678 replies to this topic

[Don]

A general upgrade today from the Met Office for both their 6-15 and 16 to 30 day forecasts which is nice to see. If next week's northerly does end up being a damp squib, the following week looks like it could be better as illustrated in the forecast and also in the model output. Lets hope it holds!

Edited by Don, 10 February 2012 - 13:25 .

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 16 Feb 2012 to Saturday 25 Feb 2012:

Apart from the odd shower, much of the UK will be dry on Thursday with temperatures near normal. A weakening band of rain though will move southeastwards across the country on Friday with colder and windier conditions following on behind. Next weekend is likely to remain rather unsettled, cold and windy with spells of rain or showers and the risk of nighttime frosts. Some sleet and snow is likely over the hills and perhaps to lower levels at times in the north and east, with the best of any drier and brighter spells likely in the south and southwest. The unsettled and rather cold conditions are then likely to continue throughout the rest of the forecast period with further spells of rain and perhaps sleet and snow.
Updated: 1150 on Sat 11 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 17 Feb 2012 to Sunday 26 Feb 2012:

A weakening band of rain will move southeastwards across the country on Friday with colder and windier conditions following on behind, with gales possible. Next weekend is likely to remain rather unsettled, with spells of rain or showers and the risk of nighttime frosts. Some sleet and snow is likely over the hills and perhaps to lower levels at times in the north, with the best of any drier and brighter intervals likely in the south. This changeable, and at times rather cold and unsettled weather, is then likely to continue throughout the rest of this forecast period, with further spells of rain and perhaps some sleet and snow, particularly in the north. An ongoing risk of overnight frost, especially during any quieter interludes.
Updated: 1123 on Sun 12 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Gavin D]

UK Outlook for Saturday 18 Feb 2012 to Monday 27 Feb 2012:

This weekend is likely to remain rather unsettled, with rain or showers and brisk winds affecting many areas, and with showers wintry in the north and perhaps east, especially on Sunday. A brief ridge of high pressure is expected to move across the UK on Monday, bringing a sunnier day, but the risk of a widespread frost overnight. Changeable, and at times very unsettled weather, is likely to continue throughout the rest of this forecast period, with further spells of rain interspersed with clearer and colder conditions, with a snow risk for northern and western high ground. Temperatures on the whole look to maintain around average values, but there will be an ongoing risk of overnight frost, especially during any quieter interludes.

Updated: 1156 on Mon 13 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Edited by Gavin D, 13 February 2012 - 12:03 .

[Gavin D]

UK Outlook for Sunday 19 Feb 2012 to Tuesday 28 Feb 2012:

Much of the UK will be dry and cold at the start of the period, with some sunny intervals. Scattered snow showers are expected across Scotland though, with gales in exposure. Rain is expected to spread form the west later on Monday (20th) turning to snow as it hits the cold air over the UK, giving some temporary accumulations. The rest of the period then shows signs of turning generally more unsettled and windy, especially in the northwest of the country, with bands of rain interspersed with cooler, more showery weather. The south and southeast look to be driest but there will be some rain here at times. Temperatures should recover to nearer normal but overnight frosts cannot be ruled out during clearer periods of weather.

Updated: 1200 on Tue 14 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Edited by Gavin D, 14 February 2012 - 12:21 .

[feb1991blizzard]

Looks on the face of it that they have amended the forecast again in mid afternoon but checking it off against the version amended at noon posted above by Gavin D there is no difference. Strange.

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 21 Feb 2012 to Thursday 1 Mar 2012:

Wet, windy but rather mild to start. Rain heaviest in the west, especially on hills, while eastern areas will generally have less rain. During Wednesday brighter, cooler, and more showery weather will spread southeastwards, with some snow on high ground in the north, and gales or severe gales in northwestern areas. Staying unsettled later in the week, with occasional bands of rain, heaviest in the west, interspersed with some cooler more showery periods. Occasionally some hill snow over northern hills. Temperatures generally around normal or even mild at times but still some risk of nighttime frosts. Continuing changeable through the weekend and following week, with cloudier and wetter periods punctuated by clearer and cooler spells. The southeast is likely to be more settled. Temperatures around normal with occasional frosts.
Updated: 1150 on Thu 16 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 22 Feb 2012 to Friday 2 Mar 2012:

