273 replies to this topic

[Terminal Moraine]

I seem to remember the Met' Office usually issue a preliminary winter forecast around this time of year, based on various parameters in May.
Does anyone know when it's due out, or indeed if there's going to be one at all?

[Nick L]

Crikey last winter only just seems to have finished

Not sure, I thought it was usually around late June, but it should be soon anyway.

[Don]

They normally issue their initial thoughts around the first week of July, so not long to wait.

[skifreak]

Any news on this? Have searched the Meto site to no avail.

[jo200199]

How can they give a P. forecast? They can't even get day to day right lol

[Solar Sausage]

Ah havnae found it yet!

[Nick L]

I think they are shying away after getting it wrong last winter

[Don]

They should release it sometime during this coming week going by recent years. I have a distinct feeling it won't be pointing towards a cold one!

[stormchaser1]

Lets get summer out the way first,
But in my opinion for what its worth, im looking at a colder winter than last year , and last year it was the coldest winter in 13 years

[jo200199]

I'm going for a white Christmas

[Solar Cycles]

I can gurantee it will be another forecast, with AGW factored into the equation. Thus making it completely busted. AGAIN!!!

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

stormchaser1, on 5 Jul 2009, 09:28 PM, said:

Lets get summer out the way first,
But in my opinion for what its worth, im looking at a colder winter than last year , and last year it was the coldest winter in 13 years

Hi Nigel
Agreed, the way the pattern looks to emerge is the opposite to what we have been getting this summer. The above average sector over Europe/N Europe may become the below during winter. I anticipate at this very early stage that blocking to N quadrant to show its hand fairly robustly. Long way to go and El Nino worth keeping eye on. I'll be looking for a decline come start of winter.

Hi Dave see tha you are reading, good to see you around. Stew...going to do an early guestimate?

BFTP

Edited by BLAST FROM THE PAST, 06 July 2009 - 09:06 .

[noggin]

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

......."first assessment of prospects will be issued by 11.00 on 23rd July".

That's this coming Thursday then.......I have put a big note on my calendar.

See you all then!

[Nick L]

Let's hope it says mild. Last winter they said it was going to be mild - it was anything but. This summer they have forecasted a barbeque one - not really so far!

[azores92]

nick2702, on 18 Jul 2009, 09:56 AM, said:

Let's hope it says mild. Last winter they said it was going to be mild - it was anything but. This summer they have forecasted a barbeque one - not really so far!

to be fair to them, there were a good few days at the end of june where the temperatures were exceptionally high, and in july so far, it hasnt been raining all the time, as there have been pleasant days mixed in with the not so pleasant ones. i wouldnt be getting excited over their forecast, as they will tend to play it safe by perhaps saying temperatures will be near to or slightly above average, and probably similar with precipitation.

[Turnedoutniceagain]

Shetland Coastie, on 20 July 2009 - 14:18 , said:

Just had an e-mail back from the Meto and it will be released on Thursday, yay!

Let the countdown begin !!

Autumn starts in 40 days !!!!

[Optimus Prime]

Temperature are likely to be either near normal or above normal.

I can predict into the future!

Edited by Optimus Prime, 20 July 2009 - 15:34 .