Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

Tropical heat, fierce thunderstorms, torrential rain and sever gales..........hmmmmm.  Mind you in Redhill we had a shower and a single clap of thunder this morning...that'll be it then

 

BFTP

Edited September 25, 2013 by BLAST FROM THE PAST

[Summer Sun]

Warning to drivers as fog expected to blanket Britain

 

THICK morning fog is expected to blanket Britain over the next few days sparking warnings for motorists to take extra care. Traffic jams began yesterday as the country was shrouded in a soupy veil of mist. And forecasters said dense fog will be a recurring theme at least until the end of the week, particularly in coastal regions. It comes as parts of the country enjoy an early autumn burst of warmth with daytime highs expected in the mid-70s this week. Highs of 74F (23.3C) were recorded in Surrey yesterday as the mercury nudged the high 60s elsewhere. However, experts warned that humid conditions could trigger thunderstorms by the weekend. Jonathan Powell, of Vantage Weather Services, said some ­isolated spots may feel close to the mid-80s. He added: “This muggy heat is likely to trigger thunderstorms by Saturday with some places in for very heavy showers.

 

The other issue we are expecting is fog, and more is likely over the next few mornings. But it will clear as the sun comes out.†The Met Office also issued a severe weather warning for fog yesterday morning and warned more is expected over the next few days. Yesterday’s fog delayed aspiring pilot Carol Vorderman from flying at Wellesbourne airfield, Warwickshire. The television presenter, 52, who is preparing to fly 30,000 miles around the world, tweeted: “Got a good flying week ahead – once this fog lifts.â€

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/431977/Warning-to-drivers-as-fog-expected-to-blanket-Britain

 

Cheers! Spectacular summer weather leads to bumper grape harvest at award-winning British vineyard (and the warms spell's not over yet)

 

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2431691/Spectacular-summer-weather-leads-bumper-grape-harvest-award-winning-British-vineyard--warms-spells-yet.html

 

Phew! UK is hotter than the Algarve

 

BRITAIN’S baking summer makes a shock return today as temperatures soar to a sizzling 23C.  The weather was so hot yesterday that sun-seekers flocked to the beach to soak up the rays. The Met Office said summer had returned with the UK hotter than Portugal’s Algarve. Weather experts predicted more sun and mainly dry skies with the south basking in temperatures of 20C until at least Sunday, although showers are forecast to return at the weekend. The north will also be warm with the thermometer reaching 19C today and 17C tomorrow, said MeteoGroup. Met Office forecaster Juliet Gardner said: “This is an extension of summer. Wednesday to Friday will be warm.â€

 

 

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/340759/Phew-UK-is-hotter-than-the-Algarve

[Coast]

 

Weather blog: Why councils are 'gritting' their teeth

 

"More Snow on the Way - Councils are Gritting Their Teeth"...so ran the headline in a local paper a few years ago. October is approaching and local authorities are preparing for their winter gritting operations.

 

Is it going to be a bad winter? That's a question I'm often asked and the short answer is... nobody knows at this stage!Winter gritting is a complicated process; spreading salt where it is not needed is a waste of taxpayers' money and not spreading where it is needed is ultimately dangerous both to road users and pedestrians.

 

The Met office has contracts with many local councils through their 'Open Road' service where bespoke forecasts are issued and updated throughout the day and night in periods of wintry weather. Real-time weather data from the road side is fed into the forecasting computer models to provide the best forecasts possible (you may have seen the automatic weather stations by the road-side.) For sure we will have spells of frost, snow and ice in the coming months and it is the job of us weather forecasters to inform the authorities of impending winter weather in good time. The advice is, as always, keep up to date with the latest weather forecast.

 

 

http://www.itv.com/news/calendar/2013-09-25/weather-blog-why-councils-are-gritting-their-teeth/

 

[Coast]

 

Rogue weather probe from Armagh washes up on north Wales beach

 

The device – which included a basic computer, video apparatus and data recording equipment carried by a helium-filled balloon – floated 120,000 feet to the edge of space when it was released in August. But the probe was lost when it was swept into Dundalk Bay by the wind as it descended.

 

The eight pupils who designed it as part of a science and technology bootcamp at the AmmA Centre in Armagh were left unable to retrieve the valuable information they had collected.