Cloudy and mild with spells of rain and drizzle at first, most persistent in western areas, and drier in the south and east. Windy for most, with gales or severe gales in northwestern areas. Staying unsettled later in the week, with occasional bands of rain, heaviest in the west, interspersed with cooler more showery periods. Occasionally there may be some hill snow in the north. Temperatures mild, locally very mild. The weekend and much of the following week will be changeable, with cloudier, milder, and wetter periods punctuated by clearer and cooler spells, with the southeast likely to be more settled. Temperatures mostly around or above normal, but there is a small probability of a colder spell with and an increased risk of snow.
Updated: 1136 on Fri 17 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 23 Feb 2012 to Saturday 3 Mar 2012:

Cloudy with occasional rain in the north and west Thursday, with drier brighter conditions prevalent across the south and east, allowing it to become very mild here. Rain spreading southeast across the UK through Friday followed by brighter conditions with some showers in the north and west. Generally windy across the UK through this period, with gales at times across the northwest and temperatures returning nearer to normal by Saturday. The rest of the weekend and much of the following week will be changeable, with cloudier, milder, and wetter periods punctuated by clearer and colder spells, with the southeast likely to be more settled at times. Temperatures mostly around or above normal, but there is an increasing probability of colder spells with wintry showers mainly in the north.
Updated: 1216 on Sat 18 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Gavin D]

UK Outlook for Friday 24 Feb 2012 to Sunday 4 Mar 2012:

The start of the period will see a transition from the initially very mild, but largely cloudy conditions with outbreaks of rain, to a brighter but colder regime with a chance of showers across northern and western parts by Saturday. However, it is likely to remain windy across most parts, with a risk of gales across northern and western areas. The rest of the first weekend and much of the following week is likely to be rather changeable, with cloudier, milder, and wetter periods punctuated by clearer and colder spells with a chance of showers and heightened risk of overnight frosts. Southeastern areas are likely to see the best of any drier and more settled conditions.

Updated: 1159 on Sun 19 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 25 Feb 2012 to Monday 5 Mar 2012:

The end of February and the beginning of March looks set to be rather changeable, particularly across the north of the UK, with cloudy, mild and wet periods, punctuated by brighter, colder but showery interludes. During the colder spells these northern areas are likely to see a risk of overnight frost developing, with some snow possible over higher ground. It is also likely to be rather windy at times, with a risk of gales in some places. Further south conditions are likely to be somewhat drier and more settled generally, with the best of any sunshine here and temperatures around, or perhaps slightly above average. However, these areas also subject to some unsettled spells at times, with outbreaks of rain and strong winds, spreading from the north.
Updated: 1139 on Mon 20 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Gavin D]

UK Outlook for Sunday 26 Feb 2012 to Tuesday 6 Mar 2012:

This period looks set to be rather changeable across the north of the UK, with cloudy, mild and wet episodes punctuated by brighter, colder but showery interludes. During the colder spells these northern areas are likely to see overnight frost in places, with some snow possible over higher ground. It is also likely to be rather windy at times, with a risk of gales around coasts and hills. Further south, conditions are likely to be more settled, with the best of any sunshine here and temperatures around, or perhaps slightly above average, though colder nights are increasingly likely towards the start of March. Spells of rain and stronger winds are likely at times, but southeast Britain is more likely than not to see only small accumulations of rain.

Updated: 1137 on Tue 21 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Edited by Gavin D, 21 February 2012 - 12:15 .

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 27 Feb 2012 to Wednesday 7 Mar 2012:

This period looks set to be rather changeable across the north of the UK, with cloudy, mild and wet episodes punctuated by brighter, colder but showery interludes. During the colder spells these northern areas are likely to see overnight frost in places, with some snow possible over higher ground. Strong winds are also likely at times, with a risk of gales around coasts and hills. Further south, conditions are expected to be more settled and generally on the mild side, although there is a small chance of colder conditions returning towards the end of the period. Spells of mainly light rain or drizzle are likely at times, but southeast Britain is more likely than not to see only small accumulations of rain.
Updated: 1144 on Wed 22 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 28 Feb 2012 to Thursday 8 Mar 2012:

