • Weather Preferences:Lightning, Thunder, Snow, Hail, Sunshine, Rainbows

Posted 01 July 2011 - 20:40

View PostMuffelchen, on 01 July 2011 - 12:31 , said:

There were a few showers around and about in East Yorkshire yesterday evening, in particular Goole. Later on, at exactly 22:55 there was a light show way out over the North Sea. Intermittent lightning for about half an hour lighting up the clouds orange red. Checked later on NW radar and these showers were in the region of 100 miles offshore and I was a good 8 miles inland when I was watching them. That is quite impressive.

Strangely, when the lightning started, I had been thinking about something which someone else touched-on above. I have often noticed, especially now that lightning strikes can be plotted, that showers in an area can be un-electrified but very heavy for quite sometime and never become electrified yet, once one does in an area, they all seem to. This was clear on Tuesday of this week when all of a sudden everthing became electrified down South.

I have always thought that this was a property of the atmosphere and that the conditions had now become conducive for electrification and, as a result, all of the showers in an area become electrified. But, as I stood in the field looking out to sea last night, it occured to me that it was possible that, once one shower becomes electrified, then this induces the next to become electrified and so on in a kind of chain reaction. I am in no way an expert on this and someone much cleverer than me may well have published work on this in the past, but it occurred to me that this induction idea might explain the sudden electrification we see over large areas as this effect seems to travel much faster through a group of showers than any physical atmospheric property that was changing could.

Musings of a mad man in a field or is there something in this?


I like your theory of this. I did watch a program about lightning years ago and there was a section of it about lightning from space. Where lightning would start and storms nearby would react by sparking off too; so a similar line of thinking to what you are saying.



#44 paul m

paul m
  • Members
  • 494 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire

Posted 01 July 2011 - 23:40

There are a few strikes showing up on Blitz at the moment on the south coast but nothing on nw radar??

#45 ElectricSnowStorm

ElectricSnowStorm

    sky watcher

  • Members
  • 2,443 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:North Surrey
  • Weather Preferences:Thunderstorms, Squally fronts, Snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost

Posted 02 July 2011 - 02:09

Their is an old saying"one storm feeds another"..
The NeverEndingJourney of Time .......
ElectricSnowStorm image.gif
-
Sport 2012.. play it, watch it, hear it, enjoy it!

-
Summer forecast - thundery!
cumulonimbus june1st09 2
Uploaded 03 Aug 2011 - 04:53

(profile/member image created by myself)

#46 Mesoscale

Mesoscale

    That audio guy!

  • Members
  • 583 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Ocean Village, Southampton / Watford
  • Weather Preferences:Humid Continental climate

Posted 02 July 2011 - 02:15

like dropping a stone into water it creates a ripple effect, did you notice if the lightning radiated out from where the first lightning happened? or was it completly random?
Friday is the best day of the week, we we we so excited - Rebecca Black.

#47 ElectricSnowStorm

ElectricSnowStorm

    sky watcher

  • Members
  • 2,443 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:North Surrey
  • Weather Preferences:Thunderstorms, Squally fronts, Snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost

Posted 02 July 2011 - 02:46

View PostMesoscale, on 02 July 2011 - 02:15 , said:

like dropping a stone into water it creates a ripple effect.....
that is the perfect line for the idea, the energy rippling out feeding another cell-like re-cycling cells, this would be in effect of single cells, they last around an hour or less but new ones spring up very close by as the old ones decay.

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm, 02 July 2011 - 02:47 .

The NeverEndingJourney of Time .......
ElectricSnowStorm image.gif
-
Sport 2012.. play it, watch it, hear it, enjoy it!

