METO UK Further Outlook 16 Day To 30 Forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 27 Apr 2012 to Friday 11 May 2012:

Many areas remaining on the unsettled side with showers or longer spells of rain but also some drier, brighter periods too. Daytime temperatures should often be close to or a little below average for many. There may be some chilly nights during any quieter interludes, so there is scope for occasional frosts in rural areas inland.

Updated: 1259 on Thu 12 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 28 Apr 2012 to Saturday 12 May 2012:

The end of April looks likely to remain unsettled with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain although there should also be some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will generally be close to or below the seasonal average, and it will feel cool in the rain. Through the start of May, conditions may turn more settled across southern England for a time, with a greater chance of some drier and sunnier weather. Further north, it looks likely to stay unsettled with further rain at times, particularly across northwest England and western parts of Scotland.

Updated: 1259 on Fri 13 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 29 Apr 2012 to Sunday 13 May 2012:

The end of April looks likely to remain unsettled with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain although there should also be some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will generally be close to or below the seasonal average, and it will feel cool in the rain. Through the start of May, conditions may turn more settled across southern England for a time, with a greater chance of some drier and sunnier weather. Further north, it looks likely to stay unsettled with further rain at times, particularly across northwest England and western parts of Scotland.

Updated: 1238 on Sat 14 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 30 Apr 2012 to Monday 14 May 2012:

The end of April and start of May look likely to remain unsettled with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain, although there should also be some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will generally be close to or below the seasonal average, and it will feel cool in the rain. Through the first week of May and towards mid-month, conditions may turn more settled across southern England for a time, with a greater chance of some drier and sunnier weather than of late. Further north, it looks likely to stay unsettled with further rain at times, particularly across northwest England as well as northern and western parts of Scotland.

Updated: 1259 on Sun 15 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 1 May 2012 to Tuesday 15 May 2012:

The start of May looks likely to remain unsettled with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain, although there should also be some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will generally be close to or below the seasonal average, and it will feel cool in the rain. Later in the first week of May, conditions may turn more settled across southern England for a time, with a greater chance of some drier and sunnier weather than of late. Further north, it looks likely to stay unsettled with further rain at times, particularly across northwest England as well as northern and western parts of Scotland.

Updated: 1159 on Mon 16 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 2 May 2012 to Wednesday 16 May 2012:

The start of May looks likely to remain unsettled with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain, although there should also be some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will generally be close to or slightly above the seasonal average. Later in the first week of May, conditions may turn more settled across southern England for a time, with a greater chance of some drier and sunnier weather than of late. Further north, it looks likely to stay unsettled with further rain at times, particularly across northwest England as well as northern and western parts of Scotland.

Updated: 1131 on Tue 17 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 3 May 2012 to Thursday 17 May 2012:

The start of May looks likely to remain unsettled with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain, although there should also be some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will generally be close to or slightly above the seasonal average. Later in the first week of May, conditions may turn more settled across southern England for a time, with a greater chance of some drier and sunnier weather than of late. Further north, it looks likely to stay unsettled with further rain at times, particularly across northwest England as well as northern and western parts of Scotland.

Updated: 1243 on Wed 18 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 4 May 2012 to Friday 18 May 2012:

The start of May looks likely to remain unsettled with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain, although there should also be some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will generally be close to or slightly above the seasonal average. Conditions may turn more settled across southern England for a time, with a greater chance of some drier and sunnier weather than of late. Further north, it looks likely to stay unsettled with further rain at times, particularly across northwest England as well as northern and western parts of Scotland.

Updated: 1248 on Thu 19 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 5 May 2012 to Saturday 19 May 2012:

Conditions look likely to remain largely unsettled over the period with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain with winds generally from the west or north west. Rainfall totals are expected to be close or just above the seasonal average, especially in the north of the UK. Between the rain or showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes, these most likely in the south. Temperatures will largely be close to or just below the seasonal average, and feeling cool in the wind and rain.

Updated: 1301 on Fri 20 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[UV-RAY]

UK Outlook for Saturday 5 May 2012 to Saturday 19 May 2012:

Conditions look likely to remain largely unsettled over the period with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain with winds generally from the west or north west. Rainfall totals are expected to be close or just above the seasonal average, especially in the north of the UK. Between the rain or showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes, these most likely in the south. Temperatures will largely be close to or just below the seasonal average, and feeling cool in the wind and rain.

Updated: 1301 on Fri 20 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Excellent update, long "May" it continue!

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Sunday 6 May 2012 to Sunday 20 May 2012:

Conditions look likely to remain largely unsettled over the period with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain with winds generally from the west or north west. Rainfall totals are expected to be close or just above the seasonal average, especially in the north of the UK. Between the rain or showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes, these most likely in the south. Temperatures will largely be close to or just below the seasonal average, and feeling cool in the wind and rain.

Updated: 1238 on Sat 21 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 7 May 2012 to Monday 21 May 2012:

Conditions look likely to remain largely unsettled over the period with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain. Rainfall totals are expected to be close to or just above the seasonal average, especially in the north of the UK. Between the rain or showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes, these most likely in the south. Temperatures will largely be close to or just below the seasonal average, and feeling cool in the wind and rain.