 

 

 

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/environment/rogue-weather-probe-from-armagh-washes-up-on-north-wales-beach-29611226.html

[Summer Sun]

Now we face a weekend of hail and storm chaos

 

FIERCE storms will batter Britain this weekend bringing flash floods and “typhoon-like†conditions, forecasters warned yesterday. Much of the country will be hit by heavy rain, strong winds, hail, thunder and lightning due to an outbreak of “argy-bargy†over the UK as several different weather systems collide. After two more days of unseasonably hot and muggy weather in many regions today and tomorrow, the South will bear the brunt of the chaotic conditions on Saturday before the storms push north over the weekend. Jonathan Powell, forecaster for Vantage Weather Services, said: “The worst of the storms are expected on Saturday across the South, although most of the country is in for wind and rain. “Several weather fronts are battling over the UK, leading to the warm temperatures but also triggering these unstable conditions. “Atmospheric conditions will be conducive to a rather turbulent outlook and in coastal regions typhoon-like winds could spark water spouts. “It is a mix of thunder, lightning, hail, rain and some strong winds at the weekend which could trigger some flash floods.†The Met Office said the West and Scotland can expect showers today but the South faces “a lot of rain†on Saturday.

 

Forecaster Mark Wilson added: “This burst of autumn warmth is seeing some very warm temperatures for the time of year. “Thursday and Friday look like seeing fine spells for many, with Thursday possibly in the low twenties at favoured spots and Friday up to 72F [22C]. “Saturday will see a lot of rain possible in the South, pushing north into Sunday. We’re keeping a very close eye on possible alerts.†Netweather warned: “Bit of argy-bargy with air masses today, cooler air winning today, warmth winning later in the week.†Forecaster Jo Farrow added: “By Friday, high pressure is over Scandinavia and several fronts are wavering over the UK, bringing a lot of cloud, south or south-east light winds and outbreaks of rain for western Britain.†James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, said the storms will continue to lash much of the country into next week but the South will enjoy more unseasonably warm temperatures. He said: “Throughout this weekend and into next week will bring a relatively unsettled theme and periods of heavy rain for many parts of the country, which will also be accompanied by some rather windy conditions at times. “There will be some warmer weather to be had at times in parts to the south of the country as we head into October.†Fog has caused chaos on the roads in recent days and more is expected. Motoring groups are warning drivers to take extra care.

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/432231/Now-we-face-a-weekend-of-hail-and-storm-chaos

 

 

 

[Methuselah]

Well, even though the Express makes it up, it's more entertaining (and a darned sight less pernicious) than their paranoid fantasies about Princess Diana...

[Coast]

If you can pick through the Express's dramatisation of the possible events, there is a crumb of truth in some of it. But Joe Public reading that would expect the end of the World come Saturday evening.

 

At least we have 'typhoon like' as phrase, I bet that changes to 'mini tornado' or 'mini hurricane' by the time the Sunday's get out!

[Coast]

 

 

Bumper harvest thanks to mixed weather: Best crop of apples and pumpkins for years because of wet spring and hot summer

• [*]Warm temperatures expected to continue over the weekend... but be joined by showers and even thunderstorms [*]South coast could be much cooler at the weekend, with temperatures falling to 15C [*]Clouds, rain and unsettled weather unlikely to herald an early autumn frost, the Met Office said
  

 

 

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2433512/UK-weather-Best-crop-apples-pumpkins-years-wet-spring-hot-summer.html#ixzz2g4cCXCKA 

[Jo Farrow]

#IPCC #AR5 the Secretary General of the WMO sweetly told the Mail on Sunday guy he had a "ill posted" question

in the live climate change conference in Stockholm this morning 

Read all about NO DOUBT this weekend

 

Read the science https://www.ipcc-wg1.unibe.ch/

 

Working Group 1's summary for policy makers around the globe

Edited September 27, 2013 by Jo Farrow

[Summer Sun]

Sunny blast to last into October as forecasters predict warm weather spell

 

BRITAIN’S sultry weather is expected to last into next week although storms are likely later tomorrow.  Forecasters said temperatures will stay above average for the time of year into the beginning of October. However they warned two weather systems “battling†over the UK could trigger strong winds and heavy rain tonight. Although showers could hit many parts of the UK over the next few days, the South-west is in line for the heaviest downpours. The Met Office said the UK is in for a “mixed bag†with wind and at times heavy rain broken by sunny spells. Spokesman Nicola Maxey said: “Temperatures are looking slightly above average over the weekend and into next week. “On Saturday there is some rain about and some of it is quite heavy with the risk of thunder, mainly in the South-west. “But elsewhere it will be drier with sunny spells, and it is a similar picture on Sunday and into the beginning of next week. “There is high pressure over the North and low pressure over the South and the weather is uncertain depending on which way they go, it is a bit of a mixed bag.â€

 

Jonathan Powell, forecaster for Vantage Weather Services, agreed it is a “warmer than average†picture lasting into the start of next month. He said temperatures will widely hit the late 60s and early 70s next week with some parts looking even warmer. “We are certainly going to hold onto the warmth over the next few days and into next week,†he said. “But there is a risk of some very heavy showers in the mix, particularly in the South, and coastal regions could see some strong winds. “There are currently two weather systems battling it out over the country, and this could make things quite unsettled.†Despite the warmer temperatures, autumn has started to appear around the UK with trees turning a seasonal mix of red, yellow and brown. Experts predict the cool spring and scorching summer have made ideal conditions for perfect leaf colour. The Morritt Country House Hotel, in County Durham, stands swathed in a crimson blanket of Virginia Creeper.

