El Gordo! - Spanish Plume Thunderstorm Discussion 2

[Coast]

Well the first day is drawing closer - will we get a mega-thunderstorm and all the convective chaos that comes with it? Will it be a damp squib and the French will get all the fun?

Stick to this thread for discussion, forecasts and observations on the 'fat one' El Gordo!

[Chris.R]

just had a shower and now the sun is out strong again.

[Mesoscale]

how accurate are GFS at predicting cape 24 hours ahead? because im seeing cape of over 2000 for my area tommorow with -5/6li.

[Jane Louise]

I am getting soooo excited for tomorrow. The Met Office have even mentioned Gloucestershire for thundery rain. I am very confident this will all happen. Again I will say good luck to all of you. Briiinggg on the storms....

[Neilsouth]

how accurate are GFS at predicting cape 24 hours ahead? because im seeing cape of over 2000 for my area tommorow with -5/6li.

Terrible as are the rain precipitations

[AWD]

I am getting soooo excited for tomorrow. The Met Office have even mentioned Gloucestershire for thundery rain. I am very confident this will all happen. Again I will say good luck to all of you. Briiinggg on the storms....

I noticed that Jane, Gloucester, Wiltshire and dorset according to them!

[The PIT]

Sheffield shield will deal with any attempts at proper T storm. Although it managed to let one Thundery shower through and allowed a storm to build within the confines of the shield. That caused flooding at Hillsborough as the shield prevented it from escaping.

[Jane Louise]

I noticed that Jane, Gloucester, Wiltshire and dorset according to them!

I really hope everyone has a chance of seeing something.:)I know how disheartening it can be when a storm doesn't happen. Surely we all stand a chance. It seems so rare nowadays to even get a Spanish Plume and this is of course is what makes it so special.

[Sunny Android]

just had a shower and now the sun is out strong again.

Sorry didn't reply on the previous thread Chris .... too busy watching the weather

Anyway you've answered your own question, could be the start of something big this evening .... especially if I go and fire up the BBQ, bound to happen

[Coast]

Some odd weather phenomena out there on the Eastbourne coast this afternoon. Confined to the area from Pevensey Bay to Beachy Head, a terrific thick sea harr was just on the shore and no more than 2 miles out. Must have been the damp air over the Channel and the heat from the lovely sun this afternoon - not seen this for a while (I hope it is an omen for tomorrow!!)

and then the model glider boys were mixing it with the seagulls with some incredible thermals off the Downs. Must be a good sign of rising warm air surely??

[Andy Bown]

I will be looking out for AltCas tomorrow morning as a sign of the possible thundery activity later in the day.

[Norfolk Sheep]

Slight downgrade for the Norwich area tomorrow, looks like I might have to drive somewhere after all...westwards in all probability....tsk!

Still, might get upgraded again later

[Chris.R]

chucking it down. I'm out in the garden and it's so refreshing

[The PIT]

Some odd weather phenomena out there on the Eastbourne coast this afternoon. Confined to the area from Pevensey Bay to Beachy Head, a terrific thick sea harr was just on the shore and no more than 2 miles out. Must have been the damp air over the Channel and the heat from the lovely sun this afternoon - not seen thsi for a while (I hope it is an omen for tomorrow!!)

and then the model glider boys were mixing it with the seagulls with some incredible thermals off the Downs. Must be a good sign of rising warm air surely??

Nice pics looks like your camera needs a clean though. Well at least some are getting a cooling shower

[Chris.R]

now stopping and no more thunder but what a nice surprise. It feels even more humid now

[Sunny Android]

Yes, the best line for storms looks like starting at Crosby, through Preston, lancs; over the pennines, Darlington Co Durham and out over to Middlesborough...... signing out but certainly back later

[Lancashire Lass]

chucking it down. I'm out in the garden and it's so refreshing

Think that's heading my way. I've been watching the radar and that big heavy blob of precip seems to have appeared from nowhere.

[Hathers]

Update from the Met office for tomorrow for west mids guys.

Another hot and humid day across the region. After a bright start, it will turn increasingly cloudy through the day, with heavy, potentially thundery showers breaking out through the afternoon.

Maximum Temperature 27 C.

[chapmanslade]

I will be looking out for AltCas tomorrow morning as a sign of the possible thundery activity later in the day.

It might be earlier than that Andy

As far as I can tell a small area of low pressure will form tonight over Biscay and move N to reach us by early AM. I'm expecting things to kick off for us early with a possible threat later on Monday as well from a French MCS - although this may be too far east.

The area concerned can be seen over Portugal at the moment having moved up from the Canaries

Edited June 26, 2011 by chapmanslade

[PersianPaladin]

Think it's a tad further north from Boro TBH. I am watching a storm here thats currently in the Houghton area and very impressive cloud burst just watched it get heavier and heavier and now the odd flicker of lightning. I am on a top floor flat btw thats how I can see! Very impressive although wouldn't like to be out in that downpour. I am about 7 miles away from the CB and it's still muggy and sticky here.

Sudden and brief downpours tend not to clear the air at all. You really need quite a long period of heavy to moderate rain to gradually cool things down.

[paul m]

The way things are going with the storms today Leeds is going to miss out

[Weather Wizard]

A slight eastwards shift on 12z

[Bluebreezer54]

Some odd weather phenomena out there on the Eastbourne coast this afternoon. Confined to the area from Pevensey Bay to Beachy Head, a terrific thick sea harr was just on the shore and no more than 2 miles out. Must have been the damp air over the Channel and the heat from the lovely sun this afternoon - not seen thsi for a while (I hope it is an omen for tomorrow!!)

and then the model glider boys were mixing it with the seagulls with some incredible thermals off the Downs. Must be a good sign of rising warm air surely??

No it wasnt confined to just that area Coast.. Had the same here at Fairlight/ Pett Level/ Winchelsea Beach/ Rye Harbour and Camber Sands. It cam about a hundred metres inland for most of the day, beyond that, clear blue skies all the way

[Coast]

Nice pics looks like your camera needs a clean though.

Ha, just doing it now! (thanks!) :lol:

[PersianPaladin]

Cheers PP take it that it didn't last long? Wish it would clear the air a bit its really muggy as I am sure it is un Durham!

Aye, it's not pleasant.