Updated: 1239 on Sun 22 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 8 May 2012 to Tuesday 22 May 2012:

Changeable weather is likely to continue, although perhaps not quite to the same extent as the last week or so. Rainfall totals are expected to be close to or just above the seasonal average, especially in the north of the UK, with showers or longer spells of rain at times. Between the rain or showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes, these most likely in the south. Temperatures will largely be close to or just below the seasonal average, and feeling cool in the wind and rain.

Updated: 1233 on Mon 23 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 9 May 2012 to Wednesday 23 May 2012:

Changeable weather is likely to continue, although perhaps not quite to the same extent as the last week or so. Showers or longer periods of rain are likely to affect most parts of the UK, but rainfall totals will probably be close to seasonal averages. Between the rain and showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes, these most likely in the south. Temperatures are likely to be close to or just below the seasonal average, and feeling cool in the wind and rain, but could lift above average during any sunnier, more settled periods.

Updated: 1300 on Tue 24 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 10 May 2012 to Thursday 24 May 2012:

Changeable weather is likely to continue, although perhaps not quite to the same extent as the last week or so. Showers or longer periods of rain are likely to affect most parts of the UK, but rainfall totals will probably be close to seasonal averages. Between the rain and showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes, these perhaps most likely to the south and east. Temperatures are likely to be often close to the seasonal average, and feeling cool in the wind and rain, but should lift above average during any sunnier, more settled periods.

Updated: 1256 on Wed 25 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 11 May 2012 to Friday 25 May 2012:

Changeable weather is likely to continue, although perhaps not quite to the same extent as the last week or so. Showers or longer periods of rain are likely to affect most parts of the UK, but rainfall totals will probably be close to seasonal averages. Between the rain and showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes, these perhaps most likely to the south and east. Temperatures are likely to be often close to the seasonal average, and feeling cool in the wind and rain, but should lift above average during any sunnier, more settled periods.

Updated: 1243 on Thu 26 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 12 May 2012 to Saturday 26 May 2012:

Changeable weather is likely for much of this period. Showers or longer spells of rain are likely to affect most parts of the UK although rainfall totals are likely to be close to the seasonal average. Between the rain and showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes with sunshine levels also close to the May average. With winds often from a north or northeasterly direction, temperatures are likely to be close to or just below the seasonal average, but they could be a little above in any sheltered western areas at times.

Updated: 1242 on Fri 27 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 14 May 2012 to Monday 28 May 2012:

Changeable weather is likely for much of this period. Showers or longer spells of rain are likely to affect most parts of the UK although rainfall totals are likely to be close to the seasonal average. Between the rain and showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes with sunshine levels also close to the May average. With winds often from a north or northeasterly direction, temperatures are likely to be close to or just below the seasonal average, but they could be a little above in any sheltered western areas at times.

Updated: 1244 on Sun 29 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 14 May 2012 to Monday 28 May 2012:

Changeable weather is likely for much of this period. Showers or longer spells of rain are likely to affect most parts of the UK although rainfall totals are likely to be close to the seasonal average. Between the rain and showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes with sunshine levels also close to the May average. With winds often from a north or northeasterly direction, temperatures are likely to be close to or just below the seasonal average, but they could be a little above in any sheltered western areas at times.

Updated: 1241 on Mon 30 Apr 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 16 May 2012 to Wednesday 30 May 2012:

Overall there are no strong signals favouring any particular weather type during this period. Total rainfall and cloud amounts during the two weeks are a little more likely to be above average than below average, whilst mean temperatures are more likely to be below average than above average. The balance of evidence does also hint that if we do get a spell of relatively warm, dry weather this is a little more likely to come in the second half of the 15-day period.

Updated: 1236 on Tue 1 May 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[johnholmes]

I wonder what caused the fairly major shift today from the last few days outputs?

[Summer Sun]

I wonder what caused the fairly major shift today from the last few days outputs?

It could along with of model's be to do with the EC 32 day model, Matt Hugo tweeted this, this morning

Latest EC 32 paints a cool & unsettled 3 weeks of May, before pressure builds during the final week of month - Overall it doesn't look good

Maybe some of the ofther longer range models are hinting at somthing warmer as we get near to summer

Edited May 1, 2012 by Gavin D

[johnholmes]

I still find it rather odd that, if it is based on just one output from the ECMWF 32 day outlook, they have made such a shift in emphasis. Just wish I still had access to the mutterings of the senior man 2x daily as I used to have.

[The PIT]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 16 May 2012 to Wednesday 30 May 2012:

Overall there are no strong signals favouring any particular weather type during this period. Total rainfall and cloud amounts during the two weeks are a little more likely to be above average than below average, whilst mean temperatures are more likely to be below average than above average. The balance of evidence does also hint that if we do get a spell of relatively warm, dry weather this is a little more likely to come in the second half of the 15-day period.

Updated: 1236 on Tue 1 May 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Translated this means they haven't a clue. ECM has shifted a bit and we don't access to the 32 bit modelwhich must have shifted a lot more. I suppose they're not allowed to say the latest model run shows no firm direction of the weather maybe.

Perhaps the senior man actually said "Doh"

[johnholmes]

not one of your most sensible posts Pit