 

National Trust naturalist Matthew Oates said the hot summer resulted in high sugar levels in leaves which enhance colour. He said: “The leaves colour up particularly well after a hot summer, which we’ve just had. Frost and very wet weather impact on leaf colour too. “It’s not a definite science. The early indicators are good. “It could be a really good autumn for colour. It is a wonderful autumn for berries and fruits. It could well be a great one too for our leaf colour.â€Netweather forecaster Nick Finnis said: “Weather fronts will spread up from the south-west early next week, so turning increasingly unsettled. “It will be drier and brighter across Scotland early in the week, but showers or longer spells of rain will spread  northeast across all areas from mid-week and it will be breezy. “It will be quite warm in the south for the start of October, with temperatures perhaps still reaching 19-20C [68F] most days next week.â€

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/432669/Sunny-blast-to-last-into-October-as-forecasters-predict-warm-weather-spell

 

 

[Summer Sun]

Summer down the drain with the UK facing up to 10 days of rain

 

BRITAIN’S Indian Summer is due to end in a monsoon this weekend. Weathermen have warned that we face 10 days of showers and gales, with torrential rain in places. And temperatures – which have been higher than average for September – will soon plummet. Today will remain “rather warm†with sunny spells and highs of 22C (71F) in many areas – the seventh day in a row with temperatures over 21C.  But showers will hit the north-west and Scotland later, with heavy bands of rain sweeping south and threatening the Midlands tomorrow. Forecasters predict “showers or longer spells of rain†spreading to most parts on Tuesday. The change is blamed on soggy Atlantic low pressure. Met Office forecaster Mark Wilson warned: “We’re going to see wetter weather. Showers or longer rain spells will last until later next week.â€

 

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/341152/Summer-down-the-drain-with-the-UK-facing-up-to-10-days-of-rain

 

Climate change likely to turn UK's weather more extreme

 

Global trends identified by climate scientists suggest Britain will get more extreme rainfall, and wetter and warmer winters Warmer, wetter winters and more extreme rainfall are what the UK can expect from climate change, meteorological experts warned on Friday. Although the report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) does not go into detail on individual countries, the regional and global trends identified in the assessment can be extrapolated to reflect some of the likely impacts on Britain. Dr Peter Stott, of the Met Office, said more extreme rainfall was likely to be the most noticeable impact. "There is an increased risk of extremes. As the atmosphere warms, it can hold more moisture, so there is more to fall when there are conditions that produce rain." Those extremes would be reflected in temperature rises too, he said: "The warmest days will become hotter than they would have been."

 

However, scientists cautioned that natural variability will continue to play a big role in determining the UK's weather, so there will continue to be exceptional cold snaps and cool summers. New research not yet included in the IPCC also suggests there may be a link between the melting of the Arctic and duller, wetter summers in the UK, said Stott, but this is still in its early stages. And a further factor could complicate the picture in Britain. The IPCC report identified a potential weakening of a major system of ocean currents called the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). That weakening could slightly dampen the effects of warming on Europe. But Matt Collins of Exeter University said it was unlikely to cause an absolute cooling: "It could offset some of the warming, but really the greenhouse gas signal wins over the AMOC. It may be slightly less warm than it otherwise would have been."

 

Our seas are growing more acidic, too, and if this continues it could start to have an impact on marine life around the UK. A recent study found molluscs were likely to be particularly at risk. Oceans play a huge and as yet insufficiently well-understood role in absorbing the heat increases generated by greenhouse gas emissions – the IPCC authors suggested they had taken in at least 90% of the warming so far. If that is the case, could we forget about cutting emissions and leave the oceans to suck up the excess heat? No, said the IPCC – temperatures would continue to rise, as they have done in the last century.