This period looks set to be rather changeable across the north of the UK, with cloudy, mild and wet episodes punctuated by brighter, colder but showery interludes. During the colder spells these northern areas are likely to see overnight frost in places, with some snow possible over higher ground. Strong winds are also likely at times, with a risk of gales around coasts and hills. Further south, conditions are expected to be more settled and generally on the mild side, although there is a small chance of colder conditions returning towards the end of the period. Spells of mainly light rain or drizzle are likely at times, but southeast Britain is more likely than not to see only small accumulations of rain.
Updated: 1126 on Thu 23 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 29 Feb 2012 to Friday 9 Mar 2012:

Northern and western parts of the United Kingdom are likely to have generally unsettled weather, with showers and longer periods of rain throughout. These unsettled conditions will probably spread southwards and eastwards during the first week of March, with outbreaks of rain affecting many places. However, southeastern England is likely to stay relatively settled for much of the period and as a result, rainfall totals here will be lowest. Temperatures are likely to be average or a little above average for the time of year, although with frost possible during any quieter, more settled periods, mainly in the south. Strong winds are also likely at times, with a risk of gales around coasts and hills in the north and northwest of the UK.
Updated: 1135 on Fri 24 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 1 Mar 2012 to Saturday 10 Mar 2012:

Northern and western parts of the United Kingdom are likely to have generally unsettled weather, with showers and longer periods of rain throughout. Temperatures are likely to be often close to or just above average with a chance of some slightly colder interludes later. Southern, eastern and central areas are likely to remain more settled though, and although there will probably be some rain at times, a good deal of dry weather is likely leaving conditions drier than average for the time of year. Temperatures here often mild or very mild, especially at first, though still a chance of occasional overnight frost and fog. Strong winds are also likely at times, with a risk of gales around coasts and hills in the north and northwest of the UK.
Updated: 1157 on Sat 25 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 2 Mar 2012 to Sunday 11 Mar 2012:

Northern and western parts of the United Kingdom are likely to have generally unsettled weather, with showers and longer periods of rain at times throughout. Temperatures are likely to be often close to or just above average with a chance of some slightly colder interludes later. Southern, eastern and central areas are likely to remain more settled though, and although there will probably be some rain at times, a good deal of dry weather is likely leaving conditions drier than average for the time of year. Temperatures here often mild or very mild, especially at first, though still a chance of occasional overnight frost and fog. Strong winds are also likely at times, with a risk of gales around coasts and hills in the north and northwest of the UK.
Updated: 1144 on Sun 26 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 3 Mar 2012 to Monday 12 Mar 2012:

Starting mild and dry in eastern parts, however occasionally heavy rain in the west should soon move east on brisk winds, moderating temperatures somewhat. Rain may linger over southern districts for a time into the new week, perhaps bringing some significant rainfall to drier eastern parts. Colder, more showery conditions will increasingly follow from the west, with the showers occasionally wintry in the north. Later in the week and around the following weekend, conditions look to remain rather cold and unsettled, with further rain separated by brighter, more showery interludes, with occasional overnight frosts. Temperatures will be low enough for some snowfall in upland areas, especially in northern UK. Longer drier spells may develop near the end of the period in the north and perhaps too in the west.
Updated: 1108 on Mon 27 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 4 Mar 2012 to Tuesday 13 Mar 2012:

Outbreaks of rain are expected across most parts at first, perhaps turning heavy, with brisk winds giving a risk of gales in exposed spots. Becoming much cooler than of late. Rain should ease on Monday for a time, although further rain is likely to spread from the northwest through Tuesday with strong winds persisting. Through the remainder of the period, conditions look to remain unsettled, with temperatures generally a little below the average. Further bands of rain are expected to spread from the west through the period, separated by brighter, more showery interludes. Occasional overnight frosts are possible in clearer, quieter spells. Temperatures may be low enough for some snowfall over hills, especially in northern UK.
Updated: 1212 on Tue 28 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 5 Mar 2012 to Wednesday 14 Mar 2012:

Colder than of late with rain or showers and hill snow likely just at first, perhaps heavy, with a risk of gales in exposed spots. Cold and largely clear conditions are likely to prevail through Tuesday and Wednesday with a risk of widespread overnight frost, although further wet and windy conditions may return in the northwest. Through the remainder of the period conditions will be changeable, with bands of rain spreading from the west at times to bring cloudy, sometimes windy conditions to the UK, although amounts of rainfall in the south and east are likely to be small. These separated by colder, brighter and more showery interludes. Overnight frosts are likely in clearer, quieter spells. Temperatures may be low enough for some snowfall over hills, especially in northern UK.
Updated: 1227 on Wed 29 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html