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December CET

#1 User is offline   WhiteXmas 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 11:48

So with the last 10 months of above average CET what will December prove?
November is at a remarkable +2.3c currently so will December remind us of what a below average CET feels like?
Could we see some early signs of winter?
What will your guesstimate be? :unknw:
So here are some stats:

The highest CET on record for December is 8.1C (thanks Mr. Data!)
The 1971-2000 average is 5.1c

So I'm going to have the first go :D


4.9c

This post has been edited by WhiteXmas: 22 November 2009 - 12:31


http://www.neobux.com/?r=craigb1989
First snowfall.... 17th December
First lying snow.....19th December

#2 User is offline   snowlover2009 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 12:23

what was last years?

#3 User is offline   WhiteXmas 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 12:26

I think last year's was 3.8c

http://www.neobux.com/?r=craigb1989
First snowfall.... 17th December
First lying snow.....19th December

#4 User is offline   Mr_Data 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 12:26

View PostWhiteXmas, on 22 November 2009 - 11:48 , said:

:

The highest CET on record for December is 8.8C


It is actually 8.1C set in 1934 and equaled in 1974

Oddly, there has never been a December with a CET of 5.9, which is only 0.8C above the 1971-2000 average.

I'm going for 5.9C

This post has been edited by Mr_Data: 22 November 2009 - 12:34

Manchester Winter Index for 2009-10: 197

1962-63: 501
1988-89: 20

#5 User is offline   WhiteXmas 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 12:28

View PostMr_Data, on 22 November 2009 - 12:26 , said:

It is actually 8.1C set in 1934 and equaled in 1974

Really? Google ain't so great after all then! :lol:

This post has been edited by WhiteXmas: 22 November 2009 - 12:29


http://www.neobux.com/?r=craigb1989
First snowfall.... 17th December
First lying snow.....19th December

#6 User is offline   SteveB 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 12:29

I think I shall go for 5.1c
Hot and sunny with thunderstorms in the summer
Cold and snowy in the Winter
NOT TO MUCH TO ASK FOR IS IT!

Posted Image

Autumn/Winter 2009/2010

Min Night Temp: -6.9c (08-01-10)
Min Day Temp: -0.1c (Ice day 04-01-10)
Frosts: 38
Snow events: 4

21-12-09.
06-01-10.
13-01-10.
20-01-10.

Snowfall 13-01-10 giving 2-3cm's
Snowfall 06-01-10 giving 10cm+

#7 User is offline   Jack Wales 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 12:30

A mild and wet 6.1 for me please
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#8 User is offline   fozi999 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 12:56

I'll go with a preliminary 5.0C
Jonathan

#9 User is offline   robthefool 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 13:28

6.5c
2009 Max Temp - 31.6C
Bring on Summer 2010!

#10 User is offline   Milhouse 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 13:38

6.0c for me please

#11 User is offline   Optimus Prime 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 13:41

If you're going to start a thread this early could you please post some useful statistics to go with it? Or let Mr Data start it so he can add some useful and interesting (accurate) information.

View Postsnowlover2009, on 22 November 2009 - 12:23 , said:

what was last years?


Last years December was 3.5c. 1.6c below normal.

Warmest ever 1974 and 1934 at 8.1c (1974 was warmer in come areas but cooler in others)

December 1974 was warmer than October and November of that year (8.1c compared to 7.8c (Oct) and 6.8c (Nov) at Falmouth the temperature exceeded 10c 21 times and at Wick, in 1934 the average was close to that of a typical May.

December is interesting this century in that it's the only month that hasn't warmed (compared to the 71-000 average and has actually cooled)

2000-2008 4.9c (coldest 2008 3.5c and 3.6c 2001) (Warmest 2006 6.5c and 5.8c 2000)
1990-1999 4.6c (coldest 1995 2.3c and 2.9c 1996) (Warmest 1994 6.4c and 5.8c 1997)
1980-1989 5.2c (coldest 1981 0.3c and 4.4c 1982) (Warmest 1988 7.5c and 6.3c 1985)
1970-1979 5.3c (coldest 1976 2.0c and 3.9c 1978) (Warmest 1974 8.1c and 6.6c 1971)

having said that it's no surprise the 71-000 average was 0.5c warmer then 61-1990 in the run of mild Decembers of the 70s and 80s. 1960s was a very cold Decade for December averaging just 3.5c.
March to the 10th
Mean Max; 7.9c (-1.7c)
Mean Min; -0.7c (-4.2c)
Mean; 3.6c (-2.9c)

#12 User is offline   Pete Tattum 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 13:42

5.5 mightn't be that far out...Then again?
Pete

This year's GFS motto: And, now for something completely different!

Non cogito ergo non sum!

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CCCP

#13 User is offline   Thundery wintry showers 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 13:46

Just so that I make sure I get something down before the deadline (!) 6.5 is my current hunch.
"For every complex problem there is a solution that is simple, neat and wrong" - H L Mencken

UK Winter Snow Events Index Total (all snow events in a season are added together and given an index from 1 to 5 for distribution & severity)
Long-term average (1947-2009): 34
1978/79: 64
1992/93: 13
2008/09: 35
1981/82: 49
1985/86: 45
2009/10 (to 6th March) 55

Cleadon weather records back to 1993:
http://tws27.50webs....ther/index.html
NOTE- 2006/2007 not yet uploaded.

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#14 User is offline   NaDamantaSam 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 13:51

I'll go with 5.0C for now
Yes, a tiny net is a death sentence.... it's a net and it's tiny!


All Time Records

Minimum Temperature -10.5C January 9th 2010
Maximum Temperature 28.2C June 2nd 2009

2010

Minimum Temperature -10.5C January 9th
Maximum Temperature 9.8C January 15th
Lowest Max -2.9C January 8th
Highest Min 6.1C January 15th
Lowest Daily Average -6.05C January 9th
Highest Daily Average 7.95C January 15th
Maximum Snow Depth- 15cm January 11th
Days with Sleet/Snow falling-13
Days with Snow Cover... 4

#15 User is offline   Cal 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 14:04

4.7 Please

#16 User is offline   alza 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 14:09

I reckon 5.7°C. It should turn colder later in the month, but I predict a few weeks of mild weather first.
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#17 User is offline   The PIT 

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Posted 22 November 2009 - 14:14

I'll got for 7c a mild windy wet one.
Based in Sunny Old Sheffield South Yorkshire.

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