 

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/sep/27/climate-change-uk-weather-ipcc

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC weather for the week ahead with Phil Avery

 

Windy

 

Mild

 

Wet at times

 

[Weather-history]

Now we face a weekend of hail and storm chaos FIERCE storms will batter Britain this weekend bringing flash floods and “typhoon-like†conditions, forecasters warned yesterday. Much of the country will be hit by heavy rain, strong winds, hail, thunder and lightning due to an outbreak of “argy-bargy†over the UK as several different weather systems collide. After two more days of unseasonably hot and muggy weather in many regions today and tomorrow, the South will bear the brunt of the chaotic conditions on Saturday before the storms push north over the weekend. Jonathan Powell, forecaster for Vantage Weather Services, said: “The worst of the storms are expected on Saturday across the South, although most of the country is in for wind and rain. “Several weather fronts are battling over the UK, leading to the warm temperatures but also triggering these unstable conditions. “Atmospheric conditions will be conducive to a rather turbulent outlook and in coastal regions typhoon-like winds could spark water spouts. “It is a mix of thunder, lightning, hail, rain and some strong winds at the weekend which could trigger some flash floods.†The Met Office said the West and Scotland can expect showers today but the South faces “a lot of rain†on Saturday. Forecaster Mark Wilson added: “This burst of autumn warmth is seeing some very warm temperatures for the time of year. “Thursday and Friday look like seeing fine spells for many, with Thursday possibly in the low twenties at favoured spots and Friday up to 72F [22C]. “Saturday will see a lot of rain possible in the South, pushing north into Sunday. We’re keeping a very close eye on possible alerts.†Netweather warned: “Bit of argy-bargy with air masses today, cooler air winning today, warmth winning later in the week.†Forecaster Jo Farrow added: “By Friday, high pressure is over Scandinavia and several fronts are wavering over the UK, bringing a lot of cloud, south or south-east light winds and outbreaks of rain for western Britain.†James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, said the storms will continue to lash much of the country into next week but the South will enjoy more unseasonably warm temperatures. He said: “Throughout this weekend and into next week will bring a relatively unsettled theme and periods of heavy rain for many parts of the country, which will also be accompanied by some rather windy conditions at times. “There will be some warmer weather to be had at times in parts to the south of the country as we head into October.†Fog has caused chaos on the roads in recent days and more is expected. Motoring groups are warning drivers to take extra care.  http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/432231/Now-we-face-a-weekend-of-hail-and-storm-chaos  

So what went wrong?

[Summer Sun]

So what went wrong?

 

The most annoying thing for me is they quote netweather along side the usual suspects who just over hype things

[Coast]

So what went wrong?

 

Over-enthusiasm for cataclysmic headlines?

 

Extreme weather is just one factor insurers need to consider

 

It ranks among the worst catastrophes to hit postwar Germany. Thousands were forced to flee their homes in June after two of the country’s biggest rivers burst their banks, saturating low-lying areas. Just weeks later, a similar disaster struck almost 5,000 miles away. The Canadian city of Calgary declared a state of emergency as the worst flood in decades ravaged swaths of Alberta.

 

Certainly the number of global weather-related catastrophes varies significantly from year to year. Even so, the latest disasters contribute to a trend the insurance industry has observed for decades: the frequency of events that require them to make payouts is on the rise. Data from reinsurance group Munich Re that compensate for year-to-year fluctuations show a near ninefold rise since 1980 in losses to the insurance industry arising from weather-related catastrophes, after adjusting for inflation.

 

Global economic losses from weather-related events came to about $150bn in 2012, according to Munich Re, of which $55bn were insured losses. This raises the question of whether the trend can be reversed – and if not, who should foot the bill. Some leading insurance executives have warned that the rising costs threaten the continued provision of important types of coverage at affordable levels, particularly for flood-related damage in vulnerable regions. In a report this year, the Geneva Association, trade body for the global insurance industry, warned that “a shift†was taking place towards a “new normal†for a number of insurance-relevant hazards.

It claimed that parts of the developed world, including the US state of Florida, were facing “a risk environment that is uninsurableâ€. However, the role of climate change in contributing to the rise in insurance losses remains contentious.

 

Economic growth has played a much more important role, say several scientists and insurance executives. Rising insurance losses driven by development are not necessarily problematic as they should be accompanied by a corresponding increase in premium income. “The main drivers of the [rising] losses are mainly increases in population and in wealth,†says Ernst Rauch, head of the corporate climate centre at the reinsurer Munich Re. He says in some regions – the US and parts of Europe – “it is likely there is a connection between the changing weather patterns and the lossesâ€, but adds that the effect is impossible to quantify. Robert Muir-Wood, chief research officer at the catastrophe modelling agency RMS, says climate change is likely to play only a very small role, if any, in contributing to the rise in losses for insurers that provide flood cover.

 

“Clearly global temperatures have risen... [but] scientifically, we can’t actually demonstrate that climate change has altered flood risk.†The impact climate change might be having on insurance policy terms or premium levels is even more debatable. The insurance industry is awash with capital – not least as pension funds increasingly invest in the sector through securities such as catastrophe bonds. These competitive forces are keeping a lid on the premiums that large sections of the industry can charge. Paul Miller, international head of catastrophe management at Aon Benfield, the reinsurance broker, says: “People are aware of climate change. But it’s one of many factors for insurers and I don’t so far see it as leading to a withdrawal of products.â€

 

This is not least because the terms of annual policies are renewed each year, minimising the extent to which insurers need to incorporate any projected impact of long-term climate change risks into annual policies. Even so, insurers are concerned about a phenomenon that has accompanied economic growth: increased building in risky locations, as commercial and industrial developments take place on low-cost greenfield sites. John Fitzpatrick, head of the Geneva Association, has called on governments to tighten building restrictions, as well as to invest more in flood defences, to mitigate the fallout from extreme weather hazards. The question of who will bear the costs of future flood-related damage – insurers, governments or individual policyholders – has become a highly politicised subject in several countries in recent years.

 

The matter came to a head in the UK this summer after insurers warned their commitment to provide universal flood cover to all households had become unsustainable – partly because of inadequate government investment in flood defences. Just weeks before the existing agreement between insurers and the government was due to expire, potentially leaving hundreds of thousands of households without affordable cover, the two sides agreed to set up a new scheme known as Flood Re. The pooling scheme would be funded by a £10.50 levy on every policyholder to subsidise insurance for high-risk households.

 

However, taxpayers would be in line to cover the costs of extreme flooding, namely a disaster of the magnitude that would be expected to occur once every 200 years. Moreover, homes built since 2009 would not be covered by the scheme. In the US, policyholders in vulnerable locations are facing sharp increases in premium levels because of a recent overhaul to the government-funded flood insurance programme. The changes align premium levels more closely with the real – in the jargon, “actuarial†– risks presented by each policyholder. This has led some homeowners to complain they are facing tenfold rises in insurance premiums, running into tens of thousands of dollars a year, over the next decade.

 

Yet Mr Muir-Wood, a leading author on reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, says for now climate change is not driving industry concerns about the provision of flood insurance. Instead, he says, developments in catastrophe modelling technology are giving insurers more detail about the risks presented by each household – prompting them to want to price risks accordingly. “It may be convenient for people to label this as a consequence of climate change but it’s really not,†he says. “People have been used to the idea that insurance is a flat-rated commodity like mortgage rates, or the price of petrol,†he adds “But once you start getting in to the reality of risk, you see extremely strong localised variations. “That is a basic reality of flood risk that society has to confront. Once you start modelling it at very high resolution, you see how variable it is.â€

 

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/a25f25e6-0684-11e3-9bd9-00144feab7de.html#axzz2gMfHxwLi

 

[Summer Sun]

Summer is officially over - brace yourself for torrential downpours this week

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/433663/Summer-is-officially-over-brace-yourself-for-torrential-downpours-this-week

[Coast]

 

UK weather: Flooding fears as torrential rain is forecast

 

Met Office forecasts that as much as a third of the monthly average rainfall for October could hit the parts of England in a single day

 

Weather warnings have been issued as some areas face more than a week’s rainfall tomorrow. Storms are likely and drivers have been told to expect hour-long bursts that could cause flooding. Motorists have been warned to take extra care as downpours could lead to surface level road floods. The Met Office said. 50mm of rain could fall in just one day - a third of the monthly average.

 

A spokesman said: “We could see 20mm in one hour.  you consider we get 150mm in October on average, it’s quite a lot.†The South of England, Wales, the Midlands and North West could all be hit.  the Met Office said: “It should clear by 

 

 

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-heavy-rain-forecast-2329119#ixzz2gXvX0AMs 

[Coast]

 

I'm S.A.D. Should we talk about the weather?

 

Emotionally and sartorially, this between-seasons weather is sending us all slightly mad. Stay strong, people, says Mathew Horne

 

.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/men/thinking-man/10350911/Im-S.A.D.-Should-we-talk-about-the-weather.html

[Summer Sun]

Warm spell continues into October

 

AS the nights start to draw in there is no doubt autumn is well underway. Yet there is more welcome warm weather coming, according to Britain’s favourite weatherman, and “at the moment it is looking pleasantâ€. But Michael warned: “Whether this month turns out stormy is anybody’s guess after the next 10 days. “We’re into October now and the nights are getting noticeably longer and the days shorter. “Any day now we can expect the first frosts of the season and some foggy mornings, similar to those at the end of last month which led to some disruption. “All in all, September was rather a boring month with normal temperatures and somewhat below average sunshine and rainfall. “We had nothing of the floods of last year nor a repeat of the chill that made it the coldest since 1994.â€

 

 

He said October is historically the “stormiest month of the year†and the great storm of 1987, famed for Michael’s erroneous “don’t worry†prediction, is proof. He explained that a high-pressure “blocking†system is currently responsible for warm air sweeping in from the South, keeping temperatures above-average. However a similar blocking trend closer to the beginning of winter could trigger a frosty, snowy end to the year. Michael said: “As we head into winter, winds – rather than coming from the South – will head in from the East. If this happens then we can expect it to be cold and snowy.â€

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/434417/Warm-spell-continues-into-October

 

Indian summer to hit Britain as temperatures reach 75F

 

BRITAIN will bask in a week-long “Indian summer†from today as a burst of warm air sweeps in from the Continent. Temperatures are expected to soar to around 75F (23C) in places. Forecasters said the best of the warmth will be in the South, although everywhere will enjoy dry conditions with long spells of sunshine. It comes after torrential downpours and floods blighted swathes of the country in the past few days. Worst hit was the South-west where traffic ground to a halt and households were forced to line up sand bags in case of flooding. Wind and rain continued to batter parts of the South and West yesterday morning and the Environment Agency issued flood alerts across Devon. In the South-east, the RNLI was called out to rescue two people aboard a stricken boat off Eastbourne which ran into difficulty during a violent storm. Today, however, the stormy weather should be over.

 

Jonathan Powell, forecaster for Vantage Weather Services, said: “We are in for that Indian summer for which we have been hoping. “Virtually the entire UK will see warm, dry weather with temperatures comfortably getting into the 70s – and high 70s in the South. “This is certainly the best spell of weather we will have seen since the summer and is set to last at least into next weekend.†The dramatic turnaround is thanks to a huge area of high pressure which will draw warm air in from Europe. The Met Office also said most places will be dry and settled for the next few days with any significant showers confined to the North-west.

 

Netweather said much of Britain is in for a dry, calm start to the weekend. However, forecaster Jo Farrow said there may be a risk of some early morning frost and blustery spells in Scotland.

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/434419/Indian-summer-to-hit-Britain-as-temperatures-reach-75F

 

Summer returns to the UK with high temperatures forecast for October

 

THIS month is set to be a scorcher with temperatures more usual for July. This weekend will see 21C across much of the country, kicking off a week of summery weather. And forecasters reckon the sunshine will put Britain on course for a toasty Halloween. Parts of the country will be even warmer than Spanish capital Madrid. Northern England and Scotland will see highs of 20C today – which is warmer than Cape Town in South Africa and up to 10C higher than the average of 12.5C for this time of year. High pressure has been credited for the surprise blast of warmth. Met Office forecaster Lindsay Mears said: “Rain died down yesterday and a more pleasant week is ahead, with sunshine and temperatures definitely above average for the time of year.†Channel 4 weatherman Liam Dutton added: “England and Wales are likely to see sunshine and warmth into next week.†The news comes after the UK enjoyed one of the hottest summers on record.

 

Sun-loving Brits enjoyed weeks of heat in July, with the mercury above 30 for six days. And the latest news has given another boost to recession-hit tourism chiefs, who enjoyed one of their best summers in years. One travel insider said: “When it’s this nice outside, people want to get out and about to enjoy all the attractions on their doorstep. “The summer holidays are long gone, so most people will take any chance they have to head out for the day. “And that’s good news for the attractions, shops and cafes who are going to serve them.†Britain enjoyed its warmest October day for 100 years in 2011 when 30C temperatures in Yorkshire saw thousands dig out their shorts and bikinis and head back to the beach.

 

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/342952/Summer-returns-to-the-UK-with-high-temperatures-forecast-for-October

Edited October 5, 2013 by Summer Sun

[The Enforcer]

Summer is officially over - brace yourself for torrential downpours this week

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/433663/Summer-is-officially-over-brace-yourself-for-torrential-downpours-this-week

 

 

 

 

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-heavy-rain-forecast-2329119#ixzz2gXvX0AMs 

 

 

I didn't have much time to analyse the forecasts and the actuals this week, but a mate of mine who lives in London did it for me:

 

"Here is a breakdown of the national weather forecast accuracy so far this week.

Tuesday: forecast: heavy rain; actual: no rain.

Wednesday: forecast: severe weather warning for heavy rain and thunder; actual: light rain.

Thursday: forecast heavy rain; actual: no rain.

Friday: forecast no rain; actual: sunshine and rain showers."

Edited October 5, 2013 by The Enforcer

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

Warm spell continues into October

 

AS the nights start to draw in there is no doubt autumn is well underway. Yet there is more welcome warm weather coming, according to Britain’s favourite weatherman, and “at the moment it is looking pleasantâ€. But Michael warned: “Whether this month turns out stormy is anybody’s guess after the next 10 days. “We’re into October now and the nights are getting noticeably longer and the days shorter. “Any day now we can expect the first frosts of the season and some foggy mornings, similar to those at the end of last month which led to some disruption. “All in all, September was rather a boring month with normal temperatures and somewhat below average sunshine and rainfall. “We had nothing of the floods of last year nor a repeat of the chill that made it the coldest since 1994.â€

 

 

He said October is historically the “stormiest month of the year†and the great storm of 1987, famed for Michael’s erroneous “don’t worry†prediction, is proof. He explained that a high-pressure “blocking†system is currently responsible for warm air sweeping in from the South, keeping temperatures above-average. However a similar blocking trend closer to the beginning of winter could trigger a frosty, snowy end to the year. Michael said: “As we head into winter, winds – rather than coming from the South – will head in from the East. If this happens then we can expect it to be cold and snowy.â€

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/434417/Warm-spell-continues-into-October

 

Indian summer to hit Britain as temperatures reach 75F

 

BRITAIN will bask in a week-long “Indian summer†from today as a burst of warm air sweeps in from the Continent. Temperatures are expected to soar to around 75F (23C) in places. Forecasters said the best of the warmth will be in the South, although everywhere will enjoy dry conditions with long spells of sunshine. It comes after torrential downpours and floods blighted swathes of the country in the past few days. Worst hit was the South-west where traffic ground to a halt and households were forced to line up sand bags in case of flooding. Wind and rain continued to batter parts of the South and West yesterday morning and the Environment Agency issued flood alerts across Devon. In the South-east, the RNLI was called out to rescue two people aboard a stricken boat off Eastbourne which ran into difficulty during a violent storm. Today, however, the stormy weather should be over.

 

Jonathan Powell, forecaster for Vantage Weather Services, said: “We are in for that Indian summer for which we have been hoping. “Virtually the entire UK will see warm, dry weather with temperatures comfortably getting into the 70s – and high 70s in the South. “This is certainly the best spell of weather we will have seen since the summer and is set to last at least into next weekend.†The dramatic turnaround is thanks to a huge area of high pressure which will draw warm air in from Europe. The Met Office also said most places will be dry and settled for the next few days with any significant showers confined to the North-west.

 

Netweather said much of Britain is in for a dry, calm start to the weekend. However, forecaster Jo Farrow said there may be a risk of some early morning frost and blustery spells in Scotland.

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/434419/Indian-summer-to-hit-Britain-as-temperatures-reach-75F

 

Summer returns to the UK with high temperatures forecast for October

 

THIS month is set to be a scorcher with temperatures more usual for July. This weekend will see 21C across much of the country, kicking off a week of summery weather. And forecasters reckon the sunshine will put Britain on course for a toasty Halloween. Parts of the country will be even warmer than Spanish capital Madrid. Northern England and Scotland will see highs of 20C today – which is warmer than Cape Town in South Africa and up to 10C higher than the average of 12.5C for this time of year. High pressure has been credited for the surprise blast of warmth. Met Office forecaster Lindsay Mears said: “Rain died down yesterday and a more pleasant week is ahead, with sunshine and temperatures definitely above average for the time of year.†Channel 4 weatherman Liam Dutton added: “England and Wales are likely to see sunshine and warmth into next week.†The news comes after the UK enjoyed one of the hottest summers on record.

 

Sun-loving Brits enjoyed weeks of heat in July, with the mercury above 30 for six days. And the latest news has given another boost to recession-hit tourism chiefs, who enjoyed one of their best summers in years. One travel insider said: “When it’s this nice outside, people want to get out and about to enjoy all the attractions on their doorstep. “The summer holidays are long gone, so most people will take any chance they have to head out for the day. “And that’s good news for the attractions, shops and cafes who are going to serve them.†Britain enjoyed its warmest October day for 100 years in 2011 when 30C temperatures in Yorkshire saw thousands dig out their shorts and bikinis and head back to the beach.

 

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/342952/Summer-returns-to-the-UK-with-high-temperatures-forecast-for-October

First its over then it returns, they want to make up their minds.  Oh and that warmer wetter winters because of climate change...whats gone wrong?

 

BFTP

[Captain Shortwave]

Warm spell continues into October

 

AS the nights start to draw in there is no doubt autumn is well underway. Yet there is more welcome warm weather coming, according to Britain’s favourite weatherman, and “at the moment it is looking pleasantâ€. But Michael warned: “Whether this month turns out stormy is anybody’s guess after the next 10 days. “We’re into October now and the nights are getting noticeably longer and the days shorter. “Any day now we can expect the first frosts of the season and some foggy mornings, similar to those at the end of last month which led to some disruption. “All in all, September was rather a boring month with normal temperatures and somewhat below average sunshine and rainfall. “We had nothing of the floods of last year nor a repeat of the chill that made it the coldest since 1994.â€

 

 

He said October is historically the “stormiest month of the year†and the great storm of 1987, famed for Michael’s erroneous “don’t worry†prediction, is proof. He explained that a high-pressure “blocking†system is currently responsible for warm air sweeping in from the South, keeping temperatures above-average. However a similar blocking trend closer to the beginning of winter could trigger a frosty, snowy end to the year. Michael said: “As we head into winter, winds – rather than coming from the South – will head in from the East. If this happens then we can expect it to be cold and snowy.â€

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/434417/Warm-spell-continues-into-October

 

Indian summer to hit Britain as temperatures reach 75F

 

BRITAIN will bask in a week-long “Indian summer†from today as a burst of warm air sweeps in from the Continent. Temperatures are expected to soar to around 75F (23C) in places. Forecasters said the best of the warmth will be in the South, although everywhere will enjoy dry conditions with long spells of sunshine. It comes after torrential downpours and floods blighted swathes of the country in the past few days. Worst hit was the South-west where traffic ground to a halt and households were forced to line up sand bags in case of flooding. Wind and rain continued to batter parts of the South and West yesterday morning and the Environment Agency issued flood alerts across Devon. In the South-east, the RNLI was called out to rescue two people aboard a stricken boat off Eastbourne which ran into difficulty during a violent storm. Today, however, the stormy weather should be over.

 

Jonathan Powell, forecaster for Vantage Weather Services, said: “We are in for that Indian summer for which we have been hoping. “Virtually the entire UK will see warm, dry weather with temperatures comfortably getting into the 70s – and high 70s in the South. “This is certainly the best spell of weather we will have seen since the summer and is set to last at least into next weekend.†The dramatic turnaround is thanks to a huge area of high pressure which will draw warm air in from Europe. The Met Office also said most places will be dry and settled for the next few days with any significant showers confined to the North-west.

 

Netweather said much of Britain is in for a dry, calm start to the weekend. However, forecaster Jo Farrow said there may be a risk of some early morning frost and blustery spells in Scotland.

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/434419/Indian-summer-to-hit-Britain-as-temperatures-reach-75F

 

Summer returns to the UK with high temperatures forecast for October

 

THIS month is set to be a scorcher with temperatures more usual for July. This weekend will see 21C across much of the country, kicking off a week of summery weather. And forecasters reckon the sunshine will put Britain on course for a toasty Halloween. Parts of the country will be even warmer than Spanish capital Madrid. Northern England and Scotland will see highs of 20C today – which is warmer than Cape Town in South Africa and up to 10C higher than the average of 12.5C for this time of year. High pressure has been credited for the surprise blast of warmth. Met Office forecaster Lindsay Mears said: “Rain died down yesterday and a more pleasant week is ahead, with sunshine and temperatures definitely above average for the time of year.†Channel 4 weatherman Liam Dutton added: “England and Wales are likely to see sunshine and warmth into next week.†The news comes after the UK enjoyed one of the hottest summers on record.

 

Sun-loving Brits enjoyed weeks of heat in July, with the mercury above 30 for six days. And the latest news has given another boost to recession-hit tourism chiefs, who enjoyed one of their best summers in years. One travel insider said: “When it’s this nice outside, people want to get out and about to enjoy all the attractions on their doorstep. “The summer holidays are long gone, so most people will take any chance they have to head out for the day. “And that’s good news for the attractions, shops and cafes who are going to serve them.†Britain enjoyed its warmest October day for 100 years in 2011 when 30C temperatures in Yorkshire saw thousands dig out their shorts and bikinis and head back to the beach.

 

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/342952/Summer-returns-to-the-UK-with-high-temperatures-forecast-for-October

I wonder if they will change the story today to "first Arctic blast to hit this week" 

[draztik]

I wonder if they will change the story today to "first Arctic blast to hit this week" 

cant you write it? Your forecast analysis is usually on par with the express...

[Methuselah]

cant you write it? Your forecast analysis is usually on par with the express...

A feat accomplished by many?

[Captain Shortwave]

 

A feat accomplished by many?

 We can only go by what the models say in the end. And what's the fun in not having a little ramp on good looking charts. Though there does seen to be a case of pot and kettle with someone's post on here. Whether it's a heatwave or the second coming of Noah's Ark 

Edited October 6, 2013 by Captain shortwave