-
Summer forecast - thundery!
cumulonimbus june1st09 2
Uploaded 03 Aug 2011 - 04:53

(profile/member image created by myself)

#48 Stuart

Stuart
  • Members
  • 9,877 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Inverness/Ardersier

Posted 03 July 2011 - 09:05

not much happing with storm risk but things may pick up next week :good:



#49 Coast

Coast

    Rider on the storm

  • Forum Team
  • 11,640 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

Posted 03 July 2011 - 09:22

View PostStuart, on 03 July 2011 - 09:05 , said:

not much happing with storm risk but things may pick up next week :good:
Keep an eye on Friday night and through next weekend Stuart, maybe a chance coming for you! :clap:

Posted Image


Posted Image

Now, you listen here:'e's not the Messiah,'e's a very naughty boy!
Views & opinions expressed in any of my posts are my own - but the voices made me do it


#50 Stuart

Stuart
  • Members
  • 9,877 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Inverness/Ardersier

Posted 03 July 2011 - 09:31

View PostCoast, on 03 July 2011 - 09:22 , said:

Keep an eye on Friday night and through next weekend Stuart, maybe a chance coming for you! :clap:

Thanks Coast I hope so time running out now becuse maybe less then 2 morths before i move to a no zone area :drinks:



#51 Jane Louise

Jane Louise
  • Forum Team
  • 3,101 posts
  • Gender:Female
  • Location:Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences:Thunderstorms

Posted 03 July 2011 - 09:52

View PostStuart, on 03 July 2011 - 09:31 , said:

Thanks Coast I hope so time running out now becuse maybe less then 2 morths before i move to a no zone area :drinks:

Now Stu, are you sure that isen't Cheltenham you're moving too?:winky:

Please Come visit us at the Storm Enthusiasts group we'd love to hear your storm stories and more!! Posted Image


The UK’s Most Fully Featured Weather Radar Tired of being caught out by the Rain, Sleet or Snow?
Experience the most featured & accurate weather radar in the UK. Using the high resolution radar which is updated every 5 minutes you’ll be able to stay up to date with the very latest weather situation. You can even track the latest weather to your home, work or favourite golf course with custom & postcode zooms. Plan ahead with confidence!
1 Month £3.49 -- 12 Months £23.95
http://www.netweathe...ype=radar;sess=


Views and opinions expressed in this or any other of my posts are well and truly my own. Posted Image


If you're frustrated with the lack of Thunderstorms,come vent your anger at 'The No Storms Club' hosted by Jane Louise & Phil UK.


#52 Stuart

Stuart
  • Members
  • 9,877 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Inverness/Ardersier

Posted 03 July 2011 - 09:54

View PostJane Louise, on 03 July 2011 - 09:52 , said:

Now Stu, are you sure that isen't Cheltenham you're moving too?:winky:


I sure it not there :lol:



#53 Staffordshire

Staffordshire
  • Members
  • 789 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Lichfield

Posted 03 July 2011 - 09:56

Is it looking good this coming week, could me and Jane maybe see a storm? :D
The wetaher always pays its debts.

#54 Stuart

Stuart
  • Members
  • 9,877 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Inverness/Ardersier

Posted 03 July 2011 - 09:59

and here what the metoffice forecast say for me next week



Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:
Becoming increasingly unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, heavy and perhaps thundery at times.

Updated: 0322 on Sun 3 Jul 2011



http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html





#55 Jane Louise

Jane Louise
  • Forum Team
  • 3,101 posts
  • Gender:Female
  • Location:Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences:Thunderstorms

Posted 03 July 2011 - 12:37

View PostStuart, on 03 July 2011 - 09:54 , said:

I sure it not there :lol:

Honestly though Stu,
I'm 100% sure that you can't get worst then Cheltenham for storms. I expect you'll even manage to do better then me when you move.:lol:

View PostStaffordshire, on 03 July 2011 - 09:56 , said:

Is it looking good this coming week, could me and Jane maybe see a storm? :D

I guess it's probably going to be a 'No' Staffordshire :p Is it really bad for you too in Staffs? We will get a chance soon me, you, Stu and others .:whistling:

Please Come visit us at the Storm Enthusiasts group we'd love to hear your storm stories and more!! Posted Image


The UK’s Most Fully Featured Weather Radar Tired of being caught out by the Rain, Sleet or Snow?
Experience the most featured & accurate weather radar in the UK. Using the high resolution radar which is updated every 5 minutes you’ll be able to stay up to date with the very latest weather situation. You can even track the latest weather to your home, work or favourite golf course with custom & postcode zooms. Plan ahead with confidence!
1 Month £3.49 -- 12 Months £23.95
http://www.netweathe...ype=radar;sess=


Views and opinions expressed in this or any other of my posts are well and truly my own. Posted Image


If you're frustrated with the lack of Thunderstorms,come vent your anger at 'The No Storms Club' hosted by Jane Louise & Phil UK.


#56 Staffordshire

Staffordshire
  • Members
  • 789 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Lichfield

Posted 03 July 2011 - 13:02

Aha yep! A thundery storm passed about 8 miles away in May, and on Tue 28th June I had some heavy showers but that's it :(
The wetaher always pays its debts.

#57 Miguel Hugo Roberto

Miguel Hugo Roberto
  • Members
  • 4,962 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Egham, Surrey

Posted 03 July 2011 - 13:57

I think the BBC has gone bonkers as Wednesday-Friday all feature the thunderstorm symbol for Bristol - chances are there won't be one on either day.
April 2012: 7.5C/143.7mm

2012:
Highest Max: 20.0C (28/03)
Lowest Max: -00.1C (03/02)
Highest Min: 08.1C (08/04)
Lowest Min: -07.8C (03/02)

Total Rain: 283.8mm

Wettest Day: 28.2mm (30/04)
Frosty Days: 25
Snowfall Days: 6 (30/01) / (31/01) / (04/02) / (05/02) / (09/02) / (10/02)
Snowlie Days: 3 (05/02) / (10/02) / (11/02)

Thunder Days: 4 (17/03) / (12/04) / (19/04) / (25/04)

Thunderstorms: 2 (17/03) / (12/04)

#58 gottolovethisweather

gottolovethisweather

    gottolovethisweather

  • Regional Forum Host
  • 1,409 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences:Likes Summer:sunny & warm,Winter:cold & snowy.Other:Transitional

Posted 03 July 2011 - 14:00

Well hello.

I'm enjoying the current settled spell actually in spite of the thunderstorms coming anywhere near me, however.......................

The MetO hint at possibly thundery type showers next Wednesday & Thursday so here's hoping, see http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html :whistling: :drinks:

Furthermore, prior to then, the MO Fax Charts at t+48 (attached) suggest a triple point low showing up, so will there be any implications from this as it interacts with the warmer air pushing eastwards, anybody? :cc_confused: T+60 FAX CHART.jpg

Cheers

gottolovethisweather
Formally STORMBOY, come visit my Blog http://naturestimeline.wordpress.com/ and you'll learn more about this slightly eccentric anorak, who goes by the name of Tony!

For those that may be interested, I have a weather station that can viewed via the above link or directly via Weather Underground at http://www.wundergro...ation=IWESTBER2

Finally, if I may quote Mr. Data.

"Wasn't it enough that we lived through the coldest December for over 100 years that no one alive has experienced?"

#59 Sunny Android

Sunny Android
  • Members
  • 87 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Warrington, Cheshire. 16M ASL

Posted 03 July 2011 - 15:37

Looking at GFS forecast, there are no high CAPE values and the Lifted Index are insignificant from Tuesday to Thursday.

It's not humid enough for a serious thunderstorm, well at this location anyway.

I'm also interested on the 'triple point low' and it's part it may have to play in the weather breakdown ?
Dave

Be it dry or be it wet
The weather'll always pay its debt.

#60 Stuart

Stuart
  • Members
  • 9,877 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Inverness/Ardersier

Posted 03 July 2011 - 16:42

you dont need high caps or Liffted index or humid weather for storms